Deep Reinforcement Learning-based Portfolio Management

Deep Reinforcement Learning-based Portfolio Management
Author: Nitin Kanwar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 71
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

Machine Learning is at the forefront of every field today. The subfields of Machine Learning called Reinforcement Learning and Deep Learning, when combined have given rise to advanced algorithms which have been successful at reaching or surpassing the human-level performance at playing Atari games to defeating multiple times champion at Go. These successes of Machine Learning have attracted the interest of the financial community and have raised the question if these techniques could also be applied in detecting patterns in the financial markets.Until recently, mathematical formulations of dynamical systems in the context of Signal Processing and Control Theory have attributed to the success of Financial Engineering. But because of Reinforcement Learning, there has been improved sequential decision making leading to the development of multistage stochastic optimization, a key component in sequential portfolio optimization (asset allocation) strategies.In this thesis, we explore how to optimally distribute a fixed set of stock assets from a given set of stocks in a portfolio to maximize the long term wealth of the Deep Learning trading agent using Reinforcement Learning. We treat the problem as context-independent, meaning the learning agent directly interacts with the environment, thus allowing us to apply model free Reinforcement Learning algorithms to get optimized results. In particular, we focus on Policy Gradient and Actor Critic Methods, a class of state-of-the-art techniques which constructs an estimate of the optimal policy for the control problem by iteratively improving a parametric policy.We perform a comparative analysis of the Reinforcement Learning based portfolio optimization strategy vs the more traditional "Follow the Winner", "Follow the Loser", and "Uniformly Balanced" strategies, and find that Reinforcement Learning based agents either far out perform all the other strategies, or behave as good as the best of them.The analysis provides conclusive support for the ability of model-free Policy Gradient based Reinforcement Learning methods to act as universal trading agents.

Quantum Finance

Quantum Finance
Author: Raymond S. T. Lee
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 433
Release: 2019-11-15
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 9813297964

With the exponential growth of program trading in the global financial industry, quantum finance and its underlying technologies have become one of the hottest topics in the fintech community. Numerous financial institutions and fund houses around the world require computer professionals with a basic understanding of quantum finance to develop intelligent financial systems. This book presents a selection of the author’s past 15 years’ R&D work and practical implementation of the Quantum Finance Forecast System – which integrates quantum field theory and related AI technologies to design and develop intelligent global financial forecast and quantum trading systems. The book consists of two parts: Part I discusses the basic concepts and theories of quantum finance and related AI technologies, including quantum field theory, quantum price fields, quantum price level modelling and quantum entanglement to predict major financial events. Part II then examines the current, ongoing R&D projects on the application of quantum finance technologies in intelligent real-time financial prediction and quantum trading systems. This book is both a textbook for undergraduate & masters level quantum finance, AI and fintech courses and a valuable resource for researchers and data scientists working in the field of quantum finance and intelligent financial systems. It is also of interest to professional traders/ quants & independent investors who would like to grasp the basic concepts and theory of quantum finance, and more importantly how to adopt this fascinating technology to implement intelligent financial forecast and quantum trading systems. For system implementation, the interactive quantum finance programming labs listed on the Quantum Finance Forecast Centre official site (QFFC.org) enable readers to learn how to use quantum finance technologies presented in the book.

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management
Author: Söhnke M. Bartram
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
Total Pages: 95
Release: 2020-08-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 195292703X

Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and risk management practices by increasing efficiency, accuracy, and compliance. In particular, AI techniques help construct portfolios based on more accurate risk and return forecasts and more complex constraints. Trading algorithms use AI to devise novel trading signals and execute trades with lower transaction costs. AI also improves risk modeling and forecasting by generating insights from new data sources. Finally, robo-advisors owe a large part of their success to AI techniques. Yet the use of AI can also create new risks and challenges, such as those resulting from model opacity, complexity, and reliance on data integrity.

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading
Author: Stefan Jansen
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Total Pages: 822
Release: 2020-07-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1839216786

