China's Evolving Stock Market Efficiency Reconsidered

China's Evolving Stock Market Efficiency Reconsidered
Author: Xiaoming Li
Publisher:
Total Pages: 18
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

Following recent studies on evolving stock markets in some of the European transition economies, we revisit the weak-form efficiency of China's stock markets by examining its changing behavior over the entire history of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges for which data are available. The Kalman Filter estimation technique is applied to the system consisting of a time-varying AR(2) model and an asymmetric ARCH equation. The estimates of predictability combined with other non-quantifiable, evolutionary characteristics of the markets are used to infer on their efficiency. Our research shows that, at their initial development stages, both the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets were inefficient, but the latter is less so than the former. However, the past decade clearly saw a steady convergence of the two markets towards efficiency, owing to the improvements in the market infrastructure, market liquidity, regulation enforcement, and so on.

The Efficiency of China's Stock Market

The Efficiency of China's Stock Market
Author: Shiguang Ma
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 302
Release: 2017-11-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1351146912

By investigating the efficiency of China's stock market in accordance with the theoretical framework of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, this book focuses on weak form and semi-strong form market efficiency. Empirical tests have been intensively conducted on the random walk hypothesis, the presence of market seasonality and the price reaction to publicly released information. In addition The Efficiency of China's Stock Market provides a comparative analysis between China's stock market and other countries' stock markets.

The Evolution of the Stock Market in China's Transitional Economy

The Evolution of the Stock Market in China's Transitional Economy
Author: Jianxun Chen
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 216
Release: 2002-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781782542605

'The book The Evolution of the Stock Market in China's Transitional Economy by Chien-Hsun Chen and Hui-Tzu Shih offers valuable insights into the evolution and development of the Chinese stock market. The book was written with an important mission in mind - how to develop an efficient financial system that facilitates innovation and spontaneous evolution of the society.' - Guojun Wu, Journal of Asian Business 'Chien-Hsun Chen and Hui-Tzu Shih have produced an informative and insightful study of China's stock market development. In The Evolution of the Stock Market in China's Transitional Economy, the reader will find a straightforward account of the development of China's stock markets that further clarifies the role China's capital markets will play in the country's financial future.' - Mark T. Fung, The China Business Review The establishment of the Shanghai Stock Exchange in December 1990 was a landmark in China's institutional transformation. With this in mind, the authors consider the factors relating to institutional change - such as changes in the financial system, the scale and structure of stock market, operational efficiency and the regulatory system of the stock market. During the course of its development the Chinese stock market has experienced speculation, dramatic fluctuations and violations of market regulations of frequent and diverse natures. There is therefore, urgent need for the discussion contained within this volume of best procedure policies for the establishment of a properly ordered and regulated market. The authors assess the operational performance of listed companies, and changes in the external environment such as the impact of China's accession to the WTO on the stock market. The authors find that WTO accession will have a more serious impact on the more heavily protected agricultural sector and on capital-intensive industries such as automobile, instruments, cotton and wheat to name a few. They argue that the fundamental reason for the inefficiency of China's stock market is the weakness of the competitive mechanism leading to imperfect competition and rent-seeking activity. This book will be of great interest to academics and researchers of Asian studies and money and finance. Multinational enterprise managers, as well as brokers, dealers, business economists and others involved in the global financial markets will also find this book of value.

The Chinese Stock Market

The Chinese Stock Market
Author: Nicolaas Groenewold
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 272
Release: 2004
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

The emergence of a stock market in China only occurred a decade ago and it remains something of an unknown quantity to many observers and traders outside of the country. This book provides an extensive historical and empirical analysis of the Chinese stock-market, the development of which is an integral part of the process of economic modernization that began in China in the late 1970s. The authors address a variety of critical topics to assess the efficiency, predictability and profitability of the Chinese stock-market. They carefully examine the evolution and performance of the market over the past ten years and measure its level of efficiency using an array of empirical studies. The results reveal that not only is the stock market far from efficient but that it has also failed to properly integrate with other regional markets. Thus, the authors propose further reforms which they argue are necessary for the stock market to realize its full potential contribution to the operation of China's financial markets and to its continuing economic development. The stock market in China will undoubtedly grow in importance and international influence during the next ten years. As such, this valuable new book will be required reading for economic researchers, business economists and market analysts, as well as academics with an interest in Chinese business and Asian finance.

