Responding to Capability Surprise

Responding to Capability Surprise
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 216
Release: 2013-12-31
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0309278406

From a military operational standpoint, surprise is an event or capability that could affect the outcome of a mission or campaign for which preparations are not in place. By definition, it is not possible to truly anticipate surprise. It is only possible to prevent it (in the sense of minimizing the number of possible surprises by appropriate planning), to create systems that are resilient to an adversary's unexpected actions, or to rapidly and effectively respond when surprised. Responding to Capability Surprise examines the issues surrounding capability surprise, both operational and technical, facing the U.S. Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard. This report selects a few surprises from across a continuum of surprises, from disruptive technologies, to intelligence-inferred capability developments, to operational deployments, and assesses what the Naval Forces are doing (and could do) about them while being mindful of future budgetary declines. The report then examines which processes are in place or could be in place in the Navy, the Marine Corps, and the Coast Guard to address such surprises. Today's U.S. naval forces continue to face a wide range of potential threats in the indefinite future and for this reason must continue to balance and meet their force structure needs. The recommendations of Responding to Capability Surprise will help to ensure more responsive, more resilient, and more adaptive behavior across the organization from the most senior leadership to the individual sailors, Marines, and Coast Guardsmen.

Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence

Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence
Author: Keith B. Payne
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 105
Release: 2016-04-14
Genre: History
ISBN: 1317671538

The National Institute for Public Policy’s new book, Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence, is the first of its kind. Dr. Keith Payne, former Secretary of Defense James Schlesinger and an unparalleled bipartisan group of senior civilian and military experts critically examine eight basic assumptions of Minimum Deterrence against available evidence. In general, Minimum Deterrence does not fare well under the careful scrutiny. Proponents of a "Minimum Deterrent" US nuclear force posture believe that anywhere from a handful to a few hundred nuclear weapons are adequate to deter reliably and predictably any enemy from attacking the United States now and in the future. Because nuclear weapons are so destructive, their thinking goes, no foreign leader would dare challenge US capabilities. The benefits, advocates claim, of reducing US nuclear weapons to the "minimum" level needed are: better relations with Russia and China, reinforcement of the arms control and Nonproliferation Treaty, billions of defense dollars in savings, and greater international stability on the way to "nuclear zero." As political pressure builds to pursue this vision of minimum US deterrence, Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence stands as the seminal study to address the many claims of great benefit using available evidence. This book was published as a special issue of Comparative Strategy.

Coping with Surprise in Great Power Conflicts

Coping with Surprise in Great Power Conflicts
Author: Mark F. Cancian
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 151
Release: 2018-03-23
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1442280727

Surprise has always been an element of warfare, but the return of great power competition—and the high-level threat that it poses—gives urgency to thinking about surprise now. Because the future is highly uncertain, and great powers have not fought each other for over 70 years, surprise is highly likely in a future great power conflict. This study, therefore, examines potential surprises in a great power conflict, particularly in a conflict’s initial stages when the interaction of adversaries’ technologies, prewar plans, and military doctrines first becomes manifest. It is not an attempt to project the future. Rather, it seeks to do the opposite: explore the range of possible future conflicts to see where surprises might lurk.

Cases in Intelligence Analysis

Cases in Intelligence Analysis
Author: Sarah Miller Beebe
Publisher: CQ Press
Total Pages: 340
Release: 2014-04-28
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1483340147

In their Second Edition of Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Sarah Miller Beebe and Randolph H. Pherson offer robust, class-tested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. Designed to give analysts-in-training an opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques and tackle real-life problems, each turnkey case delivers a captivating narrative, discussion questions, recommended readings, and a series of engaging analytic exercises.

Warfighter Support

Warfighter Support
Author: William Solis
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Total Pages: 54
Release: 2011-05
Genre: Reference
ISBN: 143798245X

Forces in Iraq and Afghanistan have faced significant risks of mission failure and loss of life due to rapidly changing enemy threats. In response, DoD established urgent operational needs processes to rapidly develop, modify, and field new capabilities, such as intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance tech'y., and counterimprovised explosive devices systems. This review determined: (1) what DoD entities exist for responding to urgent operational needs, and the extent to which there is fragmentation, overlap, or duplication; (2) the extent to which DoD has a comprehensive approach for managing and overseeing its urgent needs activities; and (3) has DoD evaluated the potential for consolidations. Illus. This is a print on demand report.

The U.S. Nuclear Deterrent

The U.S. Nuclear Deterrent
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Armed Services. Strategic Forces Subcommittee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 160
Release: 2013
Genre: Deterrence (Strategy)
ISBN:

Naval ISR Fusion Principles, Operations, and Technologies

Naval ISR Fusion Principles, Operations, and Technologies
Author: Jim Scrofani
Publisher: Artech House
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2023-03-31
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 163081895X

A comprehensive discussion of operational requirements for future naval operations with sufficient detail to enable design and development of technical solutions to achieve the advanced information fusion and command and control concepts described. This book provides a unique focus on advanced approaches to Naval ISR and the critical underlying technologies to enable Distributed Maritime Operations (DMO). Also describing the approach of distributed Naval ops and role of ISR applying advanced technologies and addressing future conflict, new U.S. Naval maritime approaches, distributed Maritime Operations (DMO) and the newest U.S. Navy operational concept. This is a great resource for Naval officers in the ISR, Intelligence, Space, ASW, EW and Surface Warfare, disciplines who seek an in-depth understanding of advanced ISR operations and technologies as well as Navy and industry managers and engineers planning and developing advanced naval systems.

Cyber Denial, Deception and Counter Deception

Cyber Denial, Deception and Counter Deception
Author: Kristin E. Heckman
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 263
Release: 2015-11-13
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3319251333

This book presents the first reference exposition of the Cyber-Deception Chain: a flexible planning and execution framework for creating tactical, operational, or strategic deceptions. This methodology bridges the gap between the current uncoordinated patchwork of tactical denial and deception (D&D) techniques and their orchestration in service of an organization’s mission. Concepts for cyber- D&D planning operations and management are detailed within the larger organizational, business, and cyber defense context. It examines the necessity of a comprehensive, active cyber denial scheme. The authors explain the organizational implications of integrating D&D with a legacy cyber strategy, and discuss trade-offs, maturity models, and lifecycle management. Chapters present the primary challenges in using deception as part of a security strategy, and guides users through the steps to overcome common obstacles. Both revealing and concealing fact and fiction have a critical role in securing private information. Detailed case studies are included. Cyber Denial, Deception and Counter Deception is designed as a reference for professionals, researchers and government employees working in cybersecurity. Advanced-level students in computer science focused on security will also find this book useful as a reference or secondary text book.