Leverage machine learning to design and back-test automated trading strategies for real-world markets using pandas, TA-Lib, scikit-learn, LightGBM, SpaCy, Gensim, TensorFlow 2, Zipline, backtrader, Alphalens, and pyfolio. Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free eBook in the PDF format. Key FeaturesDesign, train, and evaluate machine learning algorithms that underpin automated trading strategiesCreate a research and strategy development process to apply predictive modeling to trading decisionsLeverage NLP and deep learning to extract tradeable signals from market and alternative dataBook Description The explosive growth of digital data has boosted the demand for expertise in trading strategies that use machine learning (ML). This revised and expanded second edition enables you to build and evaluate sophisticated supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning models. This book introduces end-to-end machine learning for the trading workflow, from the idea and feature engineering to model optimization, strategy design, and backtesting. It illustrates this by using examples ranging from linear models and tree-based ensembles to deep-learning techniques from cutting edge research. This edition shows how to work with market, fundamental, and alternative data, such as tick data, minute and daily bars, SEC filings, earnings call transcripts, financial news, or satellite images to generate tradeable signals. It illustrates how to engineer financial features or alpha factors that enable an ML model to predict returns from price data for US and international stocks and ETFs. It also shows how to assess the signal content of new features using Alphalens and SHAP values and includes a new appendix with over one hundred alpha factor examples. By the end, you will be proficient in translating ML model predictions into a trading strategy that operates at daily or intraday horizons, and in evaluating its performance. What you will learnLeverage market, fundamental, and alternative text and image dataResearch and evaluate alpha factors using statistics, Alphalens, and SHAP valuesImplement machine learning techniques to solve investment and trading problemsBacktest and evaluate trading strategies based on machine learning using Zipline and BacktraderOptimize portfolio risk and performance analysis using pandas, NumPy, and pyfolioCreate a pairs trading strategy based on cointegration for US equities and ETFsTrain a gradient boosting model to predict intraday returns using AlgoSeek's high-quality trades and quotes dataWho this book is for If you are a data analyst, data scientist, Python developer, investment analyst, or portfolio manager interested in getting hands-on machine learning knowledge for trading, this book is for you. This book is for you if you want to learn how to extract value from a diverse set of data sources using machine learning to design your own systematic trading strategies. Some understanding of Python and machine learning techniques is required.

Machine Learning in Finance

Machine Learning in Finance
Author: Matthew F. Dixon
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 565
Release: 2020-07-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030410684

This book introduces machine learning methods in finance. It presents a unified treatment of machine learning and various statistical and computational disciplines in quantitative finance, such as financial econometrics and discrete time stochastic control, with an emphasis on how theory and hypothesis tests inform the choice of algorithm for financial data modeling and decision making. With the trend towards increasing computational resources and larger datasets, machine learning has grown into an important skillset for the finance industry. This book is written for advanced graduate students and academics in financial econometrics, mathematical finance and applied statistics, in addition to quants and data scientists in the field of quantitative finance. Machine Learning in Finance: From Theory to Practice is divided into three parts, each part covering theory and applications. The first presents supervised learning for cross-sectional data from both a Bayesian and frequentist perspective. The more advanced material places a firm emphasis on neural networks, including deep learning, as well as Gaussian processes, with examples in investment management and derivative modeling. The second part presents supervised learning for time series data, arguably the most common data type used in finance with examples in trading, stochastic volatility and fixed income modeling. Finally, the third part presents reinforcement learning and its applications in trading, investment and wealth management. Python code examples are provided to support the readers' understanding of the methodologies and applications. The book also includes more than 80 mathematical and programming exercises, with worked solutions available to instructors. As a bridge to research in this emergent field, the final chapter presents the frontiers of machine learning in finance from a researcher's perspective, highlighting how many well-known concepts in statistical physics are likely to emerge as important methodologies for machine learning in finance.

Goals-Based Wealth Management

Goals-Based Wealth Management
Author: Jean L. P. Brunel
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 272
Release: 2015-02-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118995937

Take a more active role in strategic asset allocation Goals-Based Wealth Management is a manual for protecting and growing client wealth in a way that changes both the services and profitability of the firm. Written by a 35-year veteran of international wealth education and analysis, this informative guide explains a new approach to wealth management that allows individuals to take on a more active role in the allocation of their assets. Coverage includes a detailed examination of the goals-based approach, including what works and what needs to be revisited, and a clear, understandable model that allows advisors to help individuals to navigate complex processes. The companion website offers ancillary readings, practice management checklists, and assessments that help readers secure a deep understanding of the key ideas that make goals-based wealth management work. The goals-based wealth management approach was pioneered in 2002, but has seen a slow evolution and only modest refinements largely due to a lack of wide-scale adoption. This book takes the first steps toward finalizing the approach, by delineating the effective and ineffective aspects of traditional approaches, and proposing changes that could bring better value to practitioners and their clients. Understand the challenges faced by the affluent and wealthy Examine strategic asset allocation and investment policy formulation Learn a model for dealing with the asset allocation process Learn why the structure of the typical advisory firm needs to change High-net-worth individuals face very specific challenges. Goals-Based Wealth Management focuses on how those challenges can be overcome while adhering to their goals, incorporating constraints, and working within the individual's frame of reference to drive strategic allocation of their financial assets.