Comparison of 1-D and 3-D Hydrodynamic and Salinity Transport Models of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta

Comparison of 1-D and 3-D Hydrodynamic and Salinity Transport Models of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta
Author: Katrina Harrison
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN: 9781369343137

Evaluation of future Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta scenarios requires hydrodynamic and salinity transport modeling to assess water quality affects to both the environment and water supply. This paper compares modeling results from a simplified, tidally-averaged one-dimensional model of the Delta (WAM) with results from the coarse grid San Francisco Bay-Delta Unstructured Tidal, Residual, Intertidal & Mudflat Model (UnTRIM), a 3D adjustable bed hydrodynamic model (MacWilliams and Gross, 2007). UnTRIM provides finer scale input parameters and additional dimensionality not available in WAM. Modeling scenarios include zero, one and three feet of sea level rise, unimpaired Delta inflows, historical Delta salinities with no exports, in-Delta exports (current conditions), upstream exports from a 2,000 cubic feet per second (cfs) capacity pipe, and upstream exports from a 7,500 cfs capacity pipe, for 6 total scenarios. When salinity results were compared to regulatory thresholds, WAM and UnTRIM were found to provide similar trends. WAM thus becomes a useful planning model, demonstrating computational speed advantages over a 3D model while providing relatively accurate results for water supply and regulatory compliance purposes. Large differences occur at Collinsville, where UnTRIM results show much higher salinity than WAM results. This may be due to the relatively nearby WAM model domain in San Pablo Bay, the lack of Three Mile Slough in WAM’s network, the tidal averaging of WAM results, and/or WAM’s lack of wind representation. Results also show differences in sea level rise scenarios between the two models. Higher sea levels tended to raise salinity less in UnTRIM than with WAM. WAM may over-estimate the effect of sea level rise on Delta salinity. Differences in absolute salinity values up to 60% were noted for some cases and locations, however minimal differences in the time above thresholds were found. Thus, the results of Fleenor and Bombardelli (2013) are confirmed with a 3D model.

Comparing Delta Flow and Transport Models

Comparing Delta Flow and Transport Models
Author: Swetcha Reddy
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN: 9781267759870

The Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta (simply the Delta) constitutes the heart of California's water supply and economy. The growing importance of the Delta has led to the development of several numerical models to predict hydrodynamic as well as water quality conditions. The past few years have seen major changes in model development with the advancement from one- and two-dimensional (1- and 2-D) models to 3-D models. These hydrodynamic and transport models will play, in the future, an important role in the management of the Delta, with regard to climate change (for instance sea level rise), water allocations and land use. This project's main objective is to provide an assessment of the most important models, in terms of their ability to predict, with accuracy, flow and salinity in the Delta. The models analyzed are RMA2 and RMA-WAM, both models developed by Resource Management Associates (RMA), and DSM2, developed by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR). For each model, simulations were undertaken using similar input and boundary conditions. The model performance was assessed for several scenarios comprising of relatively wet and dry years and high and low pumping, by comparing model results to observed data which have been collected by various water agencies. Thirty-two stations within the Delta were chosen for this purpose. Plot comparisons and statistical metrics help in understanding the models in depth, and their complexities. Several shortcomings on the observed data and uncertainties in model implementation (due to the complexity of the Delta system) are also highlighted. Plot comparisons include daily averaged data of stage, flow and salinity, displayed over the water year; tidally averaged data; 15-minute/1-hour data, displayed over the month of March; 15-minute/1-hour data, displayed from March to July; scatter plots with their respective R2 values, showing predicted versus observed values. Metrics used in this work are: Phase Errors, Amplitude Errors, Percentage Root Mean Square Differences (RMSD) and Goodness of fit tests (Scatter Plots and R2 values). Our work shows that DSM2 and RMA2 present similar, good prediction levels, with overall RMSD of about 20-25% with respect to field data, for salinity. The predictions of stage varies from very good to excellent with average phase differences less than 30 min, and the prediction of flow discharge is very good in general. The project thus advances a complete and unprecedented characterization of the accuracy of the prediction of models in terms of year and region in the Delta.

Comparing Futures for the Sacramento, San Joaquin Delta

Comparing Futures for the Sacramento, San Joaquin Delta
Author: Jay Lund
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Total Pages: 257
Release: 2010-02-02
Genre: Nature
ISBN: 0520945379

An ecosystem in freefall, a shrinking water supply for cities and agriculture, an antiquated network of failure-prone levees—this is the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, the major hub of California's water system. Written by a team of independent water experts, this analysis of the latest data evaluates proposed solutions to the Delta's myriad problems. Through in-depth economic and ecological analysis, the authors find that the current policy of channeling water exports through the Delta is not sustainable for any interest. Employing a peripheral canal-conveying water around the Delta instead of through it—as part of a larger habitat and water management plan appears to be the best strategy to maintain both a high-quality water supply and at the same time improve conditions for native fish and wildlife. This important assessment includes integrated analysis of long term ecosystem and water management options and demonstrates how issues such as climate change and sustainability will shape the future. Published in cooperation with the Public Policy Institute of California