Bayesian Adaptive Methods for Clinical Trials

Bayesian Adaptive Methods for Clinical Trials
Author: Scott M. Berry
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 316
Release: 2010-07-19
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1439825513

Already popular in the analysis of medical device trials, adaptive Bayesian designs are increasingly being used in drug development for a wide variety of diseases and conditions, from Alzheimer's disease and multiple sclerosis to obesity, diabetes, hepatitis C, and HIV. Written by leading pioneers of Bayesian clinical trial designs, Bayesian Adapti

Bayesian Adaptive Methods for Phase I Clinical Trials

Bayesian Adaptive Methods for Phase I Clinical Trials
Author: Ruitao Lin
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2017-01-26
Genre:
ISBN: 9781361043813

This dissertation, "Bayesian Adaptive Methods for Phase I Clinical Trials" by Ruitao, Lin, 林瑞涛, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: The primary objective of phase I dose-finding trials is to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD), which is typically defined as the dose with the dose-limiting toxicity probability closest to the target toxicity probability. The American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) recently published an update of the ASCO policy statement to call for new phase I trial designs to allow for more efficient escalation to the therapeutic dose levels in order to cope with the changing landscape in cancer research. In this thesis, innovative and robust designs for single- or multiple-agent phase I dose-finding trials are studied. To enhance robustness and efficiency, two nonparametric methods are proposed to locate the MTD in single-agent phase I clinical trials without imposing any parametric assumption on the underlying distribution of the toxicity curve. First, a uniformly most powerful Bayesian interval (UMPBI) design is developed for dose finding, where the optimal interval is determined by the rejection region of the uniformly most powerful Bayesian test. UMPBI is easy to implement and can be nicely interpreted. Compared with existing interval designs, the proposed UMPBI design exhibits a unique feature of convergence to the MTD. Next, a nonparametric overdose control (NOC) method is proposed by casting dose finding in a Bayesian model selection framework. Each dose assignment under NOC is determined such that the posterior probability of overdosing is controlled. In addition, NOC is incorporated with a fractional imputation method to deal with late-onset toxicity outcomes. Both of the UMPBI and NOC designs are flexible, as well as possessing sound theoretical support and desirable numerical performance. In the era of precision medicine, combination therapy is playing an increasingly important role in drug development. However, drug combinations often lead to a high-dimensional dose searching space compared to conventional single-agent dose finding, especially when three or more drugs are combined for treatment. Most of the current dose-finding designs aim to quantify the toxicity probability space using certain prespecified yet complicated models. Not only do these models characterize each individual drug's toxicity profile, but they also need to quantify their interaction effects, which often leads to multi-parameter models. In order to stabilize the current practice of dose finding in drug-combination trials with limited sample sizes, a random walk Bayesian optimal interval (RW-BOIN) design and a Bootstrap aggregating continual reassessment method (Bagging CRM) are proposed. RW-BOIN is built on the basis of the single-agent BOIN design, and it can be utilized to tackle high-dimensional dose-finding problems. A convergence theorem is established to ensure the validity of RW-BOIN. On the other hand, Bagging CRM implements a dimension reduction technique and some ensemble methods in machine learning, so that the toxicity probability space can be stably reduced to a one-dimensional searching line. Simulation studies show that both RW-BOIN and Bagging CRM have comparative and robust operating characteristics compared with existing approaches under various dose-toxicity scenarios. All of the proposed methods are exemplified with real phase I dose-finding trials. Subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory Clinical trials - Statistical methods

Clinical Trial Design

Clinical Trial Design
Author: Guosheng Yin
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 368
Release: 2013-06-07
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 1118183320

A balanced treatment of the theories, methodologies, and design issues involved in clinical trials using statistical methods There has been enormous interest and development in Bayesian adaptive designs, especially for early phases of clinical trials. However, for phase III trials, frequentist methods still play a dominant role through controlling type I and type II errors in the hypothesis testing framework. From practical perspectives, Clinical Trial Design: Bayesian and Frequentist Adaptive Methods provides comprehensive coverage of both Bayesian and frequentist approaches to all phases of clinical trial design. Before underpinning various adaptive methods, the book establishes an overview of the fundamentals of clinical trials as well as a comparison of Bayesian and frequentist statistics. Recognizing that clinical trial design is one of the most important and useful skills in the pharmaceutical industry, this book provides detailed discussions on a variety of statistical designs, their properties, and operating characteristics for phase I, II, and III clinical trials as well as an introduction to phase IV trials. Many practical issues and challenges arising in clinical trials are addressed. Additional topics of coverage include: Risk and benefit analysis for toxicity and efficacy trade-offs Bayesian predictive probability trial monitoring Bayesian adaptive randomization Late onset toxicity and response Dose finding in drug combination trials Targeted therapy designs The author utilizes cutting-edge clinical trial designs and statistical methods that have been employed at the world's leading medical centers as well as in the pharmaceutical industry. The software used throughout the book is freely available on the book's related website, equipping readers with the necessary tools for designing clinical trials. Clinical Trial Design is an excellent book for courses on the topic at the graduate level. The book also serves as a valuable reference for statisticians and biostatisticians in the pharmaceutical industry as well as for researchers and practitioners who design, conduct, and monitor clinical trials in their everyday work.

