Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Games and Bargaining
Author | : Richard Schwindt |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 212 |
Release | : 1995 |
Genre | : Decision making |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Richard Schwindt |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 212 |
Release | : 1995 |
Genre | : Decision making |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Charalambos D. Aliprantis |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press, USA |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2011 |
Genre | : Decision making |
ISBN | : 9780195300222 |
Games and Decision Making, Second Edition, is a unique blend of decision theory and game theory. From classical optimization to modern game theory, authors Charalambos D. Aliprantis and Subir K. Chakrabarti show the importance of mathematical knowledge in understanding and analyzing issues in decision making. Through an imaginative selection of topics, Aliprantis and Chakrabarti treat decision and game theory as part of one body of knowledge. They move from problems involving the individual decision-maker to progressively more complex problems such as sequential rationality, auctions, and bargaining. By building each chapter on material presented earlier, the authors offer a self-contained and comprehensive treatment of these topics. Successfully class-tested in an advanced undergraduate course at the Krannert School of Management and in a graduate course in economics at Indiana University, Games and Decision Making, Second Edition, is an essential text for advanced undergraduates and graduate students of decision theory and game theory. The book is accessible to students who have a good basic understanding of elementary calculus and probability theory.
Author | : R.W. Scholz |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 457 |
Release | : 1983-11-01 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 0080866700 |
This volume contains the revised papers of an international symposium on research on fallacies, biases, and the development of decision behavior under uncertainty. The papers are organized in five main sections.The Introduction outlines the conceptual framework and how three of the sections - Cognitive Decision Research, Social Interaction, and Development and Epistemology - are interrelated and also how new fields, such as research into developmental questions, can be productively integrated.In the fifth section Comments are collected, which evaluate the impact of the contributions on decision research itself, and also on cognitive psychology, social psychology, economic theory, ant the discipline of mathematics education.
Author | : Anthony Kelly |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 228 |
Release | : 2003-03-27 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781139438131 |
Game theory is a key element in most decision-making processes involving two or more people or organisations. This book explains how game theory can predict the outcome of complex decision-making processes, and how it can help you to improve your own negotiation and decision-making skills. It is grounded in well-established theory, yet the wide-ranging international examples used to illustrate its application offer a fresh approach to an essential weapon in the armoury of the informed manager. The book is accessibly written, explaining in simple terms the underlying mathematics behind games of skill, before moving on to more sophisticated topics such as zero-sum games, mixed-motive games, and multi-person games, coalitions and power. Clear examples and helpful diagrams are used throughout, and the mathematics is kept to a minimum. It is written for managers, students and decision makers in any field.
Author | : Kerstin Preuschoff |
Publisher | : Frontiers Media SA |
Total Pages | : 144 |
Release | : 2015-06-16 |
Genre | : Biological psychiatry |
ISBN | : 2889194663 |
Most decisions in life are based on incomplete information and have uncertain consequences. To successfully cope with real-life situations, the nervous system has to estimate, represent and eventually resolve uncertainty at various levels. A common tradeoff in such decisions involves those between the magnitude of the expected rewards and the uncertainty of obtaining the rewards. For instance, a decision maker may choose to forgo the high expected rewards of investing in the stock market and settle instead for the lower expected reward and much less uncertainty of a savings account. Little is known about how different forms of uncertainty, such as risk or ambiguity, are processed and learned about and how they are integrated with expected rewards and individual preferences throughout the decision making process. With this Research Topic we aim to provide a deeper and more detailed understanding of the processes behind decision making under uncertainty.
Author | : Joe Lorkowski |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 167 |
Release | : 2017-07-01 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 3319622145 |
This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events. Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with “granules” that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities. This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making —so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.
Author | : Clara Weinhardt |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 200 |
Release | : 2019-11-22 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 1351402528 |
This book shows how a constructivist account of bargaining sheds new light on the emergence of impasse situations in international trade negotiations. It uncovers the subtle ways in which misperceptions – and the problems of overcoming them – complicate negotiations. It brings to the forefront misperceptions and sticky beliefs that complicate trade talks between the Global South and the Global North. Empirically, the book examines the recent negotiations of Economic Partnership Agreements between the European Union (EU) and West Africa (2002–2014). In doing so, it enriches the study of negotiations of development-oriented trade agreements in the context of a major North-South partnership. By exploring a constructivist perspective on game theory, the author uncovers how the repeated impasse situations followed from the different "games" both sides expected to be playing. The author shows that such misperceptions endured because they reflected deep-seated normative disagreements not only over the effects of neo-liberal trade reforms, but also over how to structure EU – Africa post-colonial trade relations in the 21st century. Comparing and contrasting both sides’ divergent perspectives helps us to see how trade negotiations are never just about economic interests, but also about the (re)negotiation of the values and ideas that structure state interaction. The book draws on a large set of qualitative primary data on EU-West Africa trade negotiations. Negotiating trade in uncertain worlds will be of great interest to students and scholars of international relations, international political economy, international trade, international negotiations, EU external relations, EU-Africa cooperation, economic diplomacy, international relations of the developing world, and North-South cooperation.
Author | : Herbert Blumberg |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 370 |
Release | : 2011-10-05 |
Genre | : Psychology |
ISBN | : 1461400252 |
Small group research is of particularly wide interest to people working in a fairly broad variety of areas concerned with understanding conflict, especially for practitioners and researchers concerned with conflict resolution, peace, and related areas. The editors will focus on six main topical areas of small group research, which include: - Cooperation, competition, and conflict resolution - Coalitions, bargaining, and games - Group dynamics and social cognition - The group and organization - Team performance - Intergroup relations
Author | : Howard Raiffa |
Publisher | : Harvard University Press |
Total Pages | : 390 |
Release | : 1982 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780674048133 |
"How to resolve conflicts and get the best out of bargaining." -- T.p. cover.
Author | : Laura Concina |
Publisher | : FonCSI |
Total Pages | : 52 |
Release | : 2015-03-01 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : |
Since technological risk issues imply stakeholders with different preferences and objectives, they are largely submitted to negotiation. Bargaining is ubiquitous and this Regard aims to give an overview of the bargaining process from an economic point of view. In an extent, its scope is to focus on what we can grasp from theory in order to understand better how negotiation can evolve.