Agglomeration Migration And Regional Growth A Cge Analysis For Uganda
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| Author | : Paul Dorosh and James Thurlow |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 40 |
| Release | : 2009 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
"Uganda has experienced rapid economic growth and poverty reduction over the past decade but has failed to significantly improve incomes in its northern regions where prolonged conflict has hindered growth. We consider three strategies to close this regional divide: (1) develop a north-south corridor to encourage regional trade, (2) accelerate growth in the southern capital city and encourage north-south migration, and (3) improve agricultural productivity in rural areas. We examine these strategies using a regionalized computable general equilibrium model, accounting for internal migration and productivity gains from urban agglomeration effects. Simulation results indicate that a north-south corridor benefits northern households, but its benefits are limited by the small size of northern urban centers and the low productivity of northern producers. Investing in the capital city accelerates economic growth but has little effect on other regions' welfare because of the city's weak growth linkages with other regions and small migration effects. Improving agricultural productivity, however, though less effective at stimulating national economic growth, generates broad-based welfare improvements in both rural and urban areas. We therefore conclude that without significant gains in agricultural productivity in the next decade, out-migration and urban-led growth centered in Kampala will be insufficient to significantly reduce poverty in northern Uganda."--Authors' abstract.
| Author | : John M. Ulimwengu |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 32 |
| Release | : 2009 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Doris Wiesmann, Lucy Bassett, Todd Benson, and John Hoddinott |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 104 |
| Release | : |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Xinshen Diao |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 28 |
| Release | : 2009 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
The primary goal of this paper is to provide a quantitative assessment of the economywide impact of HPAI in Ghana under different scenarios. A dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model for Ghana has been developed for this study, and a recent (2005) social accounting matrix with a detailed production structure at both national and sub-national levels is used as the dataset for this analysis.
| Author | : |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 212 |
| Release | : 2011-01-01 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 0821386409 |
The process of rural-urban transformation presents both opportunities and challenges for development. If managed effectively, it can result in growth that benefits everyone; if managed poorly, it can lead to stark welfare disparities and entire regions cut off from the advantages of agglomeration economies. The importance of rural-urban transition has been confirmed by two consecutive World Development Reports: WDR 2008 Agriculture for Development; and WDR 2009 Reshaping Economic Geography. Focusing on Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, this book picks up where the WDRs left off, investigating the influence of country conditions and policies on the pace, pattern, and consequences of rural-urban transition and suggesting strategies to ensure that its benefits results in shared improvements in well-being. The book uncovers vast inequalities, whether between two regions of one country, between rural and urban areas, or within cities themselves. The authors find little evidence to suggest that these inequalities will automatically diminish as countries develop: empirical and qualitative analysis suggests that spatial divides are mainly a function of country conditions, policies and institutions. By implication, policymakers must take active steps to ensure that rural-urban transition results in shared growth. Spatially unbiased provision of health and education services is crucial to ensuring that the benefits of transition are shared by all. But connective infrastructure and targeted interventions also emerge as important considerations, even in countries with severely constrained fiscal and administrative capacity. The authors suggest steps for navigating the tricky political economy of land reforms. And they alert readers to potential spillover effects that mean that policies designed for one space can have unintended consequences on another.Policymakers and development experts, as well as anyone concerned with the impact of rural-urban transition on growth and equity, will find this book a thought-provoking and informative read.
| Author | : Valerie Mueller, Abusaleh Shariff |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 24 |
| Release | : 2009 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
"Migration can serve as an outlet for employment, higher earnings, and reduced income risk for households in developing countries. We use the 2004-2005 Human Development Profile of India survey to examine correlations between the receipt of remittances from internal migrants and human capital investment in rural areas. We employ a propensity score-matching approach to account for the selectivity of households into receiving remittances. We interpret the results conservatively due to the cross-sectional nature of the data. We find a positive correlation between remittances received from internal migrants and the schooling attendance of teens. The magnitude of the correlation is greater when focusing on low-caste households, and male schooling attendance in particular becomes more positive and statistically significant. Our findings provide a basis for establishing future research in the areas of migration and social protection in India."--Authors' abstract.
| Author | : James Thurlow, Gavin George, and Jeff Gow |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 28 |
| Release | : 2009 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Márcia Maria Guedes Alcoforado de Moraes, Ximing Cai, Claudia Ringler, Bruno Edson Albuquerque, Sérgio P. Vieira da Rocha, and Carlos Alberto Amorim |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 32 |
| Release | : |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Thaddee Badibanga, Xinshen Diao, Terry Roe, Agapi Somwaru |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 40 |
| Release | : |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Guyslain K. Ngeleza, Andrew Muhammad |
| Publisher | : Intl Food Policy Res Inst |
| Total Pages | : 28 |
| Release | : 2009 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : |
"This paper uses a computable general equilibrium approach to simulate two opposing views describing regional trade agreements either as building blocks for or stumbling blocks to multilateral trade liberalization. This study focuses on the free trade agreement (FTA) between the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC) and the European Union (EU). Results show that although a regional trade agreement may slightly raise welfare among the members of the agreement, the cost to nonmembers can be high. In this paper we argue that multilateral liberalization and a regional free trade agreement between the EU and CEMAC are not mutually exclusive. Regional trade agreements should be complementary and consistent with a multilateral agreement, not an attempt to replace it. The regional breakdown in our design considers 14 regions, allowing for country-specific analysis for one least-developed country (Democratic Republic of Congo) and one non-least-developed country (Cameroon). Multilateral liberalization amplifies welfare gain for Cameroon. The Democratic Republic of Congo, with its weaker institutional capacity, is affected negatively. An EU-CEMAC FTA without multilateralism produces gains for both Cameroon and the Democratic Republic of Congo. The gain for Cameroon is, however, moderate compared with that achieved when the EU-CEMAC FTA is accompanied with a multilateral agreement."--Authors' abstract.
