Deep Credit Risk

Deep Credit Risk
Author: Harald Scheule
Publisher:
Total Pages: 466
Release: 2020-06-24
Genre:
ISBN:

Deep Credit Risk - Machine Learning in Python aims at starters and pros alike to enable you to: - Understand the role of liquidity, equity and many other key banking features- Engineer and select features- Predict defaults, payoffs, loss rates and exposures- Predict downturn and crisis outcomes using pre-crisis features- Understand the implications of COVID-19- Apply innovative sampling techniques for model training and validation- Deep-learn from Logit Classifiers to Random Forests and Neural Networks- Do unsupervised Clustering, Principal Components and Bayesian Techniques- Build multi-period models for CECL, IFRS 9 and CCAR- Build credit portfolio correlation models for VaR and Expected Shortfall- Run over 1,500 lines of pandas, statsmodels and scikit-learn Python code- Access real credit data and much more ...

Deep Credit Risk (Chinese)

Deep Credit Risk (Chinese)
Author: Harald Scheule
Publisher: Deep Credit Risk
Total Pages: 456
Release: 2021-07-22
Genre:
ISBN: 9780645245202

- 了解流动性,房屋净值和许多其他关键银行业特征变量的作用; - 选择并处理变量; - 预测违约、偿付、损失率和风险敞口; - 利用危机前特征预测经济衰退和危机后果; - 理解COVID-19对信用风险带来的影响; - 将创新的抽样技术应用于模型训练和验证; - 从Logit分类器到随机森林和神经网络的深入学习; - 进行无监督聚类、主成分和贝叶斯技术的应用; - 为CECL、IFRS 9和CCAR建立多周期模型; - 建立用于在险价值和期望损失的信贷组合相关模型; - 使用更多真实的信用风险数据并运行超过1500行的代码... - Understand the role of liquidity, equity and many other key banking features - Engineer and select features - Predict defaults, payoffs, loss rates and exposures - Predict downturn and crisis outcomes using pre-crisis features - Understand the implications of COVID-19 - Apply innovative sampling techniques for model training and validation - Deep-learn from Logit Classifiers to Random Forests and Neural Networks - Do unsupervised Clustering, Principal Components and Bayesian Techniques - Build multi-period models for CECL, IFRS 9 and CCAR - Build credit portfolio correlation models for VaR and Expected Shortfal - Run over 1,500 lines of pandas, statsmodels and scikit-learn Python code - Access real credit data and much more ...

Credit-Risk Modelling

Credit-Risk Modelling
Author: David Jamieson Bolder
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 684
Release: 2018-10-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319946889

The risk of counterparty default in banking, insurance, institutional, and pension-fund portfolios is an area of ongoing and increasing importance for finance practitioners. It is, unfortunately, a topic with a high degree of technical complexity. Addressing this challenge, this book provides a comprehensive and attainable mathematical and statistical discussion of a broad range of existing default-risk models. Model description and derivation, however, is only part of the story. Through use of exhaustive practical examples and extensive code illustrations in the Python programming language, this work also explicitly shows the reader how these models are implemented. Bringing these complex approaches to life by combining the technical details with actual real-life Python code reduces the burden of model complexity and enhances accessibility to this decidedly specialized field of study. The entire work is also liberally supplemented with model-diagnostic, calibration, and parameter-estimation techniques to assist the quantitative analyst in day-to-day implementation as well as in mitigating model risk. Written by an active and experienced practitioner, it is an invaluable learning resource and reference text for financial-risk practitioners and an excellent source for advanced undergraduate and graduate students seeking to acquire knowledge of the key elements of this discipline.

Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling

Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling
Author: Christian Bluhm
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 386
Release: 2016-04-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1584889934

Contains Nearly 100 Pages of New MaterialThe recent financial crisis has shown that credit risk in particular and finance in general remain important fields for the application of mathematical concepts to real-life situations. While continuing to focus on common mathematical approaches to model credit portfolios, Introduction to Credit Risk Modelin

IFRS 9 and CECL Credit Risk Modelling and Validation

IFRS 9 and CECL Credit Risk Modelling and Validation
Author: Tiziano Bellini
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 316
Release: 2019-02-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 012814940X

IFRS 9 and CECL Credit Risk Modelling and Validation covers a hot topic in risk management. Both IFRS 9 and CECL accounting standards require Banks to adopt a new perspective in assessing Expected Credit Losses. The book explores a wide range of models and corresponding validation procedures. The most traditional regression analyses pave the way to more innovative methods like machine learning, survival analysis, and competing risk modelling. Special attention is then devoted to scarce data and low default portfolios. A practical approach inspires the learning journey. In each section the theoretical dissertation is accompanied by Examples and Case Studies worked in R and SAS, the most widely used software packages used by practitioners in Credit Risk Management. Offers a broad survey that explains which models work best for mortgage, small business, cards, commercial real estate, commercial loans and other credit products Concentrates on specific aspects of the modelling process by focusing on lifetime estimates Provides an hands-on approach to enable readers to perform model development, validation and audit of credit risk models

Managing Portfolio Credit Risk in Banks: An Indian Perspective

Managing Portfolio Credit Risk in Banks: An Indian Perspective
Author: Arindam Bandyopadhyay
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 390
Release: 2016-05-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 110714647X

This book explains how a proper credit risk management framework enables banks to identify, assess and manage the risk proactively.

