Cycles The Science Of Prediction
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Author | : Edward R. Dewey |
Publisher | : Simon and Schuster |
Total Pages | : 304 |
Release | : 2015-08-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1681462737 |
It is the business of science to predict. An exact science like astronomy can usually make very accurate predictions indeed. A chemist makes a precise prediction every time he writes a formula. The nuclear physicist advertised to the world, in the atomic bomb, how man can deal with entities so small that they are completely beyond the realm of sense perception, yet make predictions astonishing in their accuracy and significance. Economics is now reaching a point where it can hope also to make rather accurate predictions, within limits which this study will explain. This is the only eBook edition that comes complete with more than 150 graphs and charts.
Author | : Edward Dewey |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 274 |
Release | : 2013-11-13 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9781493759101 |
In 1947 Edward R. Dewey and Edwin F. Dakin published their book Cycles: The Science of Prediction which argued the United States economy was driven by four cycles of different length. Dewey devoted his life to the study of cycles, claiming that "everything that has been studied has been found to have cycles present." He carried out extensive studies of cyclicity in economic, geological, biological, sociology, physical sciences and other disciplines. As a result of his research, Dewey asserted that seemingly unrelated time series often had similar cycles periods present and that when they did the phase of these cycles was mostly very similar (cycle synchrony). He also said that there were many cycles with periods that were related by powers or products of 2 and 3. Dewey understood his cycle theory to be capable of understanding what the market is going to do and of predicting what may come.
Author | : Edward R. Dewey |
Publisher | : Harriman House Limited |
Total Pages | : 240 |
Release | : 2024-03-19 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0857199587 |
Edward R. Dewey, as chief economist in the Hoover Administration, was tasked by President Hoover to figure out what caused the 1929 stock market crash and ensuing depression. In the course of his extensive investigations, he became convinced that something important was missing from our collective knowledge of how economies and societies work—a working knowledge of cycles. He was joined in his quest to establish a “science of cycles” by other leaders of his time, including Ivy League scientists, Smithsonian Directors, Industrial CEOs, Ambassadors, and political leaders. First published in 1971, Cycles: The Mysterious Forces that Trigger Events was Dewey’s answer to President Hoover’s question and to many more questions which had arisen from his decades of research. Are there cycles in nature? In war? On Wall Street? In the universe? In you? Are cycles across different phenomena aligned with each other? Find out in this compelling book! You can also learn more about how Dewey’s work continues today at cycles.org.
Author | : Roger Penrose |
Publisher | : Vintage |
Total Pages | : 307 |
Release | : 2011-09-06 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 0307596745 |
From Nobel prize-winner Roger Penrose, this groundbreaking book is for anyone "who is interested in the world, how it works, and how it got here" (New York Journal of Books). Penrose presents a new perspective on three of cosmology’s essential questions: What came before the Big Bang? What is the source of order in our universe? And what cosmic future awaits us? He shows how the expected fate of our ever-accelerating and expanding universe—heat death or ultimate entropy—can actually be reinterpreted as the conditions that will begin a new “Big Bang.” He details the basic principles beneath our universe, explaining various standard and non-standard cosmological models, the fundamental role of the cosmic microwave background, the paramount significance of black holes, and other basic building blocks of contemporary physics. Intellectually thrilling and widely accessible, Cycles of Time is a welcome new contribution to our understanding of the universe from one of our greatest mathematicians and thinkers.
Author | : Peter Turchin |
Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
Total Pages | : 361 |
Release | : 2009-08-09 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0691136963 |
"Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications."--BOOK JACKET.
Author | : Neil Killion |
Publisher | : Strategic Book Publishing |
Total Pages | : 372 |
Release | : 2012-12 |
Genre | : Biography & Autobiography |
ISBN | : 9781618971111 |
The Life Cycles Revolution offers comprehensive proof that your life progresses in symbolic twelve year cycles. A follow up to the critically acclaimed book Life Cycles, this book takes the theory and the evidence to a whole new level. Based solely on the biographic record, readers will be introduced to new terms, new research methods, new icons and a new form of prediction. Napoleon, Albert Einstein, Ghandi, J.K. Rowling, Jerry Seinfeld and Lady Gaga are just a few of the many famous lives examined. This book will lay the only genuine bridge between the occult and science with the newest and perhaps most valid system of self-knowledge ever devised. The Life Cycles Revolution's ten methods will guide you in every facet of your life, including, romance, relationships and your career, as well as teach you how to counsel others. There is simply no more revolutionary book written about life. Neil Killion is a former psychologist and management consultant, who ran his own outplacement company for almost twenty years, in Sydney, Australia. Mr. Killion devotes his time to writing and exploring his original theory of life.He is an awarded amateur songwriter and a health and fitness devotee. Publisher's website: http: //sbapr.com/NeilKillio
Author | : Christopher Grafton |
Publisher | : Harriman House Limited |
Total Pages | : 384 |
Release | : 2011-11-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0857191985 |
One of the best classical methods of technical analysis brought up to date This book offers a modern treatment of Hurst's original system of market cycle analysis. It will teach you how to get to the point where you can isolate cycles in any freely-traded financial instrument and make an assessment of their likely future course. Although Hurst's methodology can seem outwardly complex, the logic underpinning it is straightforward. With practice the skill needed to conduct a full cycle analysis quickly and effectively will become second nature. The rewards for becoming adept are high conviction trades, tight risk management and mastery of a largely non-correlated system of analysis. In this extensive step-by-step guide you will find a full description of the principal tools and techniques taught by Hurst as well as over 120 colour charts, together with tables and diagrams. The Updata and TradeStation code for all of the indicators shown is also included.
Author | : Siegfried Fred Singer |
Publisher | : Rowman & Littlefield Publishers |
Total Pages | : 282 |
Release | : 2007 |
Genre | : Global temperature changes |
ISBN | : 9780742551176 |
Argues that global warming is a natural, cyclical phenomenon that has not been caused by human activities and that its negative consequences have been greatly overestimated.
Author | : William Strauss |
Publisher | : Crown |
Total Pages | : 401 |
Release | : 1997-12-29 |
Genre | : History |
ISBN | : 0767900464 |
NATIONAL BESTSELLER • Discover the game-changing theory of the cycles of history and what past generations can teach us about living through times of upheaval—with deep insights into the roles that Boomers, Generation X, and Millennials have to play—now with a new preface by Neil Howe. First comes a High, a period of confident expansion. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion. Then comes an Unraveling, in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis—the Fourth Turning—when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world—and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about how America’s past will predict what comes next. Strauss and Howe base this vision on a provocative theory of American history. The authors look back five hundred years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four twenty-year eras—or “turnings”—that comprise history’s seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. Illustrating this cycle through a brilliant analysis of the post–World War II period, The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively, for this rendezvous with destiny.
Author | : Peter Turchin |
Publisher | : Penguin |
Total Pages | : 405 |
Release | : 2007 |
Genre | : History |
ISBN | : 9780452288195 |
Argues that the key to the formation of an empire lies in a society's capacity for collective action, resulting from people banding together to confront a common enemy, and describing how the growth of empires leads to a growing dichotomy between rich and poor, increasing conflict instead of cooperation, and inevitable dissolution. Reprint. 25,000 first printing.