The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate

The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
Author: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 755
Release: 2022-04-30
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9781009157971

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the leading international body for assessing the science related to climate change. It provides policymakers with regular assessments of the scientific basis of human-induced climate change, its impacts and future risks, and options for adaptation and mitigation. This IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate is the most comprehensive and up-to-date assessment of the observed and projected changes to the ocean and cryosphere and their associated impacts and risks, with a focus on resilience, risk management response options, and adaptation measures, considering both their potential and limitations. It brings together knowledge on physical and biogeochemical changes, the interplay with ecosystem changes, and the implications for human communities. It serves policymakers, decision makers, stakeholders, and all interested parties with unbiased, up-to-date, policy-relevant information. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.

Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington

Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 274
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0309255945

Tide gauges show that global sea level has risen about 7 inches during the 20th century, and recent satellite data show that the rate of sea-level rise is accelerating. As Earth warms, sea levels are rising mainly because ocean water expands as it warms; and water from melting glaciers and ice sheets is flowing into the ocean. Sea-level rise poses enormous risks to the valuable infrastructure, development, and wetlands that line much of the 1,600 mile shoreline of California, Oregon, and Washington. As those states seek to incorporate projections of sea-level rise into coastal planning, they asked the National Research Council to make independent projections of sea-level rise along their coasts for the years 2030, 2050, and 2100, taking into account regional factors that affect sea level. Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future explains that sea level along the U.S. west coast is affected by a number of factors. These include: climate patterns such as the El NiƱo, effects from the melting of modern and ancient ice sheets, and geologic processes, such as plate tectonics. Regional projections for California, Oregon, and Washington show a sharp distinction at Cape Mendocino in northern California. South of that point, sea-level rise is expected to be very close to global projections. However, projections are lower north of Cape Mendocino because the land is being pushed upward as the ocean plate moves under the continental plate along the Cascadia Subduction Zone. However, an earthquake magnitude 8 or larger, which occurs in the region every few hundred to 1,000 years, would cause the land to drop and sea level to suddenly rise.

Coastal Ocean Modeling Using Variational Methods for Freshwater Dispersal Study, Data Assimilation and Observing System Design

Coastal Ocean Modeling Using Variational Methods for Freshwater Dispersal Study, Data Assimilation and Observing System Design
Author: Weifeng Zhang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 213
Release: 2009
Genre: Oceanography
ISBN:

Coastal oceans as highly productive components of the global ocean play crucial roles in global carbon cycle and climate change. The wide continental shelf off US east coast is a typical coastal environment that serves as a buffer zone between human activities and open oceans. This thesis investigates the dispersal pattern of Hudson River outflow in the New York Bight (NYB). It applies adjoint sensitivity, Incremental Strong Constraint 4D Variational Data Assimilation (IS4DVAR) and representer-based optimal observation to integrate coastal ocean modeling and observation capabilities. Firstly, analysis of a 2-year model simulation identifies three freshwater pathways: along (i) the New Jersey coast, (ii) the Long Island coast, and (iii) a Mid-shelf Pathway. It is shown that the New Jersey coast Pathway dominates winter months and the Mid-shelf Pathway summer months. It is also demonstrated that wind is the primary force for spreading freshwater into mid- and outer-shelf and presence of the Hudson Valley strengthens freshwater recirculation in the New York Apex area. Secondly, the Constituent-oriented Age and Residence time Theory is implemented to simulate the age and residence time of the Hudson River plume. Analysis shows strong seasonality of surface mean age and residence time consistent with seasonal variation of the circulation. Time series analysis shows that spatial and temporal variations of the time scales in NYB are largely buoyancy- and wind-driven. Thirdly, adjoint sensitivity analysis applied on the New Jersey inner shelf identifies water sources and quantitatively compares the contributions of different variables to a chosen oceanic process. Fourthly, IS4DVAR is used to assimilate observational data collected by all instrument types during spring 2006. It reduces the model-observation misfit by 60% and improves forecast of temperature, salinity and velocity. Finally, a representer-based optimal observation system is applied to identify the optimal sampling locations for predicting salt transport within the Hudson Shelf Valley. The system is then used to compare the influence area of existing observations. This work prototypes the integration of observation and modeling in a coastal environment and demonstrates the use of traditional and variational tools to reveal the physical processes in a shelf region.

Advancing the Science of Climate Change

Advancing the Science of Climate Change
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 526
Release: 2011-01-10
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0309145880

Climate change is occurring, is caused largely by human activities, and poses significant risks for-and in many cases is already affecting-a broad range of human and natural systems. The compelling case for these conclusions is provided in Advancing the Science of Climate Change, part of a congressionally requested suite of studies known as America's Climate Choices. While noting that there is always more to learn and that the scientific process is never closed, the book shows that hypotheses about climate change are supported by multiple lines of evidence and have stood firm in the face of serious debate and careful evaluation of alternative explanations. As decision makers respond to these risks, the nation's scientific enterprise can contribute through research that improves understanding of the causes and consequences of climate change and also is useful to decision makers at the local, regional, national, and international levels. The book identifies decisions being made in 12 sectors, ranging from agriculture to transportation, to identify decisions being made in response to climate change. Advancing the Science of Climate Change calls for a single federal entity or program to coordinate a national, multidisciplinary research effort aimed at improving both understanding and responses to climate change. Seven cross-cutting research themes are identified to support this scientific enterprise. In addition, leaders of federal climate research should redouble efforts to deploy a comprehensive climate observing system, improve climate models and other analytical tools, invest in human capital, and improve linkages between research and decisions by forming partnerships with action-oriented programs.

Sustaining Ocean Observations to Understand Future Changes in Earth's Climate

Sustaining Ocean Observations to Understand Future Changes in Earth's Climate
Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 151
Release: 2018-01-20
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0309466806

The ocean is an integral component of the Earth's climate system. It covers about 70% of the Earth's surface and acts as its primary reservoir of heat and carbon, absorbing over 90% of the surplus heat and about 30% of the carbon dioxide associated with human activities, and receiving close to 100% of fresh water lost from land ice. With the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, notably carbon dioxide from fossil fuel combustion, the Earth's climate is now changing more rapidly than at any time since the advent of human societies. Society will increasingly face complex decisions about how to mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change such as droughts, sea-level rise, ocean acidification, species loss, changes to growing seasons, and stronger and possibly more frequent storms. Observations play a foundational role in documenting the state and variability of components of the climate system and facilitating climate prediction and scenario development. Regular and consistent collection of ocean observations over decades to centuries would monitor the Earth's main reservoirs of heat, carbon dioxide, and water and provides a critical record of long-term change and variability over multiple time scales. Sustained high-quality observations are also needed to test and improve climate models, which provide insights into the future climate system. Sustaining Ocean Observations to Understand Future Changes in Earth's Climate considers processes for identifying priority ocean observations that will improve understanding of the Earth's climate processes, and the challenges associated with sustaining these observations over long timeframes.

Climate Change and Coastal Ecosystems

Climate Change and Coastal Ecosystems
Author: Robert J. Livingston
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 572
Release: 2014-11-03
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1466568437

Produced by a Leading Aquatic ScientistA narrative account of how estuaries around the world are being altered by human forces and human-induced global climate changes, Climate Change and Coastal Ecosystems: Long-Term Effects of Climate and Nutrient Loading on Trophic Organization chronicles a more than 40-year-old research effort conducted by Dr.