Intelligent Credit Scoring

Intelligent Credit Scoring
Author: Naeem Siddiqi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 469
Release: 2017-01-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119279151

A better development and implementation framework for credit risk scorecards Intelligent Credit Scoring presents a business-oriented process for the development and implementation of risk prediction scorecards. The credit scorecard is a powerful tool for measuring the risk of individual borrowers, gauging overall risk exposure and developing analytically driven, risk-adjusted strategies for existing customers. In the past 10 years, hundreds of banks worldwide have brought the process of developing credit scoring models in-house, while ‘credit scores' have become a frequent topic of conversation in many countries where bureau scores are used broadly. In the United States, the ‘FICO' and ‘Vantage' scores continue to be discussed by borrowers hoping to get a better deal from the banks. While knowledge of the statistical processes around building credit scorecards is common, the business context and intelligence that allows you to build better, more robust, and ultimately more intelligent, scorecards is not. As the follow-up to Credit Risk Scorecards, this updated second edition includes new detailed examples, new real-world stories, new diagrams, deeper discussion on topics including WOE curves, the latest trends that expand scorecard functionality and new in-depth analyses in every chapter. Expanded coverage includes new chapters on defining infrastructure for in-house credit scoring, validation, governance, and Big Data. Black box scorecard development by isolated teams has resulted in statistically valid, but operationally unacceptable models at times. This book shows you how various personas in a financial institution can work together to create more intelligent scorecards, to avoid disasters, and facilitate better decision making. Key items discussed include: Following a clear step by step framework for development, implementation, and beyond Lots of real life tips and hints on how to detect and fix data issues How to realise bigger ROI from credit scoring using internal resources Explore new trends and advances to get more out of the scorecard Credit scoring is now a very common tool used by banks, Telcos, and others around the world for loan origination, decisioning, credit limit management, collections management, cross selling, and many other decisions. Intelligent Credit Scoring helps you organise resources, streamline processes, and build more intelligent scorecards that will help achieve better results.

Credit Risk Analytics

Credit Risk Analytics
Author: Bart Baesens
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 517
Release: 2016-10-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119143985

The long-awaited, comprehensive guide to practical credit risk modeling Credit Risk Analytics provides a targeted training guide for risk managers looking to efficiently build or validate in-house models for credit risk management. Combining theory with practice, this book walks you through the fundamentals of credit risk management and shows you how to implement these concepts using the SAS credit risk management program, with helpful code provided. Coverage includes data analysis and preprocessing, credit scoring; PD and LGD estimation and forecasting, low default portfolios, correlation modeling and estimation, validation, implementation of prudential regulation, stress testing of existing modeling concepts, and more, to provide a one-stop tutorial and reference for credit risk analytics. The companion website offers examples of both real and simulated credit portfolio data to help you more easily implement the concepts discussed, and the expert author team provides practical insight on this real-world intersection of finance, statistics, and analytics. SAS is the preferred software for credit risk modeling due to its functionality and ability to process large amounts of data. This book shows you how to exploit the capabilities of this high-powered package to create clean, accurate credit risk management models. Understand the general concepts of credit risk management Validate and stress-test existing models Access working examples based on both real and simulated data Learn useful code for implementing and validating models in SAS Despite the high demand for in-house models, there is little comprehensive training available; practitioners are left to comb through piece-meal resources, executive training courses, and consultancies to cobble together the information they need. This book ends the search by providing a comprehensive, focused resource backed by expert guidance. Credit Risk Analytics is the reference every risk manager needs to streamline the modeling process.

Interpretable Machine Learning

Interpretable Machine Learning
Author: Christoph Molnar
Publisher: Lulu.com
Total Pages: 320
Release: 2020
Genre: Artificial intelligence
ISBN: 0244768528

This book is about making machine learning models and their decisions interpretable. After exploring the concepts of interpretability, you will learn about simple, interpretable models such as decision trees, decision rules and linear regression. Later chapters focus on general model-agnostic methods for interpreting black box models like feature importance and accumulated local effects and explaining individual predictions with Shapley values and LIME. All interpretation methods are explained in depth and discussed critically. How do they work under the hood? What are their strengths and weaknesses? How can their outputs be interpreted? This book will enable you to select and correctly apply the interpretation method that is most suitable for your machine learning project.