A Primer Of Judgment And Decision Making
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| Author | : Derek J. Koehler |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 680 |
| Release | : 2008-04-15 |
| Genre | : Psychology |
| ISBN | : 0470752912 |
The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.
| Author | : Peter Juslin |
| Publisher | : Psychology Press |
| Total Pages | : 353 |
| Release | : 2007-09-26 |
| Genre | : Psychology |
| ISBN | : 1135668736 |
Research on human judgment and decision making has been strongly guided by a normative/descriptive approach, according to which human decision making is compared to the normative models provided by decision theory, statistics, and the probability calculus. A common empirical finding has been that human behavior deviates from the prescriptions by normative models--that judgments and decisions are subject to cognitive biases. It is interesting to note that Swedish research on judgment and decision making made an early departure from this dominating mainstream tradition, albeit in two different ways. The Neo-Brunswikian research highlights the relationship between the laboratory task and the adaptation to a natural environment. The process-tracing approach attempts to identify the cognitive processes before, during, and after a decision. This volume summarizes current Swedish research on judgment and decision making, covering topics, such as dynamic decision making, confidence research, the search for dominance structures and differentiation, and social decision making.
| Author | : Richard Tunney |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 148 |
| Release | : |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 3031569725 |
| Author | : Klaus Fiedler |
| Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
| Total Pages | : 573 |
| Release | : 2023-05-31 |
| Genre | : Psychology |
| ISBN | : 1316518655 |
An exploration of how statistical sampling principles impose theoretical constraints and enable novel insights on judgments and decisions.
| Author | : Carl Thompson |
| Publisher | : Elsevier Health Sciences |
| Total Pages | : 287 |
| Release | : 2009-07-17 |
| Genre | : Medical |
| ISBN | : 0702042528 |
This book provides the skills and knowledge to use information effectively when exercising professional judgement and clinical decisions. By integrating theory with practical examples, it provides an overview of the key issues facing nurses in decision making today. - Review of up-to-date research into clinical professional judgement and decision making - Focus on evidence and skills and knowledge relevant to nursing practice - Combines current theory with analysis of applications in practice - Learning exercises and self-assessment components in each chapter - Comprehensive coverage of subject
| Author | : National Research Council |
| Publisher | : National Academies Press |
| Total Pages | : 285 |
| Release | : 2000-04-18 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 0309172195 |
Possible new breakthroughs in understanding the aging mind that can be used to benefit older people are now emerging from research. This volume identifies the key scientific advances and the opportunities they bring. For example, science has learned that among older adults who do not suffer from Alzheimer's disease or other dementias, cognitive decline may depend less on loss of brain cells than on changes in the health of neurons and neural networks. Research on the processes that maintain neural health shows promise of revealing new ways to promote cognitive functioning in older people. Research is also showing how cognitive functioning depends on the conjunction of biology and culture. The ways older people adapt to changes in their nervous systems, and perhaps the changes themselves, are shaped by past life experiences, present living situations, changing motives, cultural expectations, and emerging technology, as well as by their physical health status and sensory-motor capabilities. Improved understanding of how physical and contextual factors interact can help explain why some cognitive functions are impaired in aging while others are spared and why cognitive capability is impaired in some older adults and spared in others. On the basis of these exciting findings, the report makes specific recommends that the U.S. government support three major new initiatives as the next steps for research.
| Author | : Nancy S. Kim |
| Publisher | : Bloomsbury Publishing |
| Total Pages | : 322 |
| Release | : 2017-10-19 |
| Genre | : Psychology |
| ISBN | : 1137269561 |
How do we make the judgments that inform our lives? Is there any way of consciously removing bias from the choices we make? What do our everyday personal decisions have in common with those made by groups, companies, and even nations? In this engaging and innovative textbook, Nancy Kim presents a multidisciplinary introduction to the dynamic field of judgment and decision-making. This lucidly written text delivers insights from cognitive psychology, aptly combining with interdependent findings from fields as diverse as neuropsychology, behavioural economics, social, developmental and clinical psychology, and philosophy. Offering not only a comprehensive explanation of the neurological structures and cognitive processes that underlie how we make decisions and form judgments in our everyday lives, readers can expect to learn the implications of these decisions upon an individual's prospects for health and longevity. Understanding behaviour is a central aspect of inquiry in the psychology discipline and as such this book is an essential companion for students taking undergraduate psychology, cognitive psychology and cognitive neuroscience courses; particularly those which include a module in judgment and decision-making. This text may also be helpful for undergraduate and postgraduate business courses on the subject.