Demystifying China’s Stock Market

Demystifying China’s Stock Market
Author: Eric Girardin
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 125
Release: 2019-09-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 303017123X

Mainstream research has rationalized China’s stock market on the basis of paradigms such as the institutional approach, the efficient market hypothesis, and corporate valuation principles. The deviations from such paradigms have been analyzed as puzzles of China’s stock market. Girardin and Liu explore to what extent, in the perspective of Chinese cultural and historical characteristics, far from being puzzles, these 'deviations’ are rather the symptoms of a consistent strategy for the design, development and regulation of a government-dominated financial system. This book will help investors, observers and researchers understand the hidden logic of the design and functioning of China’s modern stock market, taking a political economy view.

Privatizing China

Privatizing China
Author: Carl E. Walter
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 344
Release: 2003-06-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Much is written about the various efforts aimed at reforming China’s state-owned enterprises. But in all this literature the Chinese government’s determined effort to use the equity capital markets as a tool of enterprise reform has been virtually ignored. The fact is that during the past decade this has been, and will continue to be, the principal thrust with regard to the reform of state-owned enterprises. On-again, off-again, noises about bankruptcy, M&A solutions and asset management companies are only sideshows in the process. Carl E. Walter is a Managing Director of JP Morgan and Chief Operating Officer of its China businesses. Prior to joining JP Morgan in 2001, Mr. Walter was a Managing Director and member of the Management Committee of China International Capital Corporation. He was Chief Representative in Beijing for Credit Suisse First Boston from 1993-8. During his decade in China, Mr. Walter has participated in a number of pathbreaking international and domestic share listings and debt issues for Chinese companies, banks and the Ministry of Finance. He holds a PhD from Stanford University and a graduate certificate from Beijing University. Fraser Howie is an independent financial analyst located in Beijing. Over the past ten years he has worked in Hong Kong trading equity derivatives at Bankers Trust and Morgan Stanley. After moving to China in 1998 he worked in the Sales and Trading Department of China International Capital Corporation then with a domestic retail financial services company and most recently with China M&A Management Company.

INVESTIGATING STOCK MARKET EFF

INVESTIGATING STOCK MARKET EFF
Author: Hua Zhang
Publisher: Open Dissertation Press
Total Pages: 162
Release: 2017-01-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781374721098

This dissertation, "Investigating Stock Market Efficiency in China" by Hua, Zhang, 張華, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of thesis entitled Investigating Stock Market Efficiency in China submitted by Zhang Hua for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at the University of Hong Kong in August 2002 Though voluminous studies have been conducted on the stock market efficiency in the U.S. and other developed countries, in China, there lacks a through and systematic study in this respect. This research aims to fill up the lacuna by exploring the important issue of market efficiency in China, with particular emphasis on (1) the earning announcement effect, (2) the size effect, (3) the stock return seasonality, (4) the day-of-the-week effect, (5) mutual fund performance, and (6) the close-end fund puzzle. Our main findings indicate that the Chinese stock market is largely inefficient and it also exhibit some distinctive characteristics in comparison with those documented in previous studies on the U.S. stock markets. First, for the earning announcement effect, it is found that stock prices underreact to earning announcement and stocks with good earning growth in general outperform those with bad earning growth. However, stocks with extreme bad earning news have the best performance after the announcement. Second, study on the size effect shows that stocks of smaller capitalization have higher returns than those of larger capitalization and size has explanatory power on cross-sectional difference in stock returns. Third, regarding the possible seasonality, though average daily returns of every month differ greatly in each year, stock returns do not possess a consistent seasonal pattern across years. As a result, regression analysis rejects the existence of a strong calendar effect in China. Forth, in smaller scale, we find that the day-of-the-week effect exists in China. More specifically, Tuesday return is significantly the lowest and Friday return is significantly the highest; moreover, trading in terms of volume and turnover rate also exhibits some weekly pattern. Fifth, study on mutual fund performance shows that the Chinese mutual funds indeed possess inside information. Though Jensen measures show that mutual funds on average do not have abnormal returns, the result from a 2- factor model that takes the size effect into account suggests that mutual funds' performance is superior. Finally, we examine the close-end fund discount in China. As a counter-example to market efficiency, the close-end fund puzzle in China can not be accounted for by traditional explanatory variables such as liquidity, management fee, and fund performance. Instead, we find that it is closely associated with investor sentiment. DOI: 10.5353/th_b2994654 Subjects: Stocks - Prices - China Stock exchanges - China Efficient market theory