A Neuro-fuzzy Logic Forecasting System in Stock Investment Decision Making Processes

A Neuro-fuzzy Logic Forecasting System in Stock Investment Decision Making Processes
Author: Xu Wang
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2007
Genre: Artificial intelligence
ISBN:

"The sophisticated financial investment world is characterized by highly random variations in stock prices, financial indexes and trading volumes so that it is quite difficult to get fundamental understanding of the financial investment process and to predict the stock market. This research attempts to develop a new and innovative approach to predict the stock time series with artificial intelligence techniques. Specifically, a fuzzy logic analysis has been made to predict the stock time series with different characteristic variables and different investments horizons, respectively. A neural network is designed to fine-tune the parameters involved and thus a neuron-fuzzy logic time series forecasting model has been developed" - abstract.

Ordinary Shares, Exotic Methods

Ordinary Shares, Exotic Methods
Author: Francis E. H. Tay
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 204
Release: 2003
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789812791375

Exotic methods refer to specific functions within general soft computing methods such as genetic algorithms, neural networks and rough sets theory. They are applied to ordinary shares for a variety of financial purposes, such as portfolio selection and optimization, classification of market states, forecasting of market states and data mining. This is in contrast to the wide spectrum of work done on exotic financial instruments, wherein advanced mathematics is used to construct financial instruments for hedging risks and for investment.In this book, particular aspects of the general method are used to create interesting applications. For instance, genetic niching produces a family of portfolios for the trader to choose from. Support vector machines, a special form of neural networks, forecast the financial markets; such a forecast is on market states, of which there are three OCo uptrending, mean reverting and downtrending. A self-organizing map displays in a vivid manner the states of the market. Rough sets with a new discretization method extract information from stock prices."

Intelligent Information and Database Systems

Intelligent Information and Database Systems
Author: Jeng-Shyang Pan
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 546
Release: 2012-03-14
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3642284930

The three-volume set LNAI 7196, LNAI 7197 and LNAI 7198 constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 4th Asian Conference on Intelligent Information and Database Systems, ACIIDS 2012, held in Kaohsiung, Taiwan in March 2012. The 161 revised papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from more than 472 submissions. The papers included cover the following topics: intelligent database systems, data warehouses and data mining, natural language processing and computational linguistics, semantic Web, social networks and recommendation systems, collaborative systems and applications, e-bussiness and e-commerce systems, e-learning systems, information modeling and requirements engineering, information retrieval systems, intelligent agents and multi-agent systems, intelligent information systems, intelligent internet systems, intelligent optimization techniques, object-relational DBMS, ontologies and knowledge sharing, semi-structured and XML database systems, unified modeling language and unified processes, Web services and semantic Web, computer networks and communication systems.

Fuzzy Sets, Fuzzy Logic and Their Applications

Fuzzy Sets, Fuzzy Logic and Their Applications
Author: Michael Gr. Voskoglou
Publisher: MDPI
Total Pages: 366
Release: 2020-03-25
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3039285203

The present book contains 20 articles collected from amongst the 53 total submitted manuscripts for the Special Issue “Fuzzy Sets, Fuzzy Loigic and Their Applications” of the MDPI journal Mathematics. The articles, which appear in the book in the series in which they were accepted, published in Volumes 7 (2019) and 8 (2020) of the journal, cover a wide range of topics connected to the theory and applications of fuzzy systems and their extensions and generalizations. This range includes, among others, management of the uncertainty in a fuzzy environment; fuzzy assessment methods of human-machine performance; fuzzy graphs; fuzzy topological and convergence spaces; bipolar fuzzy relations; type-2 fuzzy; and intuitionistic, interval-valued, complex, picture, and Pythagorean fuzzy sets, soft sets and algebras, etc. The applications presented are oriented to finance, fuzzy analytic hierarchy, green supply chain industries, smart health practice, and hotel selection. This wide range of topics makes the book interesting for all those working in the wider area of Fuzzy sets and systems and of fuzzy logic and for those who have the proper mathematical background who wish to become familiar with recent advances in fuzzy mathematics, which has entered to almost all sectors of human life and activity.

Applying Fuzzy Logic for the Digital Economy and Society

Applying Fuzzy Logic for the Digital Economy and Society
Author: Andreas Meier
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 207
Release: 2019-02-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030033686

This edited book presents the state-of-the-art of applying fuzzy logic to managerial decision-making processes in areas such as fuzzy-based portfolio management, recommender systems, performance assessment and risk analysis, among others. Presenting the latest research, with a strong focus on applications and case studies, it is a valuable resource for researchers, practitioners, project leaders and managers wanting to apply or improve their fuzzy-based skills.

