Accuracy Of Global Mean Temperature Estimates From Design Based Sampling
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Author | : National Research Council |
Publisher | : National Academies Press |
Total Pages | : 101 |
Release | : 2000-02-07 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 0309068916 |
An overall increase in global-mean atmospheric temperatures is predicted to occur in response to human-induced increases in atmospheric concentrations of heat-trapping "greenhouse gases." The most prominent of these gases, carbon dioxide, has increased in concentration by over 30% during the past 200 years, and is expected to continue to increase well into the future. Other changes in atmospheric composition complicate the picture. In particular, increases in the number of small particles (called aerosols) in the atmosphere regionally offset and mask the greenhouse effect, and stratospheric ozone depletion contributes to cooling of the upper troposphere and stratosphere. Many in the scientific community believe that a distinctive greenhouse-warming signature is evident in surface temperature data for the past few decades. Some, however, are puzzled by the fact that satellite temperature measurements indicate little, if any, warming of the lower to mid-troposphere (the layer extending from the surface up to about 8 km) since such satellite observations first became operational in 1979. The satellite measurements appear to be substantiated by independent trend estimates for this period based on radiosonde data. Some have interpreted this apparent discrepancy between surface and upper air observations as casting doubt on the overall reliability of the surface temperature record, whereas others have concluded that the satellite data (or the algorithms that are being used to convert them into temperatures) must be erroneous. It is also conceivable that temperatures at the earth's surface and aloft have not tracked each other perfectly because they have responded differently to natural and/or human-induced climate forcing during this particular 20-year period. Whether these differing temperature trends can be reconciled has implications for assessing: how much the earth has warmed during the past few decades, whether observed changes are in accord with the predicted response to the buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere based on model simulations, and whether the existing atmospheric observing system is adequate for the purposes of monitoring global-mean temperature. This report reassesses the apparent differences between the temperature changes recorded by satellites and the surface thermometer network on the basis of the latest available information. It also offers an informed opinion as to how the different temperature records should be interpreted, and recommends actions designed to reduce the remaining uncertainties in these measurements.
Author | : Sharon L. Lohr |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 611 |
Release | : 2019-04-08 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1000022080 |
This edition is a reprint of the second edition published by Cengage Learning, Inc. Reprinted with permission. What is the unemployment rate? How many adults have high blood pressure? What is the total area of land planted with soybeans? Sampling: Design and Analysis tells you how to design and analyze surveys to answer these and other questions. This authoritative text, used as a standard reference by numerous survey organizations, teaches sampling using real data sets from social sciences, public opinion research, medicine, public health, economics, agriculture, ecology, and other fields. The book is accessible to students from a wide range of statistical backgrounds. By appropriate choice of sections, it can be used for a graduate class for statistics students or for a class with students from business, sociology, psychology, or biology. Readers should be familiar with concepts from an introductory statistics class including linear regression; optional sections contain the statistical theory, for readers who have studied mathematical statistics. Distinctive features include: More than 450 exercises. In each chapter, Introductory Exercises develop skills, Working with Data Exercises give practice with data from surveys, Working with Theory Exercises allow students to investigate statistical properties of estimators, and Projects and Activities Exercises integrate concepts. A solutions manual is available. An emphasis on survey design. Coverage of simple random, stratified, and cluster sampling; ratio estimation; constructing survey weights; jackknife and bootstrap; nonresponse; chi-squared tests and regression analysis. Graphing data from surveys. Computer code using SAS® software. Online supplements containing data sets, computer programs, and additional material. Sharon Lohr, the author of Measuring Crime: Behind the Statistics, has published widely about survey sampling and statistical methods for education, public policy, law, and crime. She has been recognized as Fellow of the American Statistical Association, elected member of the International Statistical Institute, and recipient of the Gertrude M. Cox Statistics Award and the Deming Lecturer Award. Formerly Dean’s Distinguished Professor of Statistics at Arizona State University and a Vice President at Westat, she is now a freelance statistical consultant and writer. Visit her website at www.sharonlohr.com.
Author | : National Hydrology Research Institute (Canada) |
Publisher | : Saskatoon, Sask. : The Institute |
Total Pages | : 262 |
Release | : 1992 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : |
Proceedings of the workshop and a summary of the group discussions, including descriptions of the relationship between climatic change and paleohydrology, glaciers, ice-cores, permafrost, groundwater, organic carbon fluxes, meteorological variables, and streamflows.
