Determinants of Implied Volatility Function on the Nifty Index Options Market

Determinants of Implied Volatility Function on the Nifty Index Options Market
Author: Vijayakumar Narayanamoorthy
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper, we examine two important propositions for the Indian options market: (1) the relationship between implied volatility and moneyness referred to as volatility smile and (2) the potential determinants of the smile asymmetry. We use daily data for the S&P CNX Nifty index call and put options and the underlying market index for the calendar years 2004 and 2005. We find that the volatility functions exhibit a positive slope in the Indian context using alternative measures of moneyness, thus confirming the consistency of our findings. Our evidence on smile asymmetry is in contrast with findings for mature markets, which exhibit negative asymmetry profiles in general. This may be owing to differences in investors' behaviour and market microstructure between mature and emerging markets. We also show that historical volatility and time to expiration are the potential determinants of smile asymmetry in India, as is the case with international evidence. We feel that a strong theoretical foundation should be provided for this observable empirical phenomenon.

Fitting Local Volatility: Analytic And Numerical Approaches In Black-scholes And Local Variance Gamma Models

Fitting Local Volatility: Analytic And Numerical Approaches In Black-scholes And Local Variance Gamma Models
Author: Andrey Itkin
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 205
Release: 2020-01-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811212783

The concept of local volatility as well as the local volatility model are one of the classical topics of mathematical finance. Although the existing literature is wide, there still exist various problems that have not drawn sufficient attention so far, for example: a) construction of analytical solutions of the Dupire equation for an arbitrary shape of the local volatility function; b) construction of parametric or non-parametric regression of the local volatility surface suitable for fast calibration; c) no-arbitrage interpolation and extrapolation of the local and implied volatility surfaces; d) extension of the local volatility concept beyond the Black-Scholes model, etc. Also, recent progresses in deep learning and artificial neural networks as applied to financial engineering have made it reasonable to look again at various classical problems of mathematical finance including that of building a no-arbitrage local/implied volatility surface and calibrating it to the option market data.This book was written with the purpose of presenting new results previously developed in a series of papers and explaining them consistently, starting from the general concept of Dupire, Derman and Kani and then concentrating on various extensions proposed by the author and his co-authors. This volume collects all the results in one place, and provides some typical examples of the problems that can be efficiently solved using the proposed methods. This also results in a faster calibration of the local and implied volatility surfaces as compared to standard approaches.The methods and solutions presented in this volume are new and recently published, and are accompanied by various additional comments and considerations. Since from the mathematical point of view, the level of details is closer to the applied rather than to the abstract or pure theoretical mathematics, the book could also be recommended to graduate students with majors in computational or quantitative finance, financial engineering or even applied mathematics. In particular, the author used to teach some topics of this book as a part of his special course on computational finance at the Tandon School of Engineering, New York University.

Handbook of Evidence Based Management Practices in Business

Handbook of Evidence Based Management Practices in Business
Author: Satyendra Kumar Sharma
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Total Pages: 725
Release: 2023-05-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1000935159

This book is a collection of selected high-quality research papers presented at the 4th International Conference on Evidence-Based Management (ICEBM) 2023, held at Birla Institute of Technology & Science, Pilani, Rajasthan, India, during February 24–25, 2023. It has 76 chapters written by various scholars focusing on evidence-based management practices in different functional areas of management with the application of theory and empirical techniques. This book will be helpful to practitioners, academics, scholars, and policymakers.

Predicting Volatility and the Information Content of Informed Traders in an Option Market

Predicting Volatility and the Information Content of Informed Traders in an Option Market
Author: Teng-Ching Huang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

We investigate the impact of information trading on predicting variation of implied volatility. First, we find that informed traders do trade in the index options market. The predicting biases of implied volatilities on the realized volatility are correlated with the information trading. Second, we find that delta market depth and bid-ask spread are correlated with the predicting variations in implied volatilities. Moreover, the difference between realized and implied volatility, bid-ask spread, and delta market depth are the determinants of price discovery in the option market. Third, the intraday patterns in realized volatility exhibit an inverse J-shape, which induces forecasting biases in implied volatilities. Finally, based on the performance of the volatility trading strategy, the result does not support efficient market hypothesis.