Fuzzy Logic and Applications

Fuzzy Logic and Applications
Author: Robert Fullér
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 273
Release: 2019-02-22
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3030125440

This book constitutes the post-conference proceedings of the 12th International Workshop on Fuzzy Logic and Applications, WILF 2018, held in Genoa, Italy, in September 2018. The 17 revised full papers and 9 short papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 26 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on fuzzy logic theory, recent applications of fuzzy logic, and fuzzy decision making. Also included are papers from the round table "Zadeh and the future of logic" and a tutorial.

Soft Computing in Economics and Finance

Soft Computing in Economics and Finance
Author: Ludmila Dymowa
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 303
Release: 2011-01-21
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3642177190

Currently the methods of Soft Computing are successfully used for risk analysis in: budgeting, e-commerce development, portfolio selection, Black-Scholes option pricing models, corporate acquisition systems, evaluating investments in advanced manufacturing technology, interactive fuzzy interval reasoning for smart web shopping, fuzzy scheduling and logistic. An essential feature of economic and financial problems it that there are always at least two criteria to be taken into account: profit maximization and risk minimization. Therefore, the economic and financial problems are multiple criteria ones. In this book, a new systematization of the problems of multiple criteria decision making is proposed which allows the author to reveal unsolved problems. The solutions of them are presented as well and implemented to deal with some important real-world problems such as investment project’s evaluation, tool steel material selection problem, stock screening and fuzzy logistic. It is well known that the best results in real -world applications can be obtained using the synthesis of modern methods of soft computing. Therefore, the developed by the author new approach to building effective stock trading systems, based on the synthesis of fuzzy logic and the Dempster-Shafer theory, seems to be a considerable contribution to the application of soft computing method in economics and finance. An important problem of capital budgeting is the fuzzy evaluation of the Internal Rate of Return. In this book, this problem is solved using a new method which makes it possible to solve linear and nonlinear interval and fuzzy equations and systems of them. The developed new method allows the author to obtain an effective solution of the Leontjev’s input-output problem in the interval setting.

Neuro Fuzzy Based Stock Market Prediction System

Neuro Fuzzy Based Stock Market Prediction System
Author: M. Gunasekaran
Publisher:
Total Pages: 6
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

Neural networks have been used for forecasting purposes for some years now. Often arises the problem of a black-box approach, i.e. after having trained neural networks to a particular problem, it is almost impossible to analyze them for how they work. Fuzzy Neuronal Networks allow adding rules to neural networks. This avoids the black-box-problem. Additionally they are supposed to have a higher prediction precision in unlike situations. Applying artificial neural network, genetic algorithm and fuzzy logic for the stock market prediction has attracted much attention recently, which has better correlated the non-quantitative factors with the stock market performance. However these approaches perform less satisfactorily due to the memoryless nature of the stock market performance. In this paper, we propose a data compression-based portfolio prediction model hybridized with the fuzzy logic and genetic algorithm. In the model, the quantifiable microeconomic stock data are first optimized through the genetic algorithms to generate the most effective microeconomic data in relation to the stock market performance.

Decision and Prediction Analysis Powered With Operations Research

Decision and Prediction Analysis Powered With Operations Research
Author: Bubevski, Vojo
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 298
Release: 2024-07-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Organizations today face complex decisions and uncertainties that can have a profound impact on their financial stability and strategic direction. Traditional decision-making methods often fall short when it comes to addressing multifaceted issues like financing, product manufacturing, and facility location. These challenges demand a robust framework that quantifies factors, assesses risks, and provides optimal solutions. Without advanced tools and techniques, businesses are at risk of making uninformed decisions that could lead to significant financial losses and missed opportunities. The urgency to equip yourself with these tools is clear. Decision and Prediction Analysis Powered With Operations Research offers a comprehensive solution to these challenges. This book integrates operations research techniques to reframe and solve complex business problems. It provides a detailed exploration of decision analysis tools, such as influence diagrams and decision trees, which help visualize and assess various decision scenarios. By applying these tools, organizations can better understand uncertainties, evaluate risks, and make decisions that maximize expected utility and achieve strategic objectives.