Exogeneity in Error Correction Models

Exogeneity in Error Correction Models
Author: Jean-Pierre Urbain
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 201
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642957064

In the recent years, the study of cointegrated time series and the use of error correction models have become extremely popular in the econometric literature. This book provides an analysis of the notion of (weak) exogeneity, which is necessary to sustain valid inference in sub-systems, inthe framework of error correction models (ECMs). In many practical situations, the applied econometrician wants to introduce "structure" on his/her model in order to get economically meaningful coefficients. For thispurpose, ECMs in structural form provide an appealing framework, allowing the researcher to introduce (theoretically motivated) identification restrictions on the long run relationships. In this case, the validity of the inference will depend on a number of conditions which are investigated here. In particular,we point out that orthogonality tests, often used to test for weak exogeneity or for general misspecification, behave poorly in finite samples and are often not very useful in cointegrated systems.

Cointegration

Cointegration
Author: Bhaskara B. Rao
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 247
Release: 2016-07-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1349235296

`This most commendable volume brings together a set of papers which permits ready access to the means of estimating quantitative relationships using cointegration and error correction procedures. Providing the data to show fully the basis for calculation, this approach is an excellent perception of the needs of senior undergraduates and graduate students.' - Professor W.P. Hogan, The University of Sydney Applied economists, with modest econometric background, are now desperately looking for expository literature on the unit roots and cointegration techniques. This volume of expository essays is written for them. It explains in a simple style various tests for the existence of unit roots and how to estimate cointegration relationships. Original data are given to enable easy replications. Limitations of some existing unit root tests are also discussed.

The Cointegrated VAR Model

The Cointegrated VAR Model
Author: Katarina Juselius
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 478
Release: 2006-12-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0191622966

This valuable text provides a comprehensive introduction to VAR modelling and how it can be applied. In particular, the author focuses on the properties of the Cointegrated VAR model and its implications for macroeconomic inference when data are non-stationary. The text provides a number of insights into the links between statistical econometric modelling and economic theory and gives a thorough treatment of identification of the long-run and short-run structure as well as of the common stochastic trends and the impulse response functions, providing in each case illustrations of applicability. This book presents the main ingredients of the Copenhagen School of Time-Series Econometrics in a transparent and coherent framework. The distinguishing feature of this school is that econometric theory and applications have been developed in close cooperation. The guiding principle is that good econometric work should take econometrics, institutions, and economics seriously. The author uses a single data set throughout most of the book to guide the reader through the econometric theory while also revealing the full implications for the underlying economic model. To test ensure full understanding the book concludes with the introduction of two new data sets to combine readers understanding of econometric theory and economic models, with economic reality.

Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change

Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change
Author: G. S. Maddala
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 528
Release: 1998
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521587822

A comprehensive review of unit roots, cointegration and structural change from a best-selling author.

Using Cointegration Analysis in Econometric Modelling

Using Cointegration Analysis in Econometric Modelling
Author: Richard I. D. Harris
Publisher: Prentice Hall
Total Pages: 176
Release: 1995
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780133558920

Cointegration has become an essential tool for applied economists wanting to estimate time series models. Without some form of testing for cointegration, non-stationary variables can lead to spurious regressions; this book introduces the student and practitioner to (co)integration testing and techniques at a very moderate technical level. The book's aim is a practical one: testing for (co)integration is explained thoroughly and with plenty of examples and there is an emphasis throughout on explaining how these tests are actually performed. Key Features: 'toolkit' approach with an emphasis on practice and the actual tests used, covers the Engle-Granger procedure, covers the Johansen technique, overview of structural VAR modelling, advanced and difficult concepts presented in technical boxes, thus preserving the flow of exposition, and boxed examples throughout. Though the material is presented non-technically, the reader will find that the book covers in detail those techniques that are now becoming standard in the literature. Readers are also taken through examples using relevant software such as PcFiml and Cats (in Rats).

Econometric Modelling of European Money Demand

Econometric Modelling of European Money Demand
Author: Engelbert Plassmann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 209
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642573363

The introduction of a single European currency constitutes a remarkable instance of internationalization of monetary policy. Whether a concomitant internationalization can be detected also in the econometric foundations of monetary policy is the topic dealt with in this book. The basic theoretical ingredients comprise a data-driven approach to econometric modelling and a generalized approach to cross-sectional aggregation. The empirical result is a data-consistent structural money demand function isolated within a properly identified, dynamic macroeconomic system for Europe. The book itself evolved from a research project within the former Son derforschungsbereich SFB 178 "Internationalization of the Economy" at the University of Konstanz. Its finalization entails a due amount of gratitude to be extended into several directions: I am personally indebted, first of all, to my academic supervisor, Professor Dr. Nikolaus Laufer, for originally inspiring this work and for meticulously perusing its eventual result. Professor Dr. Win fried Pohlmeier, as a second supervisor, provided valuable confidence bounds around an earlier draft. The comments of both supervisors contributed substantially to the present shape of the book. I am institutionally indebted to the University of Konstanz, notably its Faculty of Economics and Statistics, for continuous provision of an excellent research environment, and to the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft in Bonn for generous sponsorship of the former SFB, whose financial support dur ing that period is gratefully acknowledged. I am also indebted to Dresdner Bank AG Frankfurt, Risk Methodology Trading, for benign tolerance of all distractions associated with the preparation of the final manuscript.