Duck on a Bike

Duck on a Bike
Author: David Shannon
Publisher: Scholastic Inc.
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2016-07-26
Genre: Juvenile Fiction
ISBN: 0545530032
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In this off-beat book perfect for reading aloud, a Caldecott Honor winner shares the story of a duck who rides a bike with hilarious results. One day down on the farm, Duck got a wild idea. “I bet I could ride a bike,” he thought. He waddled over to where the boy parked his bike, climbed on, and began to ride. At first, he rode slowly and he wobbled a lot, but it was fun! Duck rode past Cow and waved to her. “Hello, Cow!” said Duck. “Moo,” said Cow. But what she thought was, “A duck on a bike? That’s the silliest thing I’ve ever seen!” And so, Duck rides past Sheep, Horse, and all the other barnyard animals. Suddenly, a group of kids ride by on their bikes and run into the farmhouse, leaving the bikes outside. Now ALL the animals can ride bikes, just like Duck! Praise for Duck on a Bike “Shannon serves up a sunny blend of humor and action in this delightful tale of a Duck who spies a red bicycle one day and gets “a wild idea” . . . Add to all this the abundant opportunity for youngsters to chime in with barnyard responses (“M-o-o-o”; “Cluck! Cluck!”), and the result is one swell read-aloud, packed with freewheeling fun.” —Publishers Weekly “Grab your funny bone—Shannon . . . rides again! . . . A “quackerjack” of a terrific escapade.” —Kirkus Reviews

Practical Statistics for Data Scientists

Practical Statistics for Data Scientists
Author: Peter Bruce
Publisher: "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
Total Pages: 322
Release: 2017-05-10
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1491952911
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Statistical methods are a key part of of data science, yet very few data scientists have any formal statistics training. Courses and books on basic statistics rarely cover the topic from a data science perspective. This practical guide explains how to apply various statistical methods to data science, tells you how to avoid their misuse, and gives you advice on what's important and what's not. Many data science resources incorporate statistical methods but lack a deeper statistical perspective. If you’re familiar with the R programming language, and have some exposure to statistics, this quick reference bridges the gap in an accessible, readable format. With this book, you’ll learn: Why exploratory data analysis is a key preliminary step in data science How random sampling can reduce bias and yield a higher quality dataset, even with big data How the principles of experimental design yield definitive answers to questions How to use regression to estimate outcomes and detect anomalies Key classification techniques for predicting which categories a record belongs to Statistical machine learning methods that “learn” from data Unsupervised learning methods for extracting meaning from unlabeled data

Fundamentals of Clinical Data Science

Fundamentals of Clinical Data Science
Author: Pieter Kubben
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 219
Release: 2018-12-21
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 3319997130
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This open access book comprehensively covers the fundamentals of clinical data science, focusing on data collection, modelling and clinical applications. Topics covered in the first section on data collection include: data sources, data at scale (big data), data stewardship (FAIR data) and related privacy concerns. Aspects of predictive modelling using techniques such as classification, regression or clustering, and prediction model validation will be covered in the second section. The third section covers aspects of (mobile) clinical decision support systems, operational excellence and value-based healthcare. Fundamentals of Clinical Data Science is an essential resource for healthcare professionals and IT consultants intending to develop and refine their skills in personalized medicine, using solutions based on large datasets from electronic health records or telemonitoring programmes. The book’s promise is “no math, no code”and will explain the topics in a style that is optimized for a healthcare audience.

