Empirical Studies on Volatility in International Stock Markets

Empirical Studies on Volatility in International Stock Markets
Author: Eugenie M.J.H. Hol
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 168
Release: 2013-03-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 147575129X

Empirical Studies on Volatility in International Stock Markets describes the existing techniques for the measurement and estimation of volatility in international stock markets with emphasis on the SV model and its empirical application. Eugenie Hol develops various extensions of the SV model, which allow for additional variables in both the mean and the variance equation. In addition, the forecasting performance of SV models is compared not only to that of the well-established GARCH model but also to implied volatility and so-called realised volatility models which are based on intraday volatility measures. The intended readers are financial professionals who seek to obtain more accurate volatility forecasts and wish to gain insight about state-of-the-art volatility modelling techniques and their empirical value, and academic researchers and students who are interested in financial market volatility and want to obtain an updated overview of the various methods available in this area.

Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes

Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes
Author: Gagari Chakrabarti
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 69
Release: 2012-01-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 813220462X

This work is an exploration of the global market dynamics, their intrinsic natures, common trends and dynamic interlinkages during the stock market crises over the last twelve years. The study isolates different phases of crisis and differentiates between any crisis that remains confined to the region and those that take up a global dimension. The latent structure of the global stock market, the inter-regional and intra-regional stock market dynamics around the crises are analyzed to get a complete picture of the structure of the global stock market. The study further probing into the inherent nature of the global stock market in generating crisis finds the global market to be chaotic thus making the system intrinsically unstable or at best to follow knife-edge stability. The findings have significant bearing at theoretical level and on policy decisions.

Volatility in International Stock Markets An Empirical Study

Volatility in International Stock Markets An Empirical Study
Author: Shalu Lu
Publisher: Shalu
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2022-11-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9782294412110

Business investment is concerned with the provision of funds for investment in business enterprise, an investor must offer whatever is invested in this way, and this means that the investor must sacrifice consumption and save to offer the funds. Savers and the users of their funds come jointly in the market for investment, where the normal rules of supply and demand apply unless there is government interfering with interest rates. The cost of money is the rate of interest rewarded for the use. If the demand for investment funds is greater than the funds offered for investment by savers, then the rate of interest will increase until people in the market are induced to sacrifice consumption and make their reserves available for investment.

Influence of Structural Changes in Transmission of Information between Stock Markets

Influence of Structural Changes in Transmission of Information between Stock Markets
Author: Maria Angeles Fernández Izquierdo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 14
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

The aim of this study is to analyze the influence that the structural changes on volatility have on the transmission of information. We realized empirical evidence on European stock exchange markets using the principal European stock indexes: UK, Germany, France, Italy and Spain, for European Union and Swiss as European zone no euro. In order to include structural changes in variance, we followed the modification proposed by Sanso et al. (2002) of the methodology put forward by Inclan and Tiao (1994), to take account the problems of kurtosis and heteroskedasticity of the analyzed series. To study the existence of transmission of volatility we have used an asymmetric Bivariate GARCH model, specifically, the time-varying covariance asymmetric BEKK model (Engle and Kroner, 1995). The most outstanding result is the significance of the variables that represent these changes. Their consideration reduces the volatility persistence and influences the scheme of transmission. So structural changes must be incorporated in these types of studies.

International Mutual Funds, Capital Flow Volatility, and Contagion – A Survey

International Mutual Funds, Capital Flow Volatility, and Contagion – A Survey
Author: Mr.R. Gelos
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2011-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455253316

Gaining a better understanding of the behavior of international investors is key for informing the debate about the optimal response to capital flows and about reforms to the international financial architecture. In this context, recent research on the behavior of international mutual funds at the micro level has expanded our knowledge about the drivers of portfolio flows and the mechanisms behind the transmission of financial shocks across countries. This paper provides a brief survey of this literature, with a focus on the empirical evidence for emerging markets. Overall, the behavior of international mutual funds is complex and overly simplistic characterizations are misleading. However, there is broad-based evidence for momentum trading among funds. Moreover, funds tend to avoid opaque markets and assets, and this behavior becomes more pronounced during volatile times. Portfolio rebalancing mechanisms are clearly important in explaining contagion patterns, even in the absence of common macroeconomic fundamentals. From a surveillance point of view, this implies that monitoring the exposures of large investors at a micro level is crucial to assess vulnerabilities.

Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications

Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications
Author: Luc Bauwens
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 566
Release: 2012-03-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118272056

A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Return and Volatility Spillover Across Equity Markets Between China and Southeast Asian Countries

Return and Volatility Spillover Across Equity Markets Between China and Southeast Asian Countries
Author: Hung Ngo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 16
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

Purpose - This paper aims to study the daily returns and volatility spillover effects in common stock prices between China and four countries in Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia).Design/methodology/approach - The analysis uses a vector autoregression with a bivariate GARCHBEKK model to capture return linkage and volatility transmission spanning the period including the pre- and post-2008 Global Financial Crisis.Findings - The main empirical result is that the volatility of the Chinese market has had a significant impact on the other markets in the data sample. For the stock return, linkage between China and other markets seems to be remarkable during and after the Global Financial Crisis. Notably, the findings also indicate that the stock markets are more substantially integrated into the crisis.Practical implications - The results have considerable implications for portfolio managers and institutional investors in the evaluation of investment and asset allocation decisions. The market participants should pay more attention to assess the worth of across linkages among the markets and their volatility transmissions. Additionally, international portfolio managers and hedgers may be better able to understand how the volatility linkage between stock markets interrelated overtime; this situation might provide them benefit in forecasting the behavior of this market by capturing the other market information.Originality/value - This paper would complement the emerging body of existing literature by examining how China stock market impacts on their neighboring countries including Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia. Furthermore, this is the first investigation capturing return linkage and volatility spill over between China market and the four Southeast Asian markets by using bivariate VAR-GARCH-BEKK model. The authors believe that the results of this research's empirical analysis would amplify the systematic understanding of spillover activities between China stock market and other stock markets.