Volatility Surface and Term Structure

Volatility Surface and Term Structure
Author: Kin Keung Lai
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 102
Release: 2013-09-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1135006997

This book provides different financial models based on options to predict underlying asset price and design the risk hedging strategies. Authors of the book have made theoretical innovation to these models to enable the models to be applicable to real market. The book also introduces risk management and hedging strategies based on different criterions. These strategies provide practical guide for real option trading. This book studies the classical stochastic volatility and deterministic volatility models. For the former, the classical Heston model is integrated with volatility term structure. The correlation of Heston model is considered to be variable. For the latter, the local volatility model is improved from experience of financial practice. The improved local volatility surface is then used for price forecasting. VaR and CVaR are employed as standard criterions for risk management. The options trading strategies are also designed combining different types of options and they have been proven to be profitable in real market. This book is a combination of theory and practice. Users will find the applications of these financial models in real market to be effective and efficient.

Hedging Options in a GARCH Environment

Hedging Options in a GARCH Environment
Author: Robert F. Engle
Publisher:
Total Pages: 52
Release: 1994
Genre: Hedging (Finance)
ISBN:

This paper develops a methodology for testing the term structure of volatility forecasts derived from stochastic volatility models, and implements it to analyze models of S & P 500 index volatility. Volatility models are compared by their ability to hedge options positions sensitive to the term structure of volatility. Overall, the most effective hedge is a Black-Scholes (BS) delta-gamma hedge, while the BS delta-vega hedge is the least effective. The most successful volatility hedge is GARCH components delta-gamma, suggesting that the GARCH components estimate of the term structure of volatility is most accurate. The success of the BS delta-gamma hedge may be due to mispricing in the options market over the sample period.

Estimation of a Stochastic Volatility Model Using Pricing and Hedging Information

Estimation of a Stochastic Volatility Model Using Pricing and Hedging Information
Author: Jason Fink
Publisher:
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2005
Genre:
ISBN:

Estimation of option pricing models in which the underlying asset exhibits stochastic volatility presents complicated econometric questions. One such question, thus far unstudied, is whether the inclusion of information derived from hedging relationships implied by an option pricing model may be used in conjunction with pricing information to provide more reliable parameter estimates than the use of pricing information alone. This paper estimates, using a simple least-squares procedure, the stochastic volatility model of Heston (1993), and includes hedging information in the objective function. This hedging information enters the objective function through a weighting parameter that is chosen optimally within the model. With the weight appropriately chosen, we find that incorporating the hedging information reduces both the out-of-sample hedging and pricing errors associated with the Heston model.

Pricing and Hedging Long-Term Options

Pricing and Hedging Long-Term Options
Author: Zhiwu Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2000
Genre:
ISBN:

Recent empirical studies find that once an option pricing model has incorporated stochastic volatility, allowing interest rates to be stochastic does not improve pricing or hedging any further while adding random jumps to the modeling framework only helps the pricing of extremely short-term options but not the hedging performance. Given that only options of relatively short terms are used in existing studies, this paper addresses two related questions: Do long-term options contain different information than short-term options? If so, can long-term options better differentiate among alternative models? Our inquiry starts by first demonstrating analytically that differences among alternative models usually do not surface when applied to short term options, but do so when applied to long-term contracts. For instance, within a wide parameter range, the Arrow-Debreu state price densities implicit in different stochastic-volatility models coincide almost everywhere at the short horizon, but diverge at the long horizon. Using regular options (of less than a year to expiration) and LEAPS, both written on the Samp;P 500 index, we find that short- and long-term contracts indeed contain different information and impose distinct hurdles on any candidate option pricing model. While the data suggest that it is not as important to model stochastic interest rates or random jumps (beyond stochastic volatility) for pricing LEAPS, incorporating stochastic interest rates can nonetheless enhance hedging performance in certain cases involving long-term contracts.