Author | : Christopher Chantler |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 1090 |
Release | : 2024-08-19 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 1119433940 |
X-ray absorption spectroscopy and X-ray emission spectroscopy are complementary to crystallographic methods, particularly for materials science and the study of nanostructure and systems with partial disorder and partial local order, including solutions, gases, liquids, glasses and powders. This new volume of International Tables for Crystallography has nine parts and over 150 chapters contributed by a wide range of international experts. Part 1 provides a brief overview and introduction to the background of X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) and experimental facilities. Part 2 discusses the quantum theory of XAS and related approaches. Part 3 describes both standard and advanced experimental methods used in XAS, X-ray emission spectroscopy (XES) and related techniques. Part 4 covers both standard and more advanced pre-processing of data. Part 5 gives an extensive overview of the analysis of experimental data. Part 6 provides details of the major software packages for data collection, reduction and analysis. Part 7 outlines the importance in science, reporting and hypothesis testing of the exchange of input and processed output data, and data deposition. It also presents excerpts of tables of data and supplementary material for XAS, pre-edge studies, X-ray absorption near-edge spectroscopy (XANES) and X-ray absorption fine structure (XAFS) studies. These tables are also available in full as online supporting information. Part 8 explores a wide range of applications of XAS in fields including materials science, physics, chemistry, biology, earth sciences, catalysis and cultural heritage. Part 9 presents definitions of the terms and quantities used, as developed by the International Union of Crystallography's Commission on XAFS. The volume has been written for the worldwide XAS community of thousands of practitioners, beamline scientists, experts and academics, and for the novice user who wishes to know what XAS and XES can do for them and how they may use these techniques for their particular purposes. The volume is therefore intended to be a self-contained, authoritative reference work that can also be used for training, learning or teaching, providing practical guidance for readers of all levels of experience. More information on the volumes in the series International Tables for Crystallography can be found at https://it.iucr.org.
Author | : Alain Bernard |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 716 |
Release | : 2011-05-05 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 3642159737 |
This book of proceedings is the synthesis of all the papers, including keynotes presented during the 20th CIRP Design conference. The book is structured with respect to several topics, in fact the main topics that serve at structuring the program. For each of them, high quality papers are provided. The main topic of the conference was Global Product Development. This includes technical, organizational, informational, theoretical, environmental, performance evaluation, knowledge management, and collaborative aspects. Special sessions were related to innovation, in particular extraction of knowledge from patents.
Author | : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine |
Publisher | : National Academies Press |
Total Pages | : 281 |
Release | : 2017-06-23 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 0309454204 |
The social cost of carbon (SC-CO2) is an economic metric intended to provide a comprehensive estimate of the net damages - that is, the monetized value of the net impacts, both negative and positive - from the global climate change that results from a small (1-metric ton) increase in carbon-dioxide (CO2) emissions. Under Executive Orders regarding regulatory impact analysis and as required by a court ruling, the U.S. government has since 2008 used estimates of the SC-CO2 in federal rulemakings to value the costs and benefits associated with changes in CO2 emissions. In 2010, the Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases (IWG) developed a methodology for estimating the SC-CO2 across a range of assumptions about future socioeconomic and physical earth systems. Valuing Climate Changes examines potential approaches, along with their relative merits and challenges, for a comprehensive update to the current methodology. This publication also recommends near- and longer-term research priorities to ensure that the SC- CO2 estimates reflect the best available science.
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 556 |
Release | : 1966 |
Genre | : Reliability (Engineering) |
ISBN | : |
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 662 |
Release | : 2005 |
Genre | : Computer-aided design |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Chester F. Ropelewski |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 391 |
Release | : 2019-01-17 |
Genre | : Nature |
ISBN | : 0521896169 |
Explains how climatologists have come to understand current climate variability and trends through analysis of observations, datasets and models.
Author | : Shuying Leng |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 616 |
Release | : 2016-07-28 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 9811018847 |
In four chapters and an introduction, this book systematically helps readers understand the development of the Geographical Sciences both in China and in the world during the past 30 years. Through data analysis of methodologies including CiteSpace, TDA, qualitative analysis, questionnaires, data mining and mathematical statistics, the book explains the evolution of research topics and their driving factors in the Geographical Sciences and its four branches, namely Physical Geography, Human Geography, Geographical Information Science and Environmental Geography. It also identifies the role of the Geographical Sciences in the analysis of strategic issues such as global change and terrestrial ecosystems, terrestrial water cycle and water resources, land change, global cryosphere evolution and land surface processes on the Tibetan Plateau, economic globalization and local responses, regional sustainable development, remote sensing modelling and parameter inversion, spatial analysis and simulation, and tempo-spatial processes and modelling of environmental pollutants. It then discusses research development and inadequacy of Chinese Geographical Sciences in the above-mentioned topics, as well as in the fields including Geomorphology and Quaternary environmental change, Ecohydrology, ecosystem services, the urbanization process and mechanism, medical and health geography, international rivers and transboundary environment and resources, detection and attribution of changes in land surface sensitive components, and uncertainty of spatial information and spatial analysis. It shows that the NSFC has driven the development in all these topics and fields. In addition, the book summarises trends of the Geographical Sciences in China and the research level in major countries of the world through an overview of geographical education in colleges and universities, the analysis of publications, citations and author networks of SCI/SSCI and CSCD indexed articles, and the description of Sino-USA, Sino-UK and Sino-German cooperation. This book serves as an important reference to anyone interested in geographical sciences and related fields.