Analysis of European and UK Business Cycles and Shocks

Analysis of European and UK Business Cycles and Shocks
Author: Michael J. Artis
Publisher:
Total Pages: 47
Release: 2003
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN: 9780118490030

This publication is part of a set of 18 documents which have been prepared by H.M. Treasury to inform the assessment of the Government's five economic tests for Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) entry into the euro area. In relation to the first test, this study presents a literature review regarding convergence tests based on business cycle and shock correlations, updating some previous work. Aspects considered include: what is meant by convergence, and the role of business cycle measurement and the identification of shocks in this context; UK convergence with the euro area, the EU and some of the principal member states; 'UK idiosyncrasy' which involves comparisons between the UK experience compared to Europe and the United States; and the optimal currency area (OCA) theory.

Economic Cycles

Economic Cycles
Author: Solomos Solomou
Publisher: Manchester University Press
Total Pages: 150
Release: 1998
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN: 9780719041518

The ups and downs of booms and slumps, often referred to as business cycles, are features of all modern economies. This book considers business cycles over three epochs 1870-1913, 1919-1938 and the post-World War II period. It provides an analysis of the key macroeconomic questions relating to economic fluctuations. Why are the ups and down more volatile in some epochs than others? Why are some business cycle shocks more persistent in their effects? Is there an international business cycle? Can present business cycle features predict future patterns? What impact will institutional changes, such as EMU have on future fluctuations?

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles
Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2020-05-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513536990

Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Business Cycle Synchronisation and Economic Integration

Business Cycle Synchronisation and Economic Integration
Author: Marcus Kappler
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 197
Release: 2012-07-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3790828556

This book offers the reader a state-of-the-art overview on theory and empirics of business cycle synchronisation, structural reform and economic integration. Focusing on the ongoing integration process in the euro area and the EU, it analyses the integration process that has taken place since the 1980s and which is marked by the advent of the euro and the substantial enlargement that resulted from the accession of 12 new Member States in East and Southern Europe.

UK Business and Financial Cycles Since 1660

UK Business and Financial Cycles Since 1660
Author: Nicholas Dimsdale
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 242
Release: 2019-11-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030263460

This book is the first of two volumes that aim to provide an up-to-date overview of the key data and techniques necessary for analysing the historical behaviour of business and financial cycles in the United Kingdom. Drawing on an extensive secondary literature and the considerable body of historical macroeconomic and financial time series data that exist for the United Kingdom, the two volumes will review the key features of historical recessions and recoveries over the course of three and a half centuries. Volume 1 provides an overview of UK business cycles since 1660. The first part of the book considers old and new theories of the business cycle, looking at the impulses that generate business cycles and the propagation mechanisms that determine their duration and amplitude. The second part of the book uses the latest historical estimates of GDP to look at different ways of measuring and estimating business cycle fluctuations within a simple univariate framework. Finally, the book provides a narrative of UK economic fluctuations since 1660 using a whole range of economic data to shed light on the main drivers of cyclical behaviour. It concludes by highlighting areas for future research especially with regard to the link between business and financial cycles, some of which will be explored in Volume 2.

Measuring the Macroeconomic Resilience of Industrial Sectors in the EU and Assessing the Role of Product Market Regulations

Measuring the Macroeconomic Resilience of Industrial Sectors in the EU and Assessing the Role of Product Market Regulations
Author: Fabio Canova
Publisher:
Total Pages: 104
Release: 2012
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN:

This study examines the characteristics of sectoral cycles in EU countries and investigates the reasons which might explain differences in the adjustment capacity of sectors and countries to economic shocks; broadly defined as unforeseen changes to business conditions. In particular, it evaluates the role played by institutional factors and product market reforms in accelerating this adjustment capacity. Product market reforms are institutional changes of microeconomic (sectoral) nature implemented to improve the functioning of product markets. In Europe such reforms include a wide range of measures spanning from the creation of the Single Market, to liberalization and regulatory reforms in network industries, to reforms in the business environment, competition policy, and state aid.

Is the Economic Cycle Still Alive?

Is the Economic Cycle Still Alive?
Author: Paolo Annunziato
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 298
Release: 1994-02-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1349231835

We are now living in a period of disillusion in the ability of economic policy to stabilise the economy. This is proven by the onset of severe world recession in the early 1980s and the inability to invert the negative phase of the business cycle under way in the industrialized countries in the early 1990s. The failure of old policies motivates the research into the causes of economic fluctuations and their measurement whose results are published in this volume