Estimated Policy Rules for Capital Controls

Estimated Policy Rules for Capital Controls
Author: Gurnain Kaur Pasricha
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 60
Release: 2020-06-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513546104

This paper borrows the tradition of estimating policy reaction functions from monetary policy literature to ask whether capital controls respond to macroprudential or mercantilist motivations. I explore this question using a novel, weekly dataset on capital control actions in 21 emerging economies from 2001 to 2015. I introduce a new proxy for mercantilist motivations: the weighted appreciation of an emerging-market currency against its top five trade competitors. This proxy Granger causes future net initiations of non-tariff barriers in most countries. Emerging markets systematically respond to both mercantilist and macroprudential motivations. Policymakers respond to trade competitiveness concerns by using both instruments—inflow tightening and outflow easing. They use only inflow tightening in response to macroprudential concerns. Policy is acyclical to foreign debt; however, high levels of this debt reduces countercyclicality to mercantilist concerns. Higher exchange rate pass-through to export prices, and having an inflation targeting regime with non-freely floating exchange rates, increase responsiveness to mercantilist concerns.

Capital Flight and Capital Controls in Developing Countries

Capital Flight and Capital Controls in Developing Countries
Author: Gerald A. Epstein
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 368
Release: 2005
Genre: Capital movements
ISBN:

Epstein (economics, U. of Massachusetts) and colleagues look at connections between financial liberalization, financial crises, and capital flight in the 1980s and 1990s during the rise of neoliberalism. Opening chapters set the context with an overview of the impacts of capital account liberalization on income distribution and growth and an descri

Capital Control Measures

Capital Control Measures
Author: Andrés Fernández
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2015-04-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484332172

This paper presents a new dataset of capital control restrictions on both inflows and outflows of 10 categories of assets for 100 countries over the period 1995 to 2013. Building on the data in Schindler (2009) and other datasets based on the analysis of the IMF’s Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions (AREAER), this dataset includes additional asset categories, more countries, and a longer time period. The paper discusses in detail the construction of the dataset and characterizes the data with respect to the prevalence and correlation of controls across asset categories and between controls on inflows and controls on outflows, the aggregation of the separate categories into broader indicators, and the comparison of this dataset with other indicators of capital controls.

Capital Ideas

Capital Ideas
Author: Jeffrey M. Chwieroth
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 332
Release: 2009-12-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400833825

The right of governments to employ capital controls has always been the official orthodoxy of the International Monetary Fund, and the organization's formal rules providing this right have not changed significantly since the IMF was founded in 1945. But informally, among the staff inside the IMF, these controls became heresy in the 1980s and 1990s, prompting critics to accuse the IMF of indiscriminately encouraging the liberalization of controls and precipitating a wave of financial crises in emerging markets in the late 1990s. In Capital Ideas, Jeffrey Chwieroth explores the inner workings of the IMF to understand how its staff's thinking about capital controls changed so radically. In doing so, he also provides an important case study of how international organizations work and evolve. Drawing on original survey and archival research, extensive interviews, and scholarship from economics, politics, and sociology, Chwieroth traces the evolution of the IMF's approach to capital controls from the 1940s through spring 2009 and the first stages of the subprime credit crisis. He shows that IMF staff vigorously debated the legitimacy of capital controls and that these internal debates eventually changed the organization's behavior--despite the lack of major rule changes. He also shows that the IMF exercised a significant amount of autonomy despite the influence of member states. Normative and behavioral changes in international organizations, Chwieroth concludes, are driven not just by new rules but also by the evolving makeup, beliefs, debates, and strategic agency of their staffs.

Capital Controls and the Cost of Debt

Capital Controls and the Cost of Debt
Author: Eugenia Andreasen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2017-06-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484303318

Using a panel data set for international corporate bonds and capital account restrictions in advanced and emerging economies, we show that restrictions on capital inflows produce a substantial and economically meaningful increase in corporate bond spreads. A number of heterogeneities suggest that the effect of capital controls on inflows is particularly strong for more financially constrained firms, establishing a novel channel through which capital controls affect economic outcomes. By contrast, we do not find a robust significant effect of restrictions on outflows.

