Recent Developments in Nonlinear Cointegration with Applications to Macroeconomics and Finance

Recent Developments in Nonlinear Cointegration with Applications to Macroeconomics and Finance
Author: Gilles Dufrénot
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 319
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475736150

This book is an introductory exposition of different topics that emerged in the literature as unifying themes between two fields of econometrics of time series, namely nonlinearity and nonstationarity. Papers on these topics have exploded over the last two decades, but they are rarely ex amined together. There is, undoubtedly, a variety of arguments that justify such a separation. But there are also good reasons that motivate their combination. People who are reluctant to a combined analysis might argue that nonlinearity and nonstationarity enhance non-trivial problems, so their combination does not stimulate interest in regard to plausibly increased difficulties. This argument can, however, be balanced by other ones of an economic nature. A predominant idea, today, is that a nonstationary series exhibits persistent deviations from its long-run components (either deterministic or stochastic trends). These persistent deviations are modelized in various ways: unit root models, fractionally integrated processes, models with shifts in the time trend, etc. However, there are many other behaviors inherent to nonstationary processes, that are not reflected in linear models. For instance, economic variables with mixture distributions, or processes that are state-dependent, undergo episodes of changing dynamics. In models with multiple long-run equi libria, the moving from an equilibrium to another sometimes implies hys teresis. Also, it is known that certain shocks can change the economic fundamentals, thereby reducing the possibility that an initial position is re-established after a shock (irreversibility).

Economics of Nuclear Power

Economics of Nuclear Power
Author: Geoffrey Rothwell
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 234
Release: 2018-12-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317511786

This book is a unique introduction to the economic costs of nuclear power. It examines the future of the nuclear power industry and unpacks the complicated relationships between its technical, economic and political variables. It does so by modelling the costs, risks and uncertainties of one of the world’s most opaque industries using micro-econometrics, econometrics, and cost engineering. Economics of Nuclear Power examines the very important costs of externalities (storing of nuclear waste and the impact of a Chernobyl or Fukushima event) and compares those to the externalities of alternative carbon based energies (oil, coal, natural gas). With over 100 tables and figures this book details nuclear power production around the world - present and planned, providing a completely global focus. It also includes an overview of the past 70 years of international nuclear power developments. This book is essential reading for students, scholars and professionals interested in energy economics, nuclear engineering and energy policy.

Famous First Bubbles

Famous First Bubbles
Author: Peter M. Garber
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 180
Release: 2001-08-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262571531

The jargon of economics and finance contains numerous colorful terms for market-asset prices at odds with any reasonable economic explanation. Examples include "bubble," "tulipmania," "chain letter," "Ponzi scheme," "panic," "crash," "herding," and "irrational exuberance." Although such a term suggests that an event is inexplicably crowd-driven, what it really means, claims Peter Garber, is that we have grasped a near-empty explanation rather than expend the effort to understand the event. In this book Garber offers market-fundamental explanations for the three most famous bubbles: the Dutch Tulipmania (1634-1637), the Mississippi Bubble (1719-1720), and the closely connected South Sea Bubble (1720). He focuses most closely on the Tulipmania because it is the event that most modern observers view as clearly crazy. Comparing the pattern of price declines for initially rare eighteenth-century bulbs to that of seventeenth-century bulbs, he concludes that the extremely high prices for rare bulbs and their rapid decline reflects normal pricing behavior. In the cases of the Mississippi and South Sea Bubbles, he describes the asset markets and financial manipulations involved in these episodes and casts them as market fundamentals.

Industry on the Move

Industry on the Move
Author: Gijsbert van Liemt
Publisher: International Labour Organization
Total Pages: 358
Release: 1992
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789221064787

Focusing on four industrial sectors: aircraft, automobiles, clothing and steel, examines changes in the distribution of manufacturing industry worldwide, and the process of adjustment which is a consequence of these changes. Contains four sectoral studies and four case studies (the US steel industry, the Italian clothing industry, the aircraft industry in Indonesia and Singapore, and Mexico's motor vehicle industry).