An Analysis of the Stabilizing and Welfare Effects of Intervention in Spot and Futures Markets

An Analysis of the Stabilizing and Welfare Effects of Intervention in Spot and Futures Markets
Author: Robert B. Campbell
Publisher:
Total Pages: 52
Release: 1985
Genre: Commodity exchanges
ISBN:

This paper analyzes the effects of three alternative rules on the long-run distributions of both the spot and futures prices ina single commodity market, in which the key behavioral relationships are derived from the optimizing behavior of producers and speculators.The rules considered include: (i) leaning against the wind in the spot market; (ii) utility maximizing speculative behavior by the stabilization authority in the futures market; (iii) leaning against the wind in the futures market. Since the underlying model is sufficiently complex to preclude analytical solutions, the analysis makes extensive use of simulation methods. As a general proposition we find that intervention in the futures market is not as effective in stabilizing either the spot price of the futures price as is intervention in the spot market. Indeed, Rule (iii), while stabilizing the futures price may actually destabilize the spot price. Furthermore, the analogous type of rule undertaken in the spot market will always stabilize the futures price to a greater degree than it does the spot price. The welfare implications of these rules are also discussed. Our analysis shows how these can generate rather different distributions of welfare gains, including the overall benefits

NBER Reporter

NBER Reporter
Author: National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher:
Total Pages: 816
Release: 1985
Genre: Economics
ISBN:

The Economics of Food Price Volatility

The Economics of Food Price Volatility
Author: Jean-Paul Chavas
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 394
Release: 2014-10-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 022612892X

"The conference was organized by the three editors of this book and took place on August 15-16, 2012 in Seattle."--Preface.

Commodity Risk Management and Finance

Commodity Risk Management and Finance
Author: Theophilos Priovolos
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Total Pages: 208
Release: 1991
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Commodity-linked finance has expanded rapidly in the 1980s, but it has mainly been confined to entities in industrial countries. Creditworthiness questions, reinforced by debt overhang, handicap the developing countries in their access to this type of financing. To achieve better risk management in the commodity-dependent developing countries, the authors argue that commodity-linked financial measures have important advantages in the external financing of developing countries as compared to the traditional alternatives of foreign-currency-denominated, general obligation borrowing or direct foreign investment. The authors argue that commodity-linked financing allows developing countries that are overexposed to particular risks, relative to those in the world economy, to shift these risks to world capital markets on an ex ante basis. The study concludes by offering a number of strategic solutions involving the World Bank as an integral participant in both monitoring debt reduction and enacting a technical advice program to assist developing countries manage their financial risk.

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy
Author: Matthias Kalkuhl
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 620
Release: 2016-04-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319282018

This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.