A Cohort Analysis of Saving Behavior by U.S. Households

A Cohort Analysis of Saving Behavior by U.S. Households
Author: Orazio Attanasio
Publisher:
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper I analyze the pattern of saving behavior by U.S. households, using the Consumer Expenditure (CEX) Survey. The analysis' main goal is to explain the decline in aggregate personal saving in the United States in the 1980s. I estimate a typical' saving-age profile and identify systematic movements of the profile across different cohorts of U.S. households. In addition, I consider different definitions of saving and control for a number of factors that figure in popular explanations fo the decline in saving. The main results can be summarized as follows: 1) the typical' saving-age profile presents a pronounced hump' and peaks around age 60; 2) this typical' age profile was, at least during the 1980s, shifted down for those cohorts born between 1925 and 1939. This is consistent with the low level of aggregate saving because these cohort were, in the 1980s, in that part of their life cycle when saving is highest; 3) this results holds for various definition of saving with one notable exception; the decline is less pronounced when expenditure on durables is considered as saving; and 4) some other popular explanations of the decline in saving are rejected by the data, including those appealing to the presence of capital gains on real or financial assets.

A Cohort Analysis of Saving Behavior by U.S. Households

A Cohort Analysis of Saving Behavior by U.S. Households
Author: Orazio P. Attanasio
Publisher:
Total Pages: 56
Release: 1993
Genre: Cohort analysis
ISBN:

In this paper I analyze the pattern of saving behavior by U.S. households, using the Consumer Expenditure (CEX) Survey. The analysis' main goal is to explain the decline in aggregate personal saving in the United States in the 1980s. I estimate a typical' saving-age profile and identify systematic movements of the profile across different cohorts of U.S. households. In addition, I consider different definitions of saving and control for a number of factors that figure in popular explanations fo the decline in saving. The main results can be summarized as follows: 1) the typical' saving-age profile presents a pronounced hump' and peaks around age 60; 2) this typical' age profile was, at least during the 1980s, shifted down for those cohorts born between 1925 and 1939. This is consistent with the low level of aggregate saving because these cohort were, in the 1980s, in that part of their life cycle when saving is highest; 3) this results holds for various definition of saving with one notable exception; the decline is less pronounced when expenditure on durables is considered as saving; and 4) some other popular explanations of the decline in saving are rejected by the data, including those appealing to the presence of capital gains on real or financial assets.

Household Behavior in the US and Japan

Household Behavior in the US and Japan
Author: Kosei Fukuda
Publisher: Nova Science Publishers
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781608769926

Reviews several methods for cohort analysis and compares through empirical analyses and simulations.

The Decline in Saving

The Decline in Saving
Author: Barry P. Bosworth
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Total Pages: 146
Release: 2012-02-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0815721366

Longtime Brookings economist and former presidential adviser Barry Bosworth examines why saving rates in the United States have fallen so precipitously over the past quarter century, why the initial consequences were surprisingly benign, and how reduced saving will affect the future well-being of Americans. The Decline in Saving provides an extensive and unparalleled account of the complexity of present saving patterns, an issue made even more serious by the 2008–09 global economic and financial crises. It objectively examines saving at both the individual household and the aggregate economy levels to understand whether the U.S. decline in saving is truly a threat to American prosperity. Highlights from The Decline in Saving: "The magnitude of the two-decade-long fall in household saving has been truly astonishing; it is even more surprising in view of the fact that the large cohort of baby boomers should have been in their peak saving years." "If Americans save so little, why are they so rich? This divergence emerges because the conventional measure of saving excludes all forms of capital gains...." "Saving behavior appears to be influenced in important ways by country-specific institutional factors along with a few common determinants, such as income growth, demographic changes, and variations in private wealth." "In the aggregate, the United States has had a negative net national saving rate since the onset of the financial crisis, and it now relies on foreign resource inflows to finance all its capital accumulation and a portion of its consumption." "The optimistic projections of just a few years ago about the future well-being of retirees now seem seriously dated."