The Prediction

The Prediction
Author: Darren Sugrue
Publisher: KDC Publishing
Total Pages: 332
Release: 2013-06-30
Genre: Fiction
ISBN: 1782800948
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**Amazon Best Seller!** Reached #4 in Thrillers & Suspense ★★★★★ 'A captivating page-turner.' DOUGLAS WOLFE Nobody knows the day they’ll die… until now. Mathematical genius Daniel Geller has developed a formula to predict a person’s date of death, only to have it rejected by the faculty at Trinity College. Totally devastated he turns his back on the world he once loved. Twelve years on, Daniel’s old professor John Redmond and his wife are coming to terms with the death of their ten-year-old son. Could Daniel's formula have predicated his death? Revisiting the thesis, the professor makes an astonishing discovery: out of the five fellow students whom Daniel used the formula on, one of them died on the exact date he predicted. One more is due to die in six days: Daniel’s ex-lover Grace. The professor draws Daniel back into the world of mathematics where he is suddenly faced with the dilemma of allowing someone he once loved to die to be one step closer to proving his thesis and enjoying a prestige he once dreamed of… Set in the vibrant cities of Dublin and Amsterdam, The Prediction is a powerful story about coping with shattered dreams, the loss of a loved one, and an illustration of just how unpredictable the human heart can be. ____________________________________________ PRAISE FOR THE PREDICTION: 'Once you get hooked, you won't want to put the book down.' ALLISON JAMES 'There is something brilliant and enticing about a novel where one of the central conflicts is that you very much want for two mutually exclusive things to happen.' ANNE DOUCETTE 'I loved this book! It was emotionally intense, suspenseful, and so very touching and beautiful at the end. I cannot remember the last time a book brought me to tears...' JUDY SCHECHTER 'First Time Author Darren Sugrue hits the mark with a 5 star novel... This book is awesome.' L. FRIER 'The ending twist was just genius... I feel this is one of the few books anyone would enjoy no matter whether you are a romantic, thriller, horror or sci-fi reader.' GADGET GIRL REVIEWS 'Filled with suspense, peppered with a bit of romance and softened by tragedy, it is one of the best crime novels I have ever read... You will not hear this from me very often: this is a must-read! Readers of all genres, unite!' ANCA, REVIEWS WITH A TWIST BLOG 'Heart pounding suspense, lost love, regret, lost, murder, betrayal, it’s all there. Mind blowing plot twists that you have to pause to process... Drop everything, send the kids outside. This is an incredible read.' DOSEOFBELLA 'You really could not ask for more in a book. It is so well written it is hard to believe that this is Darren Sugrue's first book.' ANGIE, READAHOLIC ZONE 'The story is well written, moves at a good pace, with well-developed characters and a twist I really didn’t see coming.' JAMES WALSH

The Role of Prediction in Training with a Simulated Orbital Docking Task

The Role of Prediction in Training with a Simulated Orbital Docking Task
Author: Charles R. Kelley
Publisher:
Total Pages: 122
Release: 1966
Genre: Orbital rendezvous (Space flight)
ISBN:
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A review of the literature relating to the role of prediction in manual control resulted in substantial evidence indicating that learning to control vehicles in complex maneuvers such as orbital docking is primarily a matter of learning to predict the future states of the vehicle. The purpose of this project was to: (a) investigate the relation between the ability to predict and manual control skill, and (b) determine the effect of prediction training on learning vehicular control. Two simulated docking experiments were performed. The results supported the hypothesis that ability to control is highly correlated with ability to predict. It was also demonstrated that while prediction training alone is no more effective than standard training, a combination of the two training methods appears to be much more effective than training in either control or prediction alone. It is therefore recommended that manual control training programs incorporate training in prediction. It is also recommended that associated training devices be revised or developed so as to incorporate means of training prediction skills and of measuring prediction capability. (Author).