The Role and Relevance of Option Implied Volatility in Financial Markets

The Role and Relevance of Option Implied Volatility in Financial Markets
Author: Megha Agarwal
Publisher:
Total Pages: 8
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

The research paper is an effort to review the relevance of option implied volatility in the modern day financial markets. Volatility indices such as VIX, VFTSE and India VIX act as efficient predictors of market volatility over the near term. The role implied volatility plays in providing a measure of investors fears, explaining stock returns, credit default swap valuation, measuring bank risk, and understanding interest rate models for pricing contingent claims has been emphasized. The cases of Euro dollar option markets, S&P 100 index options, agricultural commodities on New York Board of Trade, sweet crude oil futures on NYMEX have been discussed in particular.This measure of investors fear gauge is found to be superior to logit regression and Altman's Z. It would have been helpful in predicting the UK Banking Crisis 2008. This important determinant of volatility must be incorporated in risk management strategies to lead to a robust and integrated risk management framework.

Implied Volatility Functions

Implied Volatility Functions
Author: Bernard Dumas
Publisher:
Total Pages: 34
Release: 1996
Genre: Options (Finance)
ISBN:

Abstract: Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black-Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S & P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DV option valuation model. We find that its performance is worse than that of an ad hoc Black-Scholes model with variable implied volatilities.

Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Volatilities Implied by Index Options

Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Volatilities Implied by Index Options
Author: Alok Dixit
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

This research paper is aimed at diagnosing the pricing inefficiencies prevailing in the Indian index options market. The inefficiencies are being revealed by testing the rational expectations hypothesis on the term structure of implied volatilities of index options. In the paper, an effort has been made to diagnose: (a) whether the implied volatilities, in the case of both short dated as well as long dated options, are mean-reverting or not; and (b) whether the volatilities implied by the long dated options are consistent with the future volatilities estimated on the basis of corresponding volatilities implied by short dated options, assuming rational expectations to hold. The implied volatilities are calculated by inverting the adjusted form of Black-Scholes model. For the analysis, daily data on index options based on National Stock Exchange index i.e. Samp;P CNX NIFTY has been used for the period from June 4, 2001 (starting date for index options in Indian securities market) to December 31, 2006. The analysis reveals that implied volatilities are, in fact, mean-reverting. However, implied volatility of long dated options is not evolving the way as warranted by rational expectations hypothesis, and the evidences of overreaction and underreaction are seen for both calls as well as put options.

The Information Frown in Option Prices

The Information Frown in Option Prices
Author: Louis H. Ederington
Publisher:
Total Pages: 34
Release: 1999
Genre:
ISBN:

It is well known that for options with the same expiration date, levels of implied volatility differ systematically by strike price in a smile or smirk pattern. We show that (in the equity index options market) information content also differs systematically by strike price displaying a quot;frownquot; pattern. Implied volatilities calculated from near-the-money, and particularly from moderately high strike price, options contain considerable information regarding future volatility and efficiently subsume the information in the historical record. Implied volatilities calculated from far-from-the-money options (particularly options with low strike prices) are much less informative and do not incorporate the information in the asset's price history. While the prices of near-the-money and moderately high strike price options appear largely determined by the market's expectations of future volatility, the prices of far-from-the-money and low-strike-price options appear to be largely determined by factors other than the market's volatility expectation. These other determinants of implied volatility are apparently long-lived or persistent since the frown cannot be attributed to transitory factors. Theories of the smile need to not only explain why volatility levels differ by strike price but should also explain why implied volatilities at some strike prices are largely determined by the market's volatility expectations while others appear relatively independent of these expectations.