Emission estimation based on traffic models and measurements

Emission estimation based on traffic models and measurements
Author: Nikolaos Tsanakas
Publisher: Linköping University Electronic Press
Total Pages: 131
Release: 2019-04-24
Genre:
ISBN: 9176850927

Traffic congestion increases travel times, but also results in higher energy usage and vehicular emissions. To evaluate the impact of traffic emissions on environment and human health, the accurate estimation of their rates and location is required. Traffic emission models can be used for estimating emissions, providing emission factors in grams per vehicle and kilometre. Emission factors are defined for specific traffic situations, and traffic data is necessary in order to determine these traffic situations along a traffic network. The required traffic data, which consists of average speed and flow, can be obtained either from traffic models or sensor measurements. In large urban areas, the collection of cross-sectional data from stationary sensors is a costefficient method of deriving traffic data for emission modelling. However, the traditional approaches of extrapolating this data in time and space may not accurately capture the variations of the traffic variables when congestion is high, affecting the emission estimation. Static transportation planning models, commonly used for the evaluation of infrastructure investments and policy changes, constitute an alternative efficient method of estimating the traffic data. Nevertheless, their static nature may result in an inaccurate estimation of dynamic traffic variables, such as the location of congestion, having a direct impact on emission estimation. Congestion is strongly correlated with increased emission rates, and since emissions have location specific effects, the location of congestion becomes a crucial aspect. Therefore, the derivation of traffic data for emission modelling usually relies on the simplified, traditional approaches. The aim of this thesis is to identify, quantify and finally reduce the potential errors that these traditional approaches introduce in an emission estimation analysis. According to our main findings, traditional approaches may be sufficient for analysing pollutants with global effects such as CO2, or for large-scale emission modelling applications such as emission inventories. However, for more temporally and spatially sensitive applications, such as dispersion and exposure modelling, a more detailed approach is needed. In case of cross-sectional measurements, we suggest and evaluate the use of a more detailed, but computationally more expensive, data extrapolation approach. Additionally, considering the inabilities of static models, we propose and evaluate the post-processing of their results, by applying quasi-dynamic network loading.

Individual and Environmental Determinants of Traffic Emissions and Near-road Air Quality

Individual and Environmental Determinants of Traffic Emissions and Near-road Air Quality
Author: Junshi Xu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

On-road motor vehicles are responsible for a considerable proportion of near-road air pollution. While background levels of air pollutants are continuously tracked by regional monitoring networks, assessing near-road air quality remains a challenge in urban areas with complex built environments, traffic composition, and meteorological variation, leading to significant spatiotemporal variability in air pollution. This research addresses current gaps in the literature on local traffic emissions and near-road air quality. This thesis first investigates the effect of traffic volume and speed data on the simulation of vehicle emissions and hotspot analysis. Traffic emissions are estimated using radar data as well as simulated traffic based on various speed aggregation methods. It provides recommendations for project-level analysis and particulate matter (PM) hotspot analysis. We further compare fleet averaged emission factors (EFs) derived from a traffic emission model, the Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES), with EFs using plume-based measurements. This second module stresses the need to collect local traffic information for a better understanding of on-road traffic emissions. Besides, we validate default drive cycles in MOVES against representative drive cycles derived based on real-world GPS data. The validation results are helpful for transportation planners to quantify uncertainties in emission estimation and employ appropriate methods to improve the estimation of on-road emission inventories. The third module develops eco-score models and evaluates the effect of various factors such as driver and trip characteristics on emission intensities. The results shed light on the impact of driving style on emissions and identify the most important factors affecting the amount of emissions generated by every individual driver. The fourth module focuses on the impact of traffic emissions on near-road air quality and presents the results of two different experiments. First, it explores the effect of various factors on near-road ultrafine particle (UFP) concentrations based on short-term fixed monitoring, which stresses the significance of using local traffic characteristics to improve near-road air quality prediction. In addition, it captures the distribution of truck movements in urban environments and investigates the impacts of land-use variables and detailed traffic information on near-road Black Carbon (BC) concentrations.

Traffic-Related Air Pollution

Traffic-Related Air Pollution
Author: Haneen Khreis
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 650
Release: 2020-08-20
Genre: Transportation
ISBN: 0128181230

Traffic-Related Air Pollution synthesizes and maps TRAP and its impact on human health at the individual and population level. The book analyzes mitigating standards and regulations with a focus on cities. It provides the methods and tools for assessing and quantifying the associated road traffic emissions, air pollution, exposure and population-based health impacts, while also illuminating the mechanisms underlying health impacts through clinical and toxicological research. Real-world implications are set alongside policy options, emerging technologies and best practices. Finally, the book recommends ways to influence discourse and policy to better account for the health impacts of TRAP and its societal costs. Overviews existing and emerging tools to assess TRAP’s public health impacts Examines TRAP’s health effects at the population level Explores the latest technologies and policies--alongside their potential effectiveness and adverse consequences--for mitigating TRAP Guides on how methods and tools can leverage teaching, practice and policymaking to ameliorate TRAP and its effects

Improving On-road Emission Estimates with Traffic Detection Technologies

Improving On-road Emission Estimates with Traffic Detection Technologies
Author: Hang Liu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 188
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN: 9781303462016

Transportation has been a significant contributor to greenhouse gas and criteria air pollutant emissions. Emission mitigation strategies are essential in reducing transportation's impacts on our environment. In order to effectively develop and evaluate on-road emissions reduction strategies, accurate quantification of emissions is the critical first step. The accuracy and resolution of the traffic measures needed by the emission models will directly affect the emission estimation results. This dissertation investigates the ability of traffic detection technologies to provide the traffic measures needed for accurate on-road emissions estimation. A review of traffic detection technologies is provided with insight into their capability and suitability for estimating emissions. The Inductive Vehicle Signature (IVS) system is identified as currently the most promising technology to couple with EPA's latest MOVES emission model for estimating emissions. Models and algorithms based on the IVS detection system are developed to generate the two most important traffic measures for emission estimation: vehicle mix and average speed. The performances of the models are verified using real-world data. Assuming the IVS system and the models developed are deployed to generate vehicle mix and average speeds, the accuracy and reliability of the emissions estimation results based on these traffic measures are evaluated by simulating the operations of the models in the field using NGSIM data. Very promising results are obtained, which clearly demonstrates the capability of the IVS system for on-road emissions estimation. A Real-Time Emissions Estimation and Monitoring System based on the IVS technology is implemented on the I-405 freeway to estimate operational emissions on the road in real-time. Although average speed has been the most common input into emission models, the MOVES model is capable of using second-by-second vehicle speed trajectories to estimate emissions more accurately. Vehicle speed trajectories are becoming increasingly available thanks to the proliferation of GPS-enabled personal navigation devices and smartphones. Crowd sourced GPS data can also be used by emission models like MOVES to estimate emissions. This dissertation studies the use of a limited number of GPS speed trajectories to estimate emissions for all traffic on the road. Two fundamental questions are answered by this work: 1) how can GPS data be used for emissions estimation, and 2) how does the penetration rate of the GPS probes affect the emission results. With the methods proposed in this study, it is found that emissions can be estimated with high accuracy and reliability with even a very small penetration rate of GPS probes, when combined with the vehicle mix data generated from the IVS system. Discussions on the applications of the proposed systems and methods to various emissions analysis scenarios are also provided in this dissertation.