| Author | : James G. March |
| Publisher | : Simon and Schuster |
| Total Pages | : 423 |
| Release | : 1994-05-23 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1439108331 |
Building on lecture notes from his acclaimed course at Stanford University, James March provides a brilliant introduction to decision making, a central human activity fundamental to individual, group, organizational, and societal life. March draws on research from all the disciplines of social and behavioral science to show decision making in its broadest context. By emphasizing how decisions are actually made -- as opposed to how they should be made -- he enables those involved in the process to understand it both as observers and as participants. March sheds new light on the decision-making process by delineating four deep issues that persistently divide students of decision making: Are decisions based on rational choices involving preferences and expected consequences, or on rules that are appropriate to the identity of the decision maker and the situation? Is decision making a consistent, clear process or one characterized by ambiguity and inconsistency? Is decision making significant primarily for its outcomes, or for the individual and social meanings it creates and sustains? And finally, are the outcomes of decision processes attributable solely to the actions of individuals, or to the combined influence of interacting individuals, organizations, and societies? March's observations on how intelligence is -- or is not -- achieved through decision making, and possibilities for enhancing decision intelligence, are also provided. March explains key concepts of vital importance to students of decision making and decision makers, such as limited rationality, history-dependent rules, and ambiguity, and weaves these ideas into a full depiction of decision making. He includes a discussion of the modern aspects of several classic issues underlying these concepts, such as the relation between reason and ignorance, intentionality and fate, and meaning and interpretation. This valuable textbook by one of the seminal figures in the history of organizational decision making will be required reading for a new generation of scholars, managers, and other decision makers.
| Author | : Albert Rutherford |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 284 |
| Release | : 2021-03-27 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
Master strategic thinking and gain competitive advantage. Have you ever wondered how to make better decisions and solve problems with more ease? Learn Game Theory shares the well-hidden secrets of great decision-makers.Use Logic and Reason to Manage Uncertainty.Life is full of uncertainty. You don't know what lies ahead. But you can learn to control the controllable by using logic and reason. With the help of this book, you'll discover new ways to think about - and solve - problems more efficiently than ever before. Discover how strategic games model real-life behavior. You would be surprised how many game theory concepts affect your life.Game theory is a management device that helps rational decision-making.Game Theory is a branch of mathematics dedicated to the study of rational, strategic decision-making. You can apply it in many different fields, from psychology, economics, and politics to military strategy, business, and even retail pricing! It focuses on conflict and cooperation between intelligent, rational players, analyzing how to optimize one's decisions, taking into account others' actions.This book won't just give you theoretical knowledge. It will teach you practical life skills! The logical deductions used in game theory can help you learn superior decision-making skills based on strategic analysis.Become Confident in Your Decision-Making Skills.Albert Rutherford is an internationally bestselling author and a retired corporate executive. His books draw on various sources, from corporate system building, strategic analysis, scientific research, and his life experience. He has been building and improving systems his whole adult life and brings his proven advice to you. Predict the future with more accuracy.What's the best way to ask for a raise?How to choose a date spot with your partner avoiding friction?How do top athletes choose their best moves?How do companies like Nike or Adidas optimize their sales strategy?Extraordinary decisions will lead to outstanding success. Use the principles of game theory to have more confidence in your choices. Learn Game Theory is written in a casual, easy-to-follow way, with an abundance of relevant examples. It will help you get shrewd by applying strategic thinking and make better decisions based on logic and analysis. Learn Game Theory and make better business decisions, improve your relationships, understand people around you, and get out of sticky situations more effectively!
| Author | : Jonah Lehrer |
| Publisher | : Houghton Mifflin Harcourt |
| Total Pages | : 357 |
| Release | : 2010-01-14 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0547347480 |
The first book to use the unexpected discoveries of neuroscience to help us make the best decisions Since Plato, philosophers have described the decision-making process as either rational or emotional: we carefully deliberate, or we “blink” and go with our gut. But as scientists break open the mind’s black box with the latest tools of neuroscience, they’re discovering that this is not how the mind works. Our best decisions are a finely tuned blend of both feeling and reason—and the precise mix depends on the situation. When buying a house, for example, it’s best to let our unconscious mull over the many variables. But when we’re picking a stock, intuition often leads us astray. The trick is to determine when to use the different parts of the brain, and to do this, we need to think harder (and smarter) about how we think. Jonah Lehrer arms us with the tools we need, drawing on cutting-edge research as well as the real-world experiences of a wide range of “deciders”—from airplane pilots and hedge fund investors to serial killers and poker players. Lehrer shows how people are taking advantage of the new science to make better television shows, win more football games, and improve military intelligence. His goal is to answer two questions that are of interest to just about anyone, from CEOs to firefighters: How does the human mind make decisions? And how can we make those decisions better?