Bayesian Designs for Phase I-II Clinical Trials

Bayesian Designs for Phase I-II Clinical Trials
Author: Ying Yuan
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 310
Release: 2017-12-19
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1498709567

Reliably optimizing a new treatment in humans is a critical first step in clinical evaluation since choosing a suboptimal dose or schedule may lead to failure in later trials. At the same time, if promising preclinical results do not translate into a real treatment advance, it is important to determine this quickly and terminate the clinical evaluation process to avoid wasting resources. Bayesian Designs for Phase I–II Clinical Trials describes how phase I–II designs can serve as a bridge or protective barrier between preclinical studies and large confirmatory clinical trials. It illustrates many of the severe drawbacks with conventional methods used for early-phase clinical trials and presents numerous Bayesian designs for human clinical trials of new experimental treatment regimes. Written by research leaders from the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, this book shows how Bayesian designs for early-phase clinical trials can explore, refine, and optimize new experimental treatments. It emphasizes the importance of basing decisions on both efficacy and toxicity.

Adaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials

Adaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials
Author: Shein-Chung Chow
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 296
Release: 2006-11-16
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 158488777X

Although adaptive design methods are flexible and useful in clinical research, little or no regulatory guidelines are available. One of the first books on the topic, Adaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials presents the principles and methodologies in adaptive design and analysis that pertain to adaptations made to trial or statistical procedures

Modern Approaches to Clinical Trials Using SAS: Classical, Adaptive, and Bayesian Methods

Modern Approaches to Clinical Trials Using SAS: Classical, Adaptive, and Bayesian Methods
Author: Sandeep Menon
Publisher: SAS Institute
Total Pages: 364
Release: 2015-12-09
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1629600849

This book covers domains of modern clinical trial design: classical, group sequential, adaptive, and Bayesian methods applicable to and used in various phases of pharmaceutical development. Written for biostatisticians, pharmacometricians, clinical developers, and statistical programmers involved in the design, analysis, and interpretation of clinical trials, as well as students in graduate and postgraduate programs in statistics or biostatistics, it covers topics including: dose-response and dose-escalation designs; sequential methods to stop trials early for overwhelming efficacy, safety, or futility; Bayesian designs incorporating historical data; adaptive sample size re-estimation and randomization to allocate subjects to effective treatments; population enrichment designs. Methods are illustrated using clinical trials from diverse therapeutic areas, including dermatology, endocrinology, infectious disease, neurology, oncology and rheumatology. --

Biopharmaceutical Applied Statistics Symposium

Biopharmaceutical Applied Statistics Symposium
Author: Karl E. Peace
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 414
Release: 2018-08-20
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 9811078297

This BASS book Series publishes selected high-quality papers reflecting recent advances in the design and biostatistical analysis of biopharmaceutical experiments – particularly biopharmaceutical clinical trials. The papers were selected from invited presentations at the Biopharmaceutical Applied Statistics Symposium (BASS), which was founded by the first Editor in 1994 and has since become the premier international conference in biopharmaceutical statistics. The primary aims of the BASS are: 1) to raise funding to support graduate students in biostatistics programs, and 2) to provide an opportunity for professionals engaged in pharmaceutical drug research and development to share insights into solving the problems they encounter.The BASS book series is initially divided into three volumes addressing: 1) Design of Clinical Trials; 2) Biostatistical Analysis of Clinical Trials; and 3) Pharmaceutical Applications. This book is the first of the 3-volume book series. The topics covered include: A Statistical Approach to Clinical Trial Simulations, Comparison of Statistical Analysis Methods Using Modeling and Simulation for Optimal Protocol Design, Adaptive Trial Design in Clinical Research, Best Practices and Recommendations for Trial Simulations in the Context of Designing Adaptive Clinical Trials, Designing and Analyzing Recurrent Event Data Trials, Bayesian Methodologies for Response-Adaptive Allocation, Addressing High Placebo Response in Neuroscience Clinical Trials, Phase I Cancer Clinical Trial Design: Single and Combination Agents, Sample Size and Power for the Mixed Linear Model, Crossover Designs in Clinical Trials, Data Monitoring: Structure for Clinical Trials and Sequential Monitoring Procedures, Design and Data Analysis for Multiregional Clinical Trials – Theory and Practice, Adaptive Group-Sequential Multi-regional Outcome Studies in Vaccines, Development and Validation of Patient-reported Outcomes, Interim Analysis of Survival Trials: Group Sequential Analyses, and Conditional Power – A Non-proportional Hazards Perspective.

Adaptive Design Theory and Implementation Using SAS and R

Adaptive Design Theory and Implementation Using SAS and R
Author: Mark Chang
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 689
Release: 2014-12-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1482256606

Get Up to Speed on Many Types of Adaptive DesignsSince the publication of the first edition, there have been remarkable advances in the methodology and application of adaptive trials. Incorporating many of these new developments, Adaptive Design Theory and Implementation Using SAS and R, Second Edition offers a detailed framework to understand the

Adaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials, Second Edition

Adaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials, Second Edition
Author: Shein-Chung Chow
Publisher: Chapman and Hall/CRC
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2011-12-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9781439839874

With new statistical and scientific issues arising in adaptive clinical trial design, including the U.S. FDA’s recent draft guidance, a new edition of one of the first books on the topic is needed. Adaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials, Second Edition reflects recent developments and regulatory positions on the use of adaptive designs in clinical trials. It unifies the vast and continuously growing literature and research activities on regulatory requirements, scientific and practical issues, and statistical methodology. New to the Second Edition Along with revisions throughout the text, this edition significantly updates the chapters on protocol amendment and clinical trial simulation to incorporate the latest changes. It also includes five entirely new chapters on two-stage adaptive design, biomarker adaptive trials, target clinical trials, sample size and power estimation, and regulatory perspectives. Following in the tradition of its acclaimed predecessor, this second edition continues to offer an up-to-date resource for clinical scientists and researchers in academia, regulatory agencies, and the pharmaceutical industry. Written in an intuitive style at a basic mathematical and statistical level, the book maintains its practical approach with an emphasis on concepts via numerous examples and illustrations.