Crime and Output: Theory and Application to the Northern Triangle of Central America

Crime and Output: Theory and Application to the Northern Triangle of Central America
Author: Dmitry Plotnikov
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2020-01-16
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1513519271

This paper presents a structural model of crime and output. Individuals make an occupational choice between criminal and legal activities. The return to becoming a criminal is endogenously determined in a general equilibrium together with the level of crime and economic activity. I calibrate the model to the Northern Triangle countries and conduct several policy experiments. I find that for a country like Honduras crime reduces GDP by about 3 percent through its negative effect on employment indirectly, in addition to direct costs of crime associated with material losses, which are in line with literature estimates. Also, the model generates a non-linear effect of crime on output and vice versa. On average I find that a one percent increase in output per capita implies about 1⁄2 percent decline in crime, while a decrease of about 5 percent in crime leads to about one percent increase in output per capita. These positive effects are larger if the initial level of crime is larger.

Escaping the Governance Trap

Escaping the Governance Trap
Author: Neil Shenai
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 170
Release: 2022-07-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030990230

The COVID-19 pandemic has fundamentally altered the global economic landscape, with the smallest and most vulnerable economies particularly hard hit. In the Northern Triangle countries of El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras, the crisis has cost lives and livelihoods. It has impacted both the demand and supply sides of the economy, posing difficult policy tradeoffs. Risks to macroeconomic stability are now growing. Each country will likely exit the crisis with an even greater need for reform. Escaping the Governance Trap: Economic Reform in the Northern Triangle provides a framework for understanding the challenges of those three Central American nations, proposing that the lack of governing capacity in each country is a crucial problem. This book argues that economic reforms can help the Northern Triangle countries escape their governance traps and identifies priority areas of economic reform. Sectors covered include fiscal policy, monetary and exchange rate policy, financial access and deterrence, and structural reforms. It also highlights the role that stakeholders like the United States can play to help in these reform efforts, and how those outcomes affect the United States and the global community. All told, Escaping the Governance Trap provides an accessible, direct account of the Northern Triangle’s economic challenges and how to fix them.

OECD Development Pathways Multi-dimensional Review of El Salvador Strategic Priorities for Robust, Inclusive and Sustainable Development

OECD Development Pathways Multi-dimensional Review of El Salvador Strategic Priorities for Robust, Inclusive and Sustainable Development
Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Total Pages: 502
Release: 2023-04-18
Genre:
ISBN: 9264644660

El Salvador has made significant development progress in the past 30 years. The end of the civil war in 1992 marked the establishment of a liberal democracy and an open export-led development model, which led to a reduction in poverty and inequality. However, with economic growth averaging a modest 2.4% in the years before the COVID-19 pandemic, and productivity growth of 0.1% over the past decade, the post-war model has not generated the economic momentum or the jobs that the country needs.

Guatemala: Selected Issues

Guatemala: Selected Issues
Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2022-06-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Guatemala: Selected Issues

Transnational Organized Crime in Central America and the Caribbean

Transnational Organized Crime in Central America and the Caribbean
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 86
Release: 2012
Genre: Organized crime
ISBN:

This report is one of several studies conducted by UNODC on organized crime threats around the world. These studies describe what is known about the mechanics of contraband trafficking - the what, who, how, and how much of illicit flows - and discuss their potential impact on governance and development. Their primary role is diagnostic, but they also explore the implications of these findings for policy. Publisher's note.

The Globalization of Crime

The Globalization of Crime
Author: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime
Publisher: UN
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789211302950

In The globalization of crime: a transnational organized crime threat assessment, UNODC analyses a range of key transnational crime threats, including human trafficking, migrant smuggling, the illicit heroin and cocaine trades, cybercrime, maritime piracy and trafficking in environmental resources, firearms and counterfeit goods. The report also examines a number of cases where transnational organized crime and instability amplify each other to create vicious circles in which countries or even subregions may become locked. Thus, the report offers a striking view of the global dimensions of organized crime today.

Mapping Crime

Mapping Crime
Author: Keith D. Harries
Publisher:
Total Pages: 220
Release: 1995
Genre: Cartography
ISBN:

Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040
Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
Total Pages: 158
Release: 2021-03
Genre:
ISBN: 9781646794973

"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Promessas Não Cumpridas

Promessas Não Cumpridas
Author: Inter-American Dialogue (Organization)
Publisher:
Total Pages: 153
Release: 2019
Genre: Cooperation
ISBN: 9781733727617

The volume takes a broad view of recent social, political, and economic developments in Latin America. It contains six essays, focused on salient and cross-cutting themes, that try to construct a thread or narrative about the highly diverse region, highlighting its main idiosyncrasies and analyzing where it might be headed in coming years. While the essays recognize considerable advances, they also point out setbacks and missed opportunities that have stood in the way of sustained progress. Strengthening state capacity emerges as a significant challenge.