Implied Calibration and Moments Asymptotics in Stochastic Volatility Jump Diffusion Models

Implied Calibration and Moments Asymptotics in Stochastic Volatility Jump Diffusion Models
Author: Stefano Galluccio
Publisher:
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

In the context of arbitrage-free modelling of financial derivatives, we introduce a novel calibration technique for models in the affine-quadratic class for the purpose of over-the-counter option pricing and risk-management. In particular, we aim at calibrating a stochastic volatility jump diffusion model to the whole market implied volatility surface at any given time. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of the underlying distribution and use this information to introduce and implement our calibration algorithm. We numerically show that the proposed approach is both statistically stable and accurate.

An Examination on the Roles of Diffusions and Stochastic Volatility in the Exponential Levy Jumps Models

An Examination on the Roles of Diffusions and Stochastic Volatility in the Exponential Levy Jumps Models
Author: Elton Daal
Publisher:
Total Pages: 57
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

Recent studies have shown that stochastic volatility in a continuous-time framework provides an excellent fit for financial asset returns when combined with finite-activity Merton's type compound Poisson Jump-diffusion models. However, we demonstrate that stochastic volatility does not play a central role when incorporated with infinite-activity Leacute;vy type pure jump models such as variance-gamma and normal inverse Gaussian processes to model high and low frequency historical time-series SP500 index returns. In addition, whether sources of stochastic volatility are diffusions or jumps are not relevant to improve the overall empirical fits of returns. Nevertheless, stochastic diffusion volatility with infinite-activity Levy jumps processes considerably reduces SP500 index call option in-sample and out-of-sample pricing errors of long-term ATM and OTM options, which contributed to a substantial improvement of pricing performances of SVJ and EVGSV models, compared to constant volatility Levy-type pure jumps models and/or stochastic volatility model without jumps. Interestingly, unlike asset returns, whether pure Levy jumps specifications are finite or infinite activity is not an important factor to enhance option pricing model performances once stochastic volatility is incorporated. Option prices are computed via improved Fast Fourier Transform algorithm using characteristic functions to match arbitrary log-strike grids with equal intervals with each moneyness and maturity of actual market option prices considered in this paper.

Jumps and Stochastic Volatility in Oil Prices

Jumps and Stochastic Volatility in Oil Prices
Author: Karl Larsson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper we examine the empirical performance of affine jump diffusion models with stochastic volatility in a time series study of crude oil prices. We compare four different models and estimate them using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. The support for a stochastic volatility model including jumps in both prices and volatility is strong and the model clearly outperforms the others in terms of a superior fit to data. Using this model and our estimation methodology we obtain detailed insight into two periods of market stress that are included in our sample; the Gulf war and the recent financial crisis. We also address the economic significance of model choice in two option pricing applications. First we compare the implied volatilities generated by the different estimated models. As a final application we price the real option to develop an oil field. Our findings indicate that model choice can have a material effect on the option values.

Encyclopedia of Finance

Encyclopedia of Finance
Author: Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 861
Release: 2006-07-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0387262849

This is a major new reference work covering all aspects of finance. Coverage includes finance (financial management, security analysis, portfolio management, financial markets and instruments, insurance, real estate, options and futures, international finance) and statistical applications in finance (applications in portfolio analysis, option pricing models and financial research). The project is designed to attract both an academic and professional market. It also has an international approach to ensure its maximum appeal. The Editors' wish is that the readers will find the encyclopedia to be an invaluable resource.

Estimating Correlated Jumps and Stochastic Volatilities

Estimating Correlated Jumps and Stochastic Volatilities
Author: Jiří Witzany
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

We formulate a bivariate stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model with correlated jumps and volatilities. An MCMC Metropolis-Hastings sampling algorithm is proposed to estimate the model's parameters and latent state variables (jumps and stochastic volatilities) given observed returns. The methodology is successfully tested on several artificially generated bivariate time series and then on the two most important Czech domestic financial market time series of the FX (CZK/EUR) and stock (PX index) returns. Four bivariate models with and without jumps and/or stochastic volatility are compared using the deviance information criterion (DIC) confirming importance of incorporation of jumps and stochastic volatility into the model. -- jump-diffusion ; stochastic volatility ; MCMC ; Value at Risk ; Monte Carlo