A Thunderstorm Prediction Technique Based on a Perfect-prog Approach

A Thunderstorm Prediction Technique Based on a Perfect-prog Approach
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 128
Release: 1999
Genre: Probability forecasts (Meteorology).
ISBN:

"We have developed a thunderstorm prediction technique for use with a mesoscale model to satisfy Air Force Weather's Theater Battle Management (TBM) stated requirement for maximum cloud tops and coverage. The prediction technique is to be implemented in the Global Theater/Weather Analysis and Prediction system (GTWAPS). A perfect-prog approach was implemented using synoptic and subsynoptic-scale data for diagnosis and short-range probability forecasts. Future work is discussed, including, most importantly, follow-on testing and refinements of the techniques." -- Report documentation page.

A Thunderstorm Prediction Technique Based on a Perfect-Prog Approach

A Thunderstorm Prediction Technique Based on a Perfect-Prog Approach
Author: Allan J. Bussey
Publisher:
Total Pages: 114
Release: 1999-02
Genre:
ISBN: 9781423541240

We have developed a thunderstorm prediction technique for use with a mesoscale model to satisfy Air Force Weather's Theater Battle Management (TBM) stated requirement for maximum cloud tops and coverage. The prediction technique is to be implemented in the Global Theater/Weather Analysis and Prediction System (GTWAPS). A perfect-prog approach was implemented using synoptic and subsynoptic-scale data for diagnosis and short-range probability forecasts. Future work is discussed, including, most importantly, follow-on testing and refinements of the technique.

Review of the Draft Fourth National Climate Assessment

Review of the Draft Fourth National Climate Assessment
Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 207
Release: 2018-06-18
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0309471699

Climate change poses many challenges that affect society and the natural world. With these challenges, however, come opportunities to respond. By taking steps to adapt to and mitigate climate change, the risks to society and the impacts of continued climate change can be lessened. The National Climate Assessment, coordinated by the U.S. Global Change Research Program, is a mandated report intended to inform response decisions. Required to be developed every four years, these reports provide the most comprehensive and up-to-date evaluation of climate change impacts available for the United States, making them a unique and important climate change document. The draft Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) report reviewed here addresses a wide range of topics of high importance to the United States and society more broadly, extending from human health and community well-being, to the built environment, to businesses and economies, to ecosystems and natural resources. This report evaluates the draft NCA4 to determine if it meets the requirements of the federal mandate, whether it provides accurate information grounded in the scientific literature, and whether it effectively communicates climate science, impacts, and responses for general audiences including the public, decision makers, and other stakeholders.

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences
Author: Daniel S. Wilks
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 481
Release: 1995-03-01
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0080541720

This book introduces and explains the statistical methods used to describe, analyze, test, and forecast atmospheric data. It will be useful to students, scientists, and other professionals who seek to make sense of the scientific literature in meteorology, climatology, or other geophysical disciplines, or to understand and communicate what their atmospheric data sets have to say. The book includes chapters on exploratory data analysis, probability distributions, hypothesis testing, statistical weather forecasting, forecast verification, time(series analysis, and multivariate data analysis. Worked examples, exercises, and illustrations facilitate understanding of the material; an extensive and up-to-date list of references allows the reader to pursue selected topics in greater depth. Key Features* Presents and explains techniques used in atmospheric data summarization, analysis, testing, and forecasting* Includes extensive and up-to-date references* Features numerous worked examples and exercises* Contains over 130 illustrations

Marine Fog: Challenges and Advancements in Observations, Modeling, and Forecasting

Marine Fog: Challenges and Advancements in Observations, Modeling, and Forecasting
Author: Darko Koračin
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 540
Release: 2017-01-28
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3319452290

This volume presents the history of marine fog research and applications, and discusses the physical processes leading to fog's formation, evolution, and dissipation. A special emphasis is on the challenges and advancements of fog observation and modeling as well as on efforts toward operational fog forecasting and linkages and feedbacks between marine fog and the environment.

Geomorphic Approaches to Integrated Floodplain Management of Lowland Fluvial Systems in North America and Europe

Geomorphic Approaches to Integrated Floodplain Management of Lowland Fluvial Systems in North America and Europe
Author: Paul F. Hudson
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 358
Release: 2015-04-29
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1493923803

This volume provides a comprehensive perspective on geomorphic approaches to management of lowland alluvial rivers in North America and Europe. Many lowland rivers have been heavily managed for flood control and navigation for decades or centuries, resulting in engineered channels and embanked floodplains with substantially altered sediment loads and geomorphic processes. Over the past decade, floodplain management of many lowland rivers has taken on new importance because of concerns about the potential for global environmental change to alter floodplain processes, necessitating revised management strategies that minimize flood risk while enhancing environmental attributes of floodplains influenced by local embankments and upstream dams. Recognition of the failure of old perspectives on river management and the need to enhance environmental sustainability has stimulated a new approach to river management. The manner that river restoration and integrated management are implemented, however, requires a case study approach that takes into account the impact of historic human impacts to the system, especially engineering. The river basins examined in this volume provide a representative coverage of the drainage of North America and Europe, taking into account a range of climatic and physiographic provinces. They include the 1) Sacramento (California, USA), 2) San Joaquin (California), 3) Missouri (Missouri, USA), 4) Red (Manitoba, Canada and Minnesota, USA), 5) Mississippi (Louisiana, USA), 6) Kissimmee (Florida, USA), 7) Ebro (Spain), 8) Rhone (France), 9) Rhine (Netherlands), 10) Danube (Romania), and 11) Volga (Russian Federation) Rivers. The case studies covered in these chapters span a range of fluvial modes of adjustment, including sediment, channel, hydrologic regime, floodplains, as well as ecosystem and environmental associations.