Capital Rules

Capital Rules
Author: Rawi Abdelal
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 250
Release: 2009-09-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0674034554

"The rise of global financial markets in the last decades of the twentieth century was premised on one fundamental idea: that capital ought to flow across country borders with minimal restriction and regulation. Freedom for capital movements became the new orthodoxy. In an intellectual, legal, and political history of financial globalization, Rawi Abdelal shows that this was not always the case. Transactions routinely executed by bankers, managers, and investors during the 1990s—trading foreign stocks and bonds, borrowing in foreign currencies—had been illegal in many countries only decades, and sometimes just a year or two, earlier. How and why did the world shift from an orthodoxy of free capital movements in 1914 to an orthodoxy of capital controls in 1944 and then back again by 1994? How have such standards of appropriate behavior been codified and transmitted internationally? Contrary to conventional accounts, Abdelal argues that neither the U.S. Treasury nor Wall Street bankers have preferred or promoted multilateral, liberal rules for global finance. Instead, European policy makers conceived and promoted the liberal rules that compose the international financial architecture. Whereas U.S. policy makers have tended to embrace unilateral, ad hoc globalization, French and European policy makers have promoted a rule-based, “managed” globalization. This contest over the character of globalization continues today."

Capital Controls

Capital Controls
Author: Ms.Inci Ötker
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 135
Release: 2000-05-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1557758743

This paper examines country experiences with the use and liberalization of capital controls to develop a deeper understanding of the role of capital controls in coping with volatile capital flows, as well as the issues surrounding their liberalization. Detailed analyses of country cases aim to shed light on the motivations to limit capital flows; the role the controls may have played in coping with particular situations, including in financial crises and in limiting short-term inflows; the nature and design of the controls; and their effectivenes and potential costs. The paper also examines the link between prudential policies and capital controls and illstrates the ways in which better prudential practices and accelerated financial reforms could address the risks in cross-border capital transactions.

Malaysian "bail Outs"?

Malaysian
Author: Sook Ching Wong
Publisher: NUS Press
Total Pages: 412
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789971693190

As Malaysia's government responded to the 1997-98 financial crisis, the global financial community criticised its measures as bail outs for politically-influential corporate interests. This book examines the Asian crisis and government policy responses, with emphasis on capital controls as well as corporate, bank and debt restructuring exercises.

Managing Capital Flows

Managing Capital Flows
Author: Masahiro Kawai
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 465
Release: 2010-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 184980687X

Managing Capital Flows provides analyses that can help policymakers develop a framework for managing capital flows that is consistent with prudent macroeconomic and financial sector stability. While capital inflows can provide emerging market economies with invaluable benefits in pursuing economic development and growth, they can also pose serious policy challenges for macroeconomic management and financial sector supervision. The expert contributors cover a wide range of issues related to managing capital flows and analyze the experience of emerging Asian economies in dealing with surges in capital inflows. They also discuss possible policy measures to manage capital flows while remaining consistent with the goals of macroeconomic and financial sector stability. Building on this analysis, the book presents options for workable national policies and regional policy cooperation, particularly in exchange rate management. Containing chapters that bring in international experiences relevant to Asia and other emerging market economies, this insightful book will appeal to policymakers in governments and financial institutions, as well as public and private finance experts. It will also be of great interest to advanced students and academic researchers in finance.

American Multinationals and Japan

American Multinationals and Japan
Author: Mark Mason
Publisher: Harvard Univ Asia Center
Total Pages: 412
Release: 1992
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780674026308

Drawing on rich historical materials from both sides of the Pacific, including corporate records and government documents never before made public, Mason examines the development of both Japanese policy towards foreign investment and the strategic responses of American corporations.