A Study Of Poissons Models For Jury Verdicts In Criminal And Civil Trials
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Policy Studies Review Annual
Author | : Bertram H. Raven |
Publisher | : Transaction Publishers |
Total Pages | : 776 |
Release | : 1979-01-01 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9780803911192 |
Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists
Author | : Colin Aitken |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 540 |
Release | : 2004-11-19 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 047001122X |
The first edition of Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists established itself as a highly regarded authority on this area. Fully revised and updated, the second edition provides significant new material on areas of current interest including: Glass Interpretation Fibres Interpretation Bayes’ Nets The title presents comprehensive coverage of the statistical evaluation of forensic evidence. It is written with the assumption of a modest mathematical background and is illustrated throughout with up-to-date examples from a forensic science background. The clarity of exposition makes this book ideal for all forensic scientists, lawyers and other professionals in related fields interested in the quantitative assessment and evaluation of evidence. 'There can be no doubt that the appreciation of some evidence in a court of law has been greatly enhanced by the sound use of statistical ideas and one can be confident that the next decade will see further developments, during which time this book will admirably serve those who have cause to use statistics in forensic science.' D.V. Lindley
Bursts
Author | : Albert-Laszlo Barabasi |
Publisher | : Penguin |
Total Pages | : 321 |
Release | : 2011-05-31 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 0452297184 |
The bestselling author of Linked returns with a ground breaking new theory that will enthrall fans of The Tipping Point Can we scientifically predict our future? It's a mystery that has nagged scientists for perhaps thousand of years. Now Albert-László Barabási-the award-winning author of the sleeper hit Linked- explains how the digital age has yielded a massive, previously unavailable data set that proves the daily pattern of human activity isn't random, it's "bursty." We work and fight and play in short flourishes of activity followed by next to nothing. Compellingly illustrated with the account of a bloody medieval crusade in sixteenth-century Transylvania and the modern tale of a contemporary artist hunted by the FBI, Bursts reveals that we are far more predictable than we like to think.
The Craft of Probabilistic Modelling
Author | : J. Gani |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 323 |
Release | : 2012-12-06 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1461386314 |
This book brings together the personal accounts and reflections of nineteen mathematical model-builders, whose specialty is probabilistic modelling. The reader may well wonder why, apart from personal interest, one should commission and edit such a collection of articles. There are, of course, many reasons, but perhaps the three most relevant are: (i) a philosophicaJ interest in conceptual models; this is an interest shared by everyone who has ever puzzled over the relationship between thought and reality; (ii) a conviction, not unsupported by empirical evidence, that probabilistic modelling has an important contribution to make to scientific research; and finally (iii) a curiosity, historical in its nature, about the complex interplay between personal events and the development of a field of mathematical research, namely applied probability. Let me discuss each of these in turn. Philosophical Abstraction, the formation of concepts, and the construction of conceptual models present us with complex philosophical problems which date back to Democritus, Plato and Aristotle. We have all, at one time or another, wondered just how we think; are our thoughts, concepts and models of reality approxim&tions to the truth, or are they simply functional constructs helping us to master our environment? Nowhere are these problems more apparent than in mathematical model ling, where idealized concepts and constructions replace the imperfect realities for which they stand.
Probability and Social Science
Author | : Daniel Courgeau |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 333 |
Release | : 2012-02-23 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 9400728786 |
This work examines in depth the methodological relationships that probability and statistics have maintained with the social sciences from their emergence. It covers both the history of thought and current methods. First it examines in detail the history of the different paradigms and axioms for probability, from their emergence in the seventeenth century up to the most recent developments of the three major concepts: objective, subjective and logicist probability. It shows the statistical inference they permit, different applications to social sciences and the main problems they encounter. On the other side, from social sciences—particularly population sciences—to probability, it shows the different uses they made of probabilistic concepts during their history, from the seventeenth century, according to their paradigms: cross-sectional, longitudinal, hierarchical, contextual and multilevel approaches. While the ties may have seemed loose at times, they have more often been very close: some advances in probability were driven by the search for answers to questions raised by the social sciences; conversely, the latter have made progress thanks to advances in probability. This dual approach sheds new light on the historical development of the social sciences and probability, and on the enduring relevance of their links. It permits also to solve a number of methodological problems encountered all along their history.
The Trial Process
Author | : Bruce Dennis Sales |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 515 |
Release | : 2013-11-11 |
Genre | : Psychology |
ISBN | : 1468437674 |
As noted in the Preface to Volume 1 in this series, the goal of Perspectives in Law and Psychology is to provide a forum for books aimed at systemati cally interfacing the two disciplines. Toward this end, Volume 1 pre sented a collection of original writings focused on the criminal justice system that grew out of a conference held at the University of Nebraska at Lincoln. Because that volume was based on conference proceedings, however, an attempt was not made to provide thorough coverage of all law-psychology issues in the criminal justice system; rather, it highlight ed a select few issues that were currently being investigated by some of the outstanding people in the field. This volume differs substantially from the first in that it attempts to bring together those psycholegal scholars who are doing the major re search on the trial process today and provides broad coverage of critical research on the trial. Thus, the chapters not only provide an extensive review of existing literature in this field but also present new contribu tions by these scholars.
Understanding Group Behavior
Author | : Erich H. Witte |
Publisher | : Psychology Press |
Total Pages | : 332 |
Release | : 2014-02-25 |
Genre | : Psychology |
ISBN | : 1317780353 |
These books grew out of the perception that a number of important conceptual and theoretical advances in research on small group behavior had developed in recent years, but were scattered in rather fragmentary fashion across a diverse literature. Thus, it seemed useful to encourage the formulation of summary accounts. A conference was held in Hamburg with the aim of not only encouraging such developments, but also encouraging the integration of theoretical approaches where possible. These two volumes are the result. Current research on small groups falls roughly into two moderately broad categories, and this classification is reflected in the two books. Volume I addresses theoretical problems associated with the consensual action of task-oriented small groups, whereas Volume II focuses on interpersonal relations and social processes within such groups. The two volumes differ somewhat in that the conceptual work of Volume I tends to address rather strictly defined problems of consensual action, some approaches tending to the axiomatic, whereas the conceptual work described in Volume II is generally less formal and rather general in focus. However, both volumes represent current conceptual work in small group research and can claim to have achieved the original purpose of up-to-date conceptual summaries of progress on new theoretical work.
Contributions to the Theory and Application of Statistics
Author | : Alan E. Gelfand |
Publisher | : Academic Press |
Total Pages | : 573 |
Release | : 2014-05-10 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1483261271 |
Contributions to the Theory and Application of Statistics: A Volume in Honor of Herbert Solomon is a collection of 20 papers that cover the significant contributions of Herbert Solomon in the field of statistics. This text is organized into four sections encompassing 20 chapters. Each section defines an area in which Herb has made a contribution and the papers are ordered alphabetically. The first section consists of four papers in the area of operations research and applied probability, while the second section gathers six papers looking into problems in distribution theory and geometric probability. The third section contains five applied articles in the areas of law and justice, medicine, and psychology. The fourth section covers five papers that explore several inference issues. This book will be of value to statisticians and advance students.
Advances in Experimental Social Psychology
Author | : |
Publisher | : Academic Press |
Total Pages | : 389 |
Release | : 1982-03-22 |
Genre | : Psychology |
ISBN | : 0080567282 |
Advances in Experimental Social Psychology