Asset Price and Wealth Dynamics with Heterogeneous Expectations

Asset Price and Wealth Dynamics with Heterogeneous Expectations
Author: Florian Heitger
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

Based on a classical financial market model different model variants known from the literature are discussed and analyzed, each focussing on modeling financial markets as a nonlinear dynamic system by introducing the formation of (heterogeneous) beliefs about future asset prices into the model framework. Furthermore, a market model under a market maker scenario is proposed which brings these types of financial market models to a more consistent and more realistic model structure. The proposed market model explicitly takes into account the risky-asset supply side. This extension in the model structure allows to model the risk premium demanded by the market participants for taking market risk, which appears to be endogenously driven by the market over time. The resulting dynamics of asset price and agents' wealth is analyzed within a chartist-fundamentalist framework. Within this model framework it becomes possible to characterize the market equilibria and the other kinds of asymptotic behavior in terms of the long-run evolution of wealth proportions and risky-asset returns. Moreover it is shown to which extent those heterogeneous expectations in the agent-based market model can explain observed fluctuations in real financial markets and lead to the emergence of complicated dynamics of growing asset price paths.

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems
Author: Cars Hommes
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 273
Release: 2013-01-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1139619780

Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, the book presents a theory of behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations in complex economic systems and confronts the nonlinear dynamic models with empirical stylized facts and laboratory experiments. The complexity modeling paradigm has been strongly advocated since the late 1980s by some economists and by multidisciplinary scientists from various fields, such as physics, computer science and biology. More recently the complexity view has also drawn the attention of policy makers, who are faced with complex phenomena, irregular fluctuations and sudden, unpredictable market transitions. The complexity tools - bifurcations, chaos, multiple equilibria - discussed in this book will help students, researchers and policy makers to build more realistic behavioral models with heterogeneous expectations to describe financial market movements and macro-economic fluctuations, in order to better manage crises in a complex global economy.

Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution

Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution
Author: Thorsten Hens
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 607
Release: 2009-06-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080921434

The models of portfolio selection and asset price dynamics in this volume seek to explain the market dynamics of asset prices. Presenting a range of analytical, empirical, and numerical techniques as well as several different modeling approaches, the authors depict the state of debate on the market selection hypothesis. By explicitly assuming the heterogeneity of investors, they present models that are descriptive and normative as well, making the volume useful for both finance theorists and financial practitioners. - Explains the market dynamics of asset prices, offering insights about asset management approaches - Assumes a heterogeneity of investors that yields descriptive and normative models of portfolio selections and asset pricing dynamics

Asset Prices and Wealth Dynamics in a Financial Market with Endogenous Liquidation Risk

Asset Prices and Wealth Dynamics in a Financial Market with Endogenous Liquidation Risk
Author: Pietro Dindo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

Within a financial market where a risk-free bond and a long-lived risky asset are exchanged by investors with heterogeneous trading rules, we assume that the investors most exposed to the risky asset are subject to joint liquidation needs. The latter encompass a risk whenever the market impact of traders subject to them is large enough, due to a fire-sale phenomenon. Our aim is to provide conditions for the transformation of liquidation needs into liquidation risk, and to characterize the resulting asset price dynamics. We find that when the average position of traders subject to liquidation needs is lower than the position of the other traders, the former vanish and asset prices are driven solely by the dividend process. Whether liquidation risk becomes systemic or its impact is mitigated by the position of other traders, depends on the relative wealth dynamics. We provide conditions on agents positions under which the liquidation risk is always systemic because the aggressive traders dominate, as well as conditions under which the size of the liquidation risk is endogenously determined because all traders survive and the relative wealth dynamics is a mean reverting process.

Global Analysis of Dynamic Models in Economics and Finance

Global Analysis of Dynamic Models in Economics and Finance
Author: Gian Italo Bischi
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 449
Release: 2012-08-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642295037

The essays in this special volume survey some of the most recent advances in the global analysis of dynamic models for economics, finance and the social sciences. They deal in particular with a range of topics from mathematical methods as well as numerous applications including recent developments on asset pricing, heterogeneous beliefs, global bifurcations in complementarity games, international subsidy games and issues in economic geography. A number of stochastic dynamic models are also analysed. The book is a collection of essays in honour of the 60th birthday of Laura Gardini.​