Differential Information and Dynamic Behavior of Stock Trading Volume

Differential Information and Dynamic Behavior of Stock Trading Volume
Author: Hua He
Publisher:
Total Pages: 72
Release: 1995
Genre: Investment analysis
ISBN:

This paper develops a multi-period rational expectations model of stock trading in which investors have differential information concerning the underlying value of the stock. Investors trade competitively in the stock market based on their private information and the information revealed by the market-clearing prices, as well as other public news. We examine how trading volume is related to the information flow in the market and how investors' trading reveals their private information.

Essays on Stock Trading Volume, Volatility and Information

Essays on Stock Trading Volume, Volatility and Information
Author: Hanfeng Wang
Publisher: Open Dissertation Press
Total Pages:
Release: 2017-01-27
Genre:
ISBN: 9781361440254

This dissertation, "Essays on Stock Trading Volume, Volatility and Information" by Hanfeng, Wang, 王漢鋒, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of the thesis entitled Essays on Stock Trading Volume, Volatility and Information Submitted By Hanfeng WANG For the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy at the University of Hong Kong in June 2007 We focus on three topics that relate to trading volume in stock market in this thesis. In the first essay we find that trading volume not only contributes positively to the contemporaneous volatility, as indicated in previous literature, but also contributes negatively to the subsequent volatility. This pattern between trading volume and volatility is consistently held among individual stocks, volume-based portfolios, size-based portfolios, and market index, and among daily data and weekly data. These empirical findings tend to support that the Information-Driven-Trade (IDT) hypothesis is more pervasive and powerful in explaining trading activities in the stock market than the Liquidity-Driven-Trade (LDT) hypothesis. Our additional tests obtain three interesting findings, 1) liquidity and the degree of information asymmetry influence the relation between volume and subsequent volatility, 2) the effect of volume on subsequent volatility and volume size have a non-linear relationship, indicating that at least empirically there exists a most information-intensive volume for each stock, which is consistent with Barclay and Warner (1993, JFE)'s finding, 3) the effect of volume on subsequent volatility is asymmetric when the stock price moves up and down, and we attribute this asymmetry to the short-selling constraints. 2 In the second essay we examine the price and trading volume reaction around annual earnings announcements in the Chinese A-share and B-share markets. We document a reverting pattern in the CAR series around earnings announcement in A share market while the behavior of the CAR series in B share market is quite similar to that found in developed markets. We argue that the difference may be due to that some of the A share investors overreact to the information before the earnings announcement. Additionally, abnormally high volume occurs around the earnings announcement, in both A-share and B-share markets, however, contrary to abnormally high volume several days before the announcement in B-share market, abnormally low volume exists several days prior to the announcement in A-share market. Through cross-sectional analysis we find that abnormal trading volume on the announcement day, taken as an index of the surprise of earnings announcement, and the responsiveness of the market are positively correlated, and that the average return before the announcement is negatively correlated with the CAR after the announcement, which supports the A-share investors' overreaction to earnings announcement. We also find some evidence that A-share investors tend to be influenced by the market conditions. In the third essay we review the literature on herding behavior in financial market and build a new empirical model based on stock trading volume to detect the overall market herding behavior. With the model we find that in the Chinese stock market there is herding when the market moves up and there is no or little evidence of herding when the market moves down. For comparison we also extend the test to other international markets. Based on the empirical results we document with the Chinese market data we suggest canceling t

Trading on Volume

Trading on Volume
Author: Don Cassidy
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Total Pages: 338
Release: 2002
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780071376044

Volume can be the key to understanding what is relly happening in the stock market. Volume is a dynamic aspect of the market, reflective of supply and demand, and thus crowd behaviour. This work gives a complete explanation of volume and how it can be used to trade more effectively. It shows that volume behaviour and changes can provide important clues to price movement, in direct contrast to such established theories as random walk and efficient markets that state that price is essentially unpredictable. The book explains how volume discloses the amount and type of interest in a stock. By examining and understanding the dynamics of volume, the trader can pinpoint the rise, climax and fall of the activity of market participants (behavioural finance), which provides an extremely reliable indicator of price reversal in real time. Knowing this helps the trader get out near stock or market tops and buy near stock or market bottoms.

Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution

Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution
Author: Thorsten Hens
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 607
Release: 2009-06-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080921434

The models of portfolio selection and asset price dynamics in this volume seek to explain the market dynamics of asset prices. Presenting a range of analytical, empirical, and numerical techniques as well as several different modeling approaches, the authors depict the state of debate on the market selection hypothesis. By explicitly assuming the heterogeneity of investors, they present models that are descriptive and normative as well, making the volume useful for both finance theorists and financial practitioners. - Explains the market dynamics of asset prices, offering insights about asset management approaches - Assumes a heterogeneity of investors that yields descriptive and normative models of portfolio selections and asset pricing dynamics

Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics

Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics
Author: Leon Zolotoy
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper we study the dynamic relationship between trading volume, volatility, and stock returns at the international stock markets. First, we examine the role of volume and volatility in the individual stock market dynamics using a sample of ten major developed stock markets. Next, we extend our analysis to a multiple market framework, based on a large sample of cross-listed firms. Our analysis is based on both semi-nonparametric (Flexible Fourier Form) and parametric techniques. Our major findings are as follows. First, we find no evidence of the trading volume affecting the serial correlation of stock market returns, as predicted by Campbell et.al (1993) and Wang (1994). Second, the stock market volatility has a negative and statistically significant impact on the serial correlation of the stock market returns, consistent with the positive feedback trading model of Sentana and Wadhwani (1992). Third, the lagged trading volume is positively related to the stock market volatility, supporting the information flow theory. Fourth, we find the trading volume to have both an economically and statistically significant impact on the price discovery process and the co-movement between the international stock markets. Overall, these findings suggest the importance of the trading volume as an information variable.

Ibss: Economics: 1995

Ibss: Economics: 1995
Author: Compiled by the British Library of Political and Economic Science at the London School of Economics
Publisher: Psychology Press
Total Pages: 680
Release: 1996
Genre: Economics
ISBN: 9780415152150

The IBSS is the essential tool for librarians, university departments, research institutions and any public or private institutions whose work requires access to up-to-date and comprehensive knowledge of the social sciences.

Trading Volume and Market Efficiency

Trading Volume and Market Efficiency
Author: Patel Ishaan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023-03-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9785403184199

The literature on asset market and market microstructure has devoted surprisingly little attention to trading volume. Many economic models of financial markets and market microstructure have been developed to explain the predictability of prices (returns), and information content of it. However, far less attention has been devoted to explain the behavior of trading volume. To fill this gap in the literature, this study tries to expand our understanding of trading volume for an emerging market by empirically estimating econometric models using recently available daily volume data for individual securities listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE). The analysis carried out serves several purposes: a) understand the motives for trade & the process by which trades are realized, b) the interaction between price and volume, and c) the roles that risk preferences and market frictions play in determining stock trading activity. Our empirical contributions include: (1) the construction of a volume based index for the Indian equity markets & comprehensive exploratory data analysis of the time-series behavior of trading volume; (2) modeling trading volume series using long-memory models and its forecasting performance; (3) estimation of dynamic price & volume relations using Markov Switching framework; and (4) a new approach for empirically identifying various factors determining the stock trading volume. The empirical result that stock trading volume is a long-memory process, does not affect market efficiency.

Market Liquidity

Market Liquidity
Author: Thierry Foucault
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 531
Release: 2023
Genre: Capital market
ISBN: 0197542069

"The process by which securities are traded is very different from the idealized picture of a frictionless and self-equilibrating market offered by the typical finance textbook. This book offers a more accurate and authoritative take on this process. The book starts from the assumption that not everyone is present at all times simultaneously on the market, and that participants have quite diverse information about the security's fundamentals. As a result, the order flow is a complex mix of information and noise, and a consensus price only emerges gradually over time as the trading process evolves and the participants interpret the actions of other traders. Thus, a security's actual transaction price may deviate from its fundamental value, as it would be assessed by a fully informed set of investors. The book takes these deviations seriously, and explains why and how they emerge in the trading process and are eventually eliminated. The authors draw on a vast body of theoretical insights and empirical findings on security price formation that have come to form a well-defined field within financial economics known as "market microstructure." Focusing on liquidity and price discovery, the book analyzes the tension between the two, pointing out that when price-relevant information reaches the market through trading pressure rather than through a public announcement, liquidity may suffer. It also confronts many striking phenomena in securities markets and uses the analytical tools and empirical methods of market microstructure to understand them. These include issues such as why liquidity changes over time and differs across securities, why large trades move prices up or down, and why these price changes are subsequently reversed, and why we observe temporary deviations from asset fair values"--