Correlations Between Real Interest Rates and Output in a Dynamic International Model

Correlations Between Real Interest Rates and Output in a Dynamic International Model
Author: Ms.Jahanara Zaman
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 44
Release: 1998-12-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451859007

This paper examines the extent to which a dynamic international general equilibrium model can account for observed movements in real interest rates and interest rate differentials. Using data for Group of Seven, the study finds that measured real interest rates are countercyclical in a single country and that the contemporaneous cross-correlations between international real interest differentials and output growth spreads are negative. Predictions of the baseline model are, however, inconsistent with the data. Extending the benchmark model to include habit persistence in consumption improves the match between theory and data.

The Exchange Rate in a Dynamic-Optimizing Current Account Model with Nominal Rigidities

The Exchange Rate in a Dynamic-Optimizing Current Account Model with Nominal Rigidities
Author: Robert Miguel W. K. Kollman
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 52
Release: 1997-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451928521

This paper studies dynamic-optimizing model of a semi-small open economy with sticky nominal prices and wages. The model exhibits exchange rate overshooting in response to money supply shocks. The predicted variability of nominal and real exchange rates is roughly consistent with that of G-7 effective exchange rates during the post-Bretton Woods era. The model predicts that a positive domestic money supply shock lowers the domestic nominal interest rate, that it raises output and that it leads to a nominal and real depreciation of the country’s currency. Increases in domestic labor productivity and in the world interest rate too are predicted to induce a nominal and real exchange rate depreciation.

Bank Lending and Interest Rate Changes in a Dynamic Matching Model

Bank Lending and Interest Rate Changes in a Dynamic Matching Model
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 47
Release: 1998-06-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451951310

This paper presents theory and evidence on the dynamic relationship between aggregate bank lending and interest rate changes. Theoretically, it proposes and solves a stochastic matching model where credit expansion and contraction are time consuming. It shows that the response of bank lending to changes in money market rates is likely to be asymmetric and depends crucially on two structural parameters: the speed at which new loans become available, and the speed at which banks recall existing loans. Empirically, it provides evidence that bank lending in Mexico and the United States responds asymmetrically to positive and negative shocks in money market rates.

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China: 1980-2002

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China: 1980-2002
Author: Mr. Zhongxia Jin
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2003-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451895453

Based on China''s experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in China. Taking into account institutional changes, the empirical study shows that significant and usually non-monotonic interactions exist between these three variables. The paper discusses theoretical and policy implications of the empirical result.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 46, No. 1

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 46, No. 1
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 116
Release: 1999-03-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451974558

This economic journal contains theoretical and empirical analyses of varous macroeconomic issues. The studies are prepapred by IMF research staff or consultants. Subjects covered inclulde balance of payments and exchange rates, monetary systems and policies, public finances, international trade, economic growth, and some sectoral analyses. The last issue of the year contains an index to the volume. Approximately 200 pages in each issue.

Exchange-Rate Dark Matter

Exchange-Rate Dark Matter
Author: Mr.Martin D. Evans
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 63
Release: 2012-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463949553

Dark matter accounts for 83 percent of the matter in the universe and plays a central role in cosmology modeling. This paper argues that an analogous form of dark matter plays a similarly important role in international macroeconomics. Exchange-rate dark matter is invisible, but its existence can be inferred from observations on real exchange rates and interest rates. I first show that dark matter is the dominant driver of short- and medium-term changes in real exchange rates for the G-7 countries; accounting for more than 90 percent of the variance at the five-year horizon. I then develop a model in which risk shocks account for dark matter's role as a driver of exchange-rate dynamics and other macro variables.

Housing Markets in Europe

Housing Markets in Europe
Author: Olivier de Bandt
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 416
Release: 2010-10-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642153402

During the recession in the years 2008-2009, the most severe for mature economies in the post-war period, housing markets were often mentioned as having a special responsibility. The objective of this book is to shed light on the cyclical behaviour of the housing markets, its fundamental determinants in terms of supply and demand characteristics, and its relationship with the overall business cycle. The co-movements of house prices across countries are also considered, as well as the channel of transmission of house price changes to the rest of the economy. Particular attention is paid to the effects on private consumption, through possible wealth effects. The book is a compilation of original papers produced by economists and researchers from the four main national central banks in the euro area, also with the participation of leading academics.

Economic Recovery, Consolidation, and Sustainable Growth

Economic Recovery, Consolidation, and Sustainable Growth
Author: Abdylmenaf Bexheti
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 845
Release: 2024-01-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3031425111

This book presents carefully selected chapters from the proceedings of the 6th International Scientific Conference on Business and Economics (ISCBE),Tetovo, North Macedonia, which took place in May 2023. The chapters address a wide range of areas relevant to contemporary business and economics issues such as economic shocks, high inflation, energy crisis, COVID-19, growth prospects, economic forecast, labor market, gender inequalities, migration, entrepreneurship, and family businesses, firm development and innovations, technological transformation, etc. Researchers learn about the latest studies that discuss emerging challenges and perspectives of business and economics in the perspective of post-crisis economic recovery, consolidation, and stability.

Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics

Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics
Author: Michael McAleer
Publisher: MDPI
Total Pages: 536
Release: 2019-07-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3038974439

Risk measures play a vital role in many subfields of economics and finance. It has been proposed that risk measures could be analysed in relation to the performance of variables extracted from empirical real-world data. For example, risk measures may help inform effective monetary and fiscal policies and, therefore, the further development of pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.A Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” will be devoted to advancements in the mathematical and statistical development of risk measures with applications in finance and economics. This Special Issue will bring together the theory, practice and real-world applications of risk measures. This book is a collection of papers published in the Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” for Sustainability in 2018.