Pricing and Hedging Financial Derivatives with Reinforcement Learning Methods

Pricing and Hedging Financial Derivatives with Reinforcement Learning Methods
Author: Alexandre Carbonneau
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN:

This thesis studies the problem of pricing and hedging financial derivatives with reinforcement learning. Throughout all four papers, the underlying global hedging problems are solved using the deep hedging algorithm with the representation of global hedging policies as neural networks. The first paper, "Equal Risk Pricing of Derivatives with Deep Hedging'', shows how the deep hedging algorithm can be applied to solve the two underlying global hedging problems of the equal risk pricing framework for the valuation of European financial derivatives. The second paper, "Deep Hedging of Long-Term Financial Derivatives'', studies the problem of global hedging very long-term financial derivatives which are analogous, under some assumptions, to options embedded in guarantees of variable annuities. The third paper, "Deep Equal Risk Pricing of Financial Derivatives with Multiple Hedging Instruments'', studies derivative prices generated by the equal risk pricing framework for long-term options when shorter-term options are used as hedging instruments. The fourth paper, "Deep equal risk pricing of financial derivatives with non-translation invariant risk measures'', investigates the use of non-translation invariant risk measures within the equal risk pricing framework.

Deep Hedging

Deep Hedging
Author: Hans Buehler
Publisher:
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

We present a framework for hedging a portfolio of derivatives in the presence of market frictions such as transaction costs, market impact, liquidity constraints or risk limits using modern deep reinforcement machine learning methods.We discuss how standard reinforcement learning methods can be applied to non-linear reward structures, i.e. in our case convex risk measures. As a general contribution to the use of deep learning for stochastic processes, we also show in section 4 that the set of constrained trading strategies used by our algorithm is large enough to ∈-approximate any optimal solution.Our algorithm can be implemented efficiently even in high-dimensional situations using modern machine learning tools. Its structure does not depend on specific market dynamics, and generalizes across hedging instruments including the use of liquid derivatives. Its computational performance is largely invariant in the size of the portfolio as it depends mainly on the number of hedging instruments available.We illustrate our approach by showing the effect on hedging under transaction costs in a synthetic market driven by the Heston model, where we outperform the standard “complete market” solution.This is the "stochastic analysis" version of the paper. A version in machine learning notation is available here "https://ssrn.com/abstract=3355706" https://ssrn.com/abstract=3355706.

Option Pricing With Machine Learning

Option Pricing With Machine Learning
Author: Daniel Alexandre Bloch
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

An option pricing model is tied to its ability of capturing the dynamics of the underlying spot price process. Its misspecification will lead to pricing and hedging errors. Parametric pricing formula depends on the particular form of the dynamics of the underlying asset. For tractability reasons, some assumptions are made which are not consistent with the multifractal properties of market returns. On the other hand, non-parametric models such as neural networks use market data to estimate the implicit stochastic process driving the spot price and its relationship with contingent claims. When pricing multidimensional contingent claims, or even vanilla options with complex models, one must rely on numerical methods such as partial differential equations, numerical integration methods such as Fourier methods, or Monte Carlo simulations. Further, when calibrating financial models on market prices, a large number of model prices must be generated to fit the model parameters. Thus, one requires highly efficient computation methods which are fast and accurate. Neural networks with multiple hidden layers are universal interpolators with the ability of representing any smooth multidimentional function. As such, supervised learning is concerned with solving function estimation problems. The networks are decomposed into two separate phases, a training phase where the model is optimised off-line, and a testing phase where the model approximates the solution on-line. As a result, these methods can be used in finance in a fast and robust way for pricing exotic options as well as calibrating option prices in view of interpolating/extrapolating the volatility surface. They can also be used in risk management to fit options prices at the portfolio level in view of performing some credit risk analysis. We review some of the existing methods using neural networks for pricing market and model prices, present calibration, and introduce exotic option pricing. We discuss the feasibility of these methods, highlight problems, and propose alternative solutions.

Parametric and Non-parametric Option Hedging and Estimation Based on Hedging Error Minimization

Parametric and Non-parametric Option Hedging and Estimation Based on Hedging Error Minimization
Author: Xiaoyi Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 108
Release: 2020
Genre: Hedging (Finance)
ISBN:

Over the past few decades, option pricing accuracy has always been a standard criterion in gauging the performance of model parameter estimates. However, as a primary concern for option market makers, option hedging activity receives much less attention than pricing. Since option hedging strives to eliminate risks of market makers' portfolio positions in practice, it might be a more sensible measure in evaluating model estimates. In the first part of this thesis, a parameter estimation procedure based on minimizing the risks accumulated over the lifetime of an option is proposed. More specifically, a loss function which involves option pricing and hedging strategies is first defined to evaluate the cumulative hedging error(CHE). Then, after a simulation study assuming the Black-Scholes(BS) model for stock dynamics and option prices, an estimation method based on minimizing CHE is compared with maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) and implied estimation under three different model settings: the Black-Scholes model, the Merton jump diffusion, and the Heston stochastic volatility model. This comparison is conducted using an empirical study consisting of multiple datasets of individual stocks and options spanning 2011-2014 with the back-testing procedure. The second part of this thesis tries to mitigate the model-dependent feature of the first part, allowing flexible smoothing spline estimates for the option pricing curves. There are shape constraints induced by the arbitrage-free conditions of pricing options. Therefore, the form of the smoothing spline is carefully chosen to satisfy the constraints. In addition, certain transformation to the inputs of the pricing curve is performed to reduce dimensions. Under such strict constraints, we propose an option pricing curve which is composed of a weighted average between the Black-Scholes pricing function and a constrained cubic spline function. The resulting pricing and hedging strategies generated by the weighted curve estimator are then used to evaluate the previously defined cumulative hedging error(CHE). The back-testing results show that in general, smaller cumulative hedging error for real equity market data is achieved by the proposed hedging error minimization method, compared with traditional estimation methods.

Option Hedging

Option Hedging
Author: Francesco Adiliberti
Publisher:
Total Pages: 337
Release: 2001-01-01
Genre: Hedging (Finance)
ISBN: 9783258062730

Financial Modeling Under Non-Gaussian Distributions

Financial Modeling Under Non-Gaussian Distributions
Author: Eric Jondeau
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 541
Release: 2007-04-05
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1846286964

This book examines non-Gaussian distributions. It addresses the causes and consequences of non-normality and time dependency in both asset returns and option prices. The book is written for non-mathematicians who want to model financial market prices so the emphasis throughout is on practice. There are abundant empirical illustrations of the models and techniques described, many of which could be equally applied to other financial time series.