Predictive Analytics

Predictive Analytics
Author: Eric Siegel
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 368
Release: 2016-01-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119153654
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"Mesmerizing & fascinating..." —The Seattle Post-Intelligencer "The Freakonomics of big data." —Stein Kretsinger, founding executive of Advertising.com Award-winning | Used by over 30 universities | Translated into 9 languages An introduction for everyone. In this rich, fascinating — surprisingly accessible — introduction, leading expert Eric Siegel reveals how predictive analytics (aka machine learning) works, and how it affects everyone every day. Rather than a “how to” for hands-on techies, the book serves lay readers and experts alike by covering new case studies and the latest state-of-the-art techniques. Prediction is booming. It reinvents industries and runs the world. Companies, governments, law enforcement, hospitals, and universities are seizing upon the power. These institutions predict whether you're going to click, buy, lie, or die. Why? For good reason: predicting human behavior combats risk, boosts sales, fortifies healthcare, streamlines manufacturing, conquers spam, optimizes social networks, toughens crime fighting, and wins elections. How? Prediction is powered by the world's most potent, flourishing unnatural resource: data. Accumulated in large part as the by-product of routine tasks, data is the unsalted, flavorless residue deposited en masse as organizations churn away. Surprise! This heap of refuse is a gold mine. Big data embodies an extraordinary wealth of experience from which to learn. Predictive analytics (aka machine learning) unleashes the power of data. With this technology, the computer literally learns from data how to predict the future behavior of individuals. Perfect prediction is not possible, but putting odds on the future drives millions of decisions more effectively, determining whom to call, mail, investigate, incarcerate, set up on a date, or medicate. In this lucid, captivating introduction — now in its Revised and Updated edition — former Columbia University professor and Predictive Analytics World founder Eric Siegel reveals the power and perils of prediction: What type of mortgage risk Chase Bank predicted before the recession. Predicting which people will drop out of school, cancel a subscription, or get divorced before they even know it themselves. Why early retirement predicts a shorter life expectancy and vegetarians miss fewer flights. Five reasons why organizations predict death — including one health insurance company. How U.S. Bank and Obama for America calculated the way to most strongly persuade each individual. Why the NSA wants all your data: machine learning supercomputers to fight terrorism. How IBM's Watson computer used predictive modeling to answer questions and beat the human champs on TV's Jeopardy! How companies ascertain untold, private truths — how Target figures out you're pregnant and Hewlett-Packard deduces you're about to quit your job. How judges and parole boards rely on crime-predicting computers to decide how long convicts remain in prison. 182 examples from Airbnb, the BBC, Citibank, ConEd, Facebook, Ford, Google, the IRS, LinkedIn, Match.com, MTV, Netflix, PayPal, Pfizer, Spotify, Uber, UPS, Wikipedia, and more. How does predictive analytics work? This jam-packed book satisfies by demystifying the intriguing science under the hood. For future hands-on practitioners pursuing a career in the field, it sets a strong foundation, delivers the prerequisite knowledge, and whets your appetite for more. A truly omnipresent science, predictive analytics constantly affects our daily lives. Whether you are a

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets
Author: Leighton Vaughan Williams
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 318
Release: 2011-06-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1136715681
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How does one effectively aggregate disparate pieces of information that are spread among many different individuals? In other words, how does one best access the ‘wisdom of the crowd’? Prediction markets, which are essentially speculative markets created for the purpose of aggregating information and making predictions, offer the answer to this question. The effective use of these markets has the potential not only to help forecast future events on a national and international level, but also to assist companies, for example, in providing improved estimates of the potential market size for a new product idea or the launch date of new products and services. The markets have already been used to forecast uncertain outcomes ranging from influenza to the spread of infectious diseases, to the demand for hospital services, to the box office success of movies, climate change, vote shares and election outcomes, to the probability of meeting project deadlines. The insights gained also have many potentially valuable applications for public policy more generally. These markets offer substantial promise as a tool of information aggregation as well as forecasting, whether alone or as a supplement to other mechanisms like opinion surveys, group deliberations, panels of experts and focus groups. Moreover, they can be applied at a macroeconomic and microeconomic level to yield information that is valuable for government and commercial policy-makers and which can be used for a number of social purposes. This volume of original readings, contributed by many of the leading experts in the field, marks a significant addition to the base of knowledge about this fascinating subject area. The book should be of interest to anyone looking at monetary economics, economic forecasting and microeconomics.

Superforecasting

Superforecasting
Author: Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher: Crown
Total Pages: 331
Release: 2015-09-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 080413670X
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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.