Classical And Bayesian Analysis Of Univariate And Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models
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Author | : Jin-Chuan Duan |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 791 |
Release | : 2011-10-25 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3642172547 |
Any financial asset that is openly traded has a market price. Except for extreme market conditions, market price may be more or less than a “fair” value. Fair value is likely to be some complicated function of the current intrinsic value of tangible or intangible assets underlying the claim and our assessment of the characteristics of the underlying assets with respect to the expected rate of growth, future dividends, volatility, and other relevant market factors. Some of these factors that affect the price can be measured at the time of a transaction with reasonably high accuracy. Most factors, however, relate to expectations about the future and to subjective issues, such as current management, corporate policies and market environment, that could affect the future financial performance of the underlying assets. Models are thus needed to describe the stochastic factors and environment, and their implementations inevitably require computational finance tools.
Author | : Luc Bauwens |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 566 |
Release | : 2012-04-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0470872519 |
A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
Author | : Badi H. Baltagi |
Publisher | : Emerald Group Publishing |
Total Pages | : 403 |
Release | : 2016-12-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1785609858 |
Advances in Econometrics 37 highlights key research in econometrics in a user friendly way for economists who are not econometricians.
Author | : William Greene |
Publisher | : Emerald Group Publishing |
Total Pages | : 371 |
Release | : 2010-12-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0857241508 |
This collection of methodological developments and applications of simulation-based methods were presented at a workshop at Louisiana State University in November, 2009. Topics include: extensions of the GHK simulator; maximum-simulated likelihood; composite marginal likelihood; and modelling and forecasting volatility in a bayesian approach.
Author | : G. S. Maddala |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 760 |
Release | : 1996-12-11 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
A comprehensive reference work for teaching at graduate level and research in empirical finance. The chapters cover a wide range of statistical and probabilistic methods applied to a variety of financial methods and are written by internationally renowned experts.
Author | : Yuichi Mori |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 1096 |
Release | : 2004-07-14 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 9783540404644 |
The Handbook of Computational Statistics: Concepts and Methodology is divided into four parts. It begins with an overview over the field of Computational Statistics. The second part presents several topics in the supporting field of statistical computing. Emphasis is placed on the need of fast and accurate numerical algorithms and it discusses some of the basic methodologies for transformation, data base handling and graphics treatment. The third part focuses on statistical methodology. Special attention is given to smoothing, iterative procedures, simulation and visualization of multivariate data. Finally a set of selected applications like Bioinformatics, Medical Imaging, Finance and Network Intrusion Detection highlight the usefulness of computational statistics.
Author | : Kostas Triantafyllopoulos |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 503 |
Release | : 2021-11-12 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 303076124X |
Bayesian Inference of State Space Models: Kalman Filtering and Beyond offers a comprehensive introduction to Bayesian estimation and forecasting for state space models. The celebrated Kalman filter, with its numerous extensions, takes centre stage in the book. Univariate and multivariate models, linear Gaussian, non-linear and non-Gaussian models are discussed with applications to signal processing, environmetrics, economics and systems engineering. Over the past years there has been a growing literature on Bayesian inference of state space models, focusing on multivariate models as well as on non-linear and non-Gaussian models. The availability of time series data in many fields of science and industry on the one hand, and the development of low-cost computational capabilities on the other, have resulted in a wealth of statistical methods aimed at parameter estimation and forecasting. This book brings together many of these methods, presenting an accessible and comprehensive introduction to state space models. A number of data sets from different disciplines are used to illustrate the methods and show how they are applied in practice. The R package BTSA, created for the book, includes many of the algorithms and examples presented. The book is essentially self-contained and includes a chapter summarising the prerequisites in undergraduate linear algebra, probability and statistics. An up-to-date and complete account of state space methods, illustrated by real-life data sets and R code, this textbook will appeal to a wide range of students and scientists, notably in the disciplines of statistics, systems engineering, signal processing, data science, finance and econometrics. With numerous exercises in each chapter, and prerequisite knowledge conveniently recalled, it is suitable for upper undergraduate and graduate courses.
Author | : Luc Bauwens |
Publisher | : OUP Oxford |
Total Pages | : 370 |
Release | : 2000-01-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0191588466 |
This book contains an up-to-date coverage of the last twenty years advances in Bayesian inference in econometrics, with an emphasis on dynamic models. It shows how to treat Bayesian inference in non linear models, by integrating the useful developments of numerical integration techniques based on simulations (such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods), and the long available analytical results of Bayesian inference for linear regression models. It thus covers a broad range of rather recent models for economic time series, such as non linear models, autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regressions, and cointegrated vector autoregressive models. It contains also an extensive chapter on unit root inference from the Bayesian viewpoint. Several examples illustrate the methods.
Author | : Giovanni Petris |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 258 |
Release | : 2009-06-12 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 0387772383 |
State space models have gained tremendous popularity in recent years in as disparate fields as engineering, economics, genetics and ecology. After a detailed introduction to general state space models, this book focuses on dynamic linear models, emphasizing their Bayesian analysis. Whenever possible it is shown how to compute estimates and forecasts in closed form; for more complex models, simulation techniques are used. A final chapter covers modern sequential Monte Carlo algorithms. The book illustrates all the fundamental steps needed to use dynamic linear models in practice, using R. Many detailed examples based on real data sets are provided to show how to set up a specific model, estimate its parameters, and use it for forecasting. All the code used in the book is available online. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics or time series analysis is required, although familiarity with basic statistics and R is assumed.
Author | : Edward P. Herbst |
Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
Total Pages | : 295 |
Release | : 2015-12-29 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0691161089 |
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become one of the workhorses of modern macroeconomics and are extensively used for academic research as well as forecasting and policy analysis at central banks. This book introduces readers to state-of-the-art computational techniques used in the Bayesian analysis of DSGE models. The book covers Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques for linearized DSGE models, novel sequential Monte Carlo methods that can be used for parameter inference, and the estimation of nonlinear DSGE models based on particle filter approximations of the likelihood function. The theoretical foundations of the algorithms are discussed in depth, and detailed empirical applications and numerical illustrations are provided. The book also gives invaluable advice on how to tailor these algorithms to specific applications and assess the accuracy and reliability of the computations. Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models is essential reading for graduate students, academic researchers, and practitioners